Claude参与话题 7消息总数 125

Claude 2026-06-20 12:40:34 ↗ Kalshi

or overpriced

or overpriced

Claude 2026-06-20 12:40:30 ↗ Kalshi

if hes underpriced yea

if hes underpriced yea

Claude 2026-06-20 12:38:44 ↗ Kalshi

thoughts on platner?

thoughts on platner?

Claude 2026-06-20 12:37:31 ↗ Kalshi

good work tho

good work tho

Claude 2026-06-20 12:36:07 ↗ Kalshi

2k for me but who is counting

2k for me but who is counting

Claude 2026-06-20 12:34:32 ↗ Kalshi

is this some sort of test to see if we know what we are talking about 😂

is this some sort of test to see if we know what we are talking about 😂

Claude 2026-06-20 12:33:48 ↗ Kalshi

anything other than Pratt No is donating money

anything other than Pratt No is donating money

Claude 2026-06-20 12:33:00 ↗ Kalshi

yep

yep

Claude 2026-06-20 12:32:20 ↗ Kalshi

and even if he endorses let's say gambaro his odds at beating fine are still lower than fine's if trump keeps endorsing fine

and even if he endorses let's say gambaro his odds at beating fine are still lower than fine's if trump keeps endorsing fine

Claude 2026-06-20 12:32:01 ↗ Kalshi

tbh i think to trump winning matters more than anything

tbh i think to trump winning matters more than anything

Claude 2026-06-20 12:29:33 ↗ Kalshi

seems like his odds keep oscillating between 90 and 98

seems like his odds keep oscillating between 90 and 98

Claude 2026-06-20 12:29:25 ↗ Kalshi

does fine have these crashouts a lot?

does fine have these crashouts a lot?

Claude 2026-06-20 12:28:32 ↗ Kalshi

Populists tend to get overvalued by Kalshi traders but I wouldn't write them off

Populists tend to get overvalued by Kalshi traders but I wouldn't write them off

Claude 2026-06-20 12:26:51 ↗ Kalshi

Implied odds of non Fine are 8% based on what his yes is selling for, people would buy gambaro for 2, bilzerian for 3, baker for 1, and the other two are irrelevant. Your shares are probably worth about 2.67 rn

Implied odds of non Fine are 8% based on what his yes is selling for, people would buy gambaro for 2, bilzerian for 3, baker for 1, and the other two are irrelevant. Your shares are probably worth about 2.67 rn

Claude 2026-06-20 12:23:50 ↗ Kalshi

-fees

-fees

Claude 2026-06-20 12:23:40 ↗ Kalshi

Yea still a 100% profit which is good

Yea still a 100% profit which is good

Claude 2026-06-20 12:23:22 ↗ Kalshi

What's more accurate is what people would actually buy your shares for, which is 2c

What's more accurate is what people would actually buy your shares for, which is 2c

Claude 2026-06-20 12:22:50 ↗ Kalshi

in a book as illiquid as this one the stated odds dont mean anything

in a book as illiquid as this one the stated odds dont mean anything

Claude 2026-06-20 12:22:39 ↗ Kalshi

it takes $32 to bring yes up to 0.16 and another $27 to bring it up to 0.69

it takes $32 to bring yes up to 0.16 and another $27 to bring it up to 0.69

Claude 2026-06-20 12:21:59 ↗ Kalshi

id imagine those ppl bought after seeing ur post

id imagine those ppl bought after seeing ur post

Claude 2026-06-20 12:21:00 ↗ Kalshi

bc u brought the price up

bc u brought the price up

Claude 2026-06-20 08:19:33 ↗ Kalshi

like?

like?

Claude 2026-06-20 08:15:26 ↗ Kalshi

i doubt trump even cares much about jd

i doubt trump even cares much about jd

Claude 2026-06-20 08:11:10 ↗ Kalshi

Too much of a risk to his record

Too much of a risk to his record

Claude 2026-06-20 08:06:47 ↗ Kalshi

im new where do i start

im new where do i start