聊天记录
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-Market Title
Will a 7-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah be fully implemented before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Israel and Hezbollah successfully implement a ceasefire that results in seven consecutive full days without any direct military attacks by either side.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and a subsequent period of seven consecutive 24-hour days during which neither Israel nor Hezbollah conducts any direct military attack against the other.
For the purposes of this market:
* Direct military attacks include, but are not limited to, airstrikes, missile launches, rocket fire, drone strikes, artillery attacks, armed cross-border raids, or officially acknowledged military operations targeting the opposing side.
* Isolated criminal activity, civil unrest, or actions by unrelated third parties will not count unless officially attributed to Israel or Hezbollah by credible reporting.
* The seven-day period begins at the publicly announced start time of the ceasefire or at the earliest documented point when both sides are considered bound by the ceasefire.
* Any verified direct military attack by either Israel or Hezbollah during the seven-day period will invalidate that period. A later ceasefire may still qualify if it subsequently achieves seven consecutive attack-free days before the resolution date.
The market will otherwise resolve to "No".
-Resolution Source
Official statements from the Israeli government, Hezbollah, the Lebanese government, and/or internationally recognized mediators, with confirmation from major international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press, AFP, BBC, or similar reputable outlets. In the event of conflicting reports, consensus reporting from multiple reputable sources will be used.
-Market Title
Will a 7-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah be fully implemented before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Israel and Hezbollah successfully implement a ceasefire that results in seven consecutive full days without any direct military attacks by either side.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and a subsequent period of seven consecutive 24-hour days during which neither Israel nor Hezbollah conducts any direct military attack against the other.
For the purposes of this market:
* Direct military attacks include, but are not limited to, airstrikes, missile launches, rocket fire, drone strikes, artillery attacks, armed cross-border raids, or officially acknowledged military operations targeting the opposing side.
* Isolated criminal activity, civil unrest, or actions by unrelated third parties will not count unless officially attributed to Israel or Hezbollah by credible reporting.
* The seven-day period begins at the publicly announced start time of the ceasefire or at the earliest documented point when both sides are considered bound by the ceasefire.
* Any verified direct military attack by either Israel or Hezbollah during the seven-day period will invalidate that period. A later ceasefire may still qualify if it subsequently achieves seven consecutive attack-free days before the resolution date.
The market will otherwise resolve to "No".
-Resolution Source
Official statements from the Israeli government, Hezbollah, the Lebanese government, and/or internationally recognized mediators, with confirmation from major international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press, AFP, BBC, or similar reputable outlets. In the event of conflicting reports, consensus reporting from multiple reputable sources will be used.
-Market Title
Will a 7-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah be fully implemented before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Israel and Hezbollah successfully implement a ceasefire that results in seven consecutive full days without any direct military attacks by either side.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and a subsequent period of seven consecutive 24-hour days during which neither Israel nor Hezbollah conducts any direct military attack against the other.
For the purposes of this market:
* Direct military attacks include, but are not limited to, airstrikes, missile launches, rocket fire, drone strikes, artillery attacks, armed cross-border raids, or officially acknowledged military operations targeting the opposing side.
* Isolated criminal activity, civil unrest, or actions by unrelated third parties will not count unless officially attributed to Israel or Hezbollah by credible reporting.
* The seven-day period begins at the publicly announced start time of the ceasefire or at the earliest documented point when both sides are considered bound by the ceasefire.
* Any verified direct military attack by either Israel or Hezbollah during the seven-day period will invalidate that period. A later ceasefire may still qualify if it subsequently achieves seven consecutive attack-free days before the resolution date.
The market will otherwise resolve to "No".
-Resolution Source
Official statements from the Israeli government, Hezbollah, the Lebanese government, and/or internationally recognized mediators, with confirmation from major international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press, AFP, BBC, or similar reputable outlets. In the event of conflicting reports, consensus reporting from multiple reputable sources will be used.
-Market Title
Will a 7-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah be fully implemented before December 31, 2026?
-Outcomes
Yes
No
-Market Description
This market concerns whether Israel and Hezbollah successfully implement a ceasefire that results in seven consecutive full days without any direct military attacks by either side.
-Proposed Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah and a subsequent period of seven consecutive 24-hour days during which neither Israel nor Hezbollah conducts any direct military attack against the other.
For the purposes of this market:
* Direct military attacks include, but are not limited to, airstrikes, missile launches, rocket fire, drone strikes, artillery attacks, armed cross-border raids, or officially acknowledged military operations targeting the opposing side.
* Isolated criminal activity, civil unrest, or actions by unrelated third parties will not count unless officially attributed to Israel or Hezbollah by credible reporting.
* The seven-day period begins at the publicly announced start time of the ceasefire or at the earliest documented point when both sides are considered bound by the ceasefire.
* Any verified direct military attack by either Israel or Hezbollah during the seven-day period will invalidate that period. A later ceasefire may still qualify if it subsequently achieves seven consecutive attack-free days before the resolution date.
The market will otherwise resolve to "No".
-Resolution Source
Official statements from the Israeli government, Hezbollah, the Lebanese government, and/or internationally recognized mediators, with confirmation from major international news organizations such as Reuters, Associated Press, AFP, BBC, or similar reputable outlets. In the event of conflicting reports, consensus reporting from multiple reputable sources will be used.
trump agrees to iranian enrichment by 30 june
trump agrees to iranian enrichment by 30 june
At Évian for the G7 meeting, however, Trump conceded Iran had a right to continue enrich uranium, saying it could not be excluded because other countries in the region had nuclear programmes.
isnt this a YES ??
https://polymarket.com/fr/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30
At Évian for the G7 meeting, however, Trump conceded Iran had a right to continue enrich uranium, saying it could not be excluded because other countries in the region had nuclear programmes.
isnt this a YES ??
https://polymarket.com/fr/event/what-iranian-demands-will-trump-agree-to-by-june-30
4. Guardian (June 18, 2026): U.S. retreat from "zero enrichment"
4. Guardian (June 18, 2026): U.S. retreat from "zero enrichment"
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
how is this at 5c ?? he clearly said its ok for iran to do as other gulf states has nuclear technology
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States agrees to the continued enrichment of uranium by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
how is this at 5c ?? he clearly said its ok for iran to do as other gulf states has nuclear technology
then u lost everything
then u lost everything
imagine the amount of time u invested in this
imagine the amount of time u invested in this
bro uve got 39k predictions
bro uve got 39k predictions
feels bad for this one also
feels bad for this one also
i feel they will
i feel they will
scotland to score against morocco is at 5c
scotland to score against morocco is at 5c
then ill be back on september
then ill be back on september
i want some 1c market to flip n make a million then go to miami n chill
i want some 1c market to flip n make a million then go to miami n chill
this day had the same profit as Warren buffet guy , now i got 1k profit all he has 170k
this day had the same profit as Warren buffet guy , now i got 1k profit all he has 170k
brooo how can u sleep <@964053839315619872>
brooo how can u sleep <@964053839315619872>
then ur a scammer
then ur a scammer
was supposed to be 75k up
was supposed to be 75k up
they scammed me on hezbo x israel peace deal
they scammed me on hezbo x israel peace deal
we had the same profit 7 days ago bruh
we had the same profit 7 days ago bruh
this warren buffet gut was at 12k profit 7 days ago now bro got 180k
this warren buffet gut was at 12k profit 7 days ago now bro got 180k
but theres a lot of good profitable ppl on this platform that's why im tryin
but theres a lot of good profitable ppl on this platform that's why im tryin
what is airdrop
what is airdrop
now im back to 0
now im back to 0
was up like 10k but my bet on israel hezbo peace deal was like 75k shares so i didnt cashout n lost it
was up like 10k but my bet on israel hezbo peace deal was like 75k shares so i didnt cashout n lost it
actually im new here u can see my profil josephisgreat
actually im new here u can see my profil josephisgreat
u never took a 1 day break bro
u never took a 1 day break bro
then he stopped for a long time
then he stopped for a long time
secondwindcapital
secondwindcapital
there is one trader who lost like i remember his name
there is one trader who lost like i remember his name
damn bruh really it's been few days i check ur account to see if ull keep going
damn bruh really it's been few days i check ur account to see if ull keep going
like if i put an order 100k usd but it's never happening do i get money off that ?
like if i put an order 100k usd but it's never happening do i get money off that ?
u get money from order that doesn't get filled ?
u get money from order that doesn't get filled ?
i was finding u in every market i was ever checking bro u got 30k predictions
i was finding u in every market i was ever checking bro u got 30k predictions
how did u lose 600k bruh
how did u lose 600k bruh
nah im new here bro
nah im new here bro
😂😂😂😂
😂😂😂😂
is it bro
is it bro
i was up 24 may 10k and now im only 1k in p and i feel very bad how about him
i was up 24 may 10k and now im only 1k in p and i feel very bad how about him
i feel very bad for this man bro was 600k up
i feel very bad for this man bro was 600k up
n there's intense fighting in lebanon now so guess its fucked up
n there's intense fighting in lebanon now so guess its fucked up
israel could strike tomorrow lebanon heavily and the talks would get delayed
israel could strike tomorrow lebanon heavily and the talks would get delayed
ofc they will meet before 30 june but not sunday
ofc they will meet before 30 june but not sunday
You said sunday bro
You said sunday bro
the qatari delegation is still there also which could be a reason that its very possible
the qatari delegation is still there also which could be a reason that its very possible
if they meet would meet for negotiations in details with professionals not to take pics together
if they meet would meet for negotiations in details with professionals not to take pics together
never would be low level bruh
never would be low level bruh
but i dont see it coming cause the israelis are still trying to take the hill in lebanon
but i dont see it coming cause the israelis are still trying to take the hill in lebanon
it could happen
it could happen
guess if the strikes on lebanon stopped
guess if the strikes on lebanon stopped