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i2dt 2026-06-05 01:41:37 Kalshi

hold up - you're saying trump is going to make california and newsom a big issue of his?

hold up - you're saying trump is going to make california and newsom a big issue of his?

i2dt 2026-06-05 01:29:41 Kalshi

i do like 90% of my trades on mobile. it's not ideal, but can't on a work computer and then I fit them at night when ignoring my kids on the couch

i do like 90% of my trades on mobile. it's not ideal, but can't on a work computer and then I fit them at night when ignoring my kids on the couch

i2dt 2026-06-05 00:54:00 Kalshi

This is going to be an all-time tweet

This is going to be an all-time tweet

i2dt 2026-06-04 23:50:21 Kalshi

Someone made this point last night, but it’s most hilarious in the kalshi live chat for the market where people who hold Pratt Y are talking about how clear it was that commiefornia would rig the election against him

Someone made this point last night, but it’s most hilarious in the kalshi live chat for the market where people who hold Pratt Y are talking about how clear it was that commiefornia would rig the election against him

There was probably no scenario where Raman was ahead of Pratt on day one, although the slow trickle for a week+ to have her pass him is definitely the most entertaining way to do it

There was probably no scenario where Raman was ahead of Pratt on day one, although the slow trickle for a week+ to have her pass him is definitely the most entertaining way to do it

i2dt 2026-06-04 14:00:24 Kalshi

At least we can bet against them

At least we can bet against them

i2dt 2026-06-04 13:40:55 Kalshi

This is a great thread if you want to lose some brain cells https://x.com/thevillagerabbi/status/2062351931608363028?s=20

This is a great thread if you want to lose some brain cells https://x.com/thevillagerabbi/status/2062351931608363028?s=20

i2dt 2026-06-04 12:36:58 Kalshi

Are you related to Steve Hilton

Are you related to Steve Hilton

i2dt 2026-06-04 12:23:20 Kalshi

Create an AI agent of the median LA voter that runs election models

Create an AI agent of the median LA voter that runs election models

i2dt 2026-06-04 12:20:25 Kalshi

Ngl the way that one chick says her last name is hot af

Ngl the way that one chick says her last name is hot af

i2dt 2026-06-04 12:01:46 Kalshi

Who are these number guys

Who are these number guys

i2dt 2026-06-04 11:55:22 Kalshi

Kalshi live chat for LA mayor is just the brokest people clinging to their $100 Pratt Y bets and nonsenseking just walks in with his $600k Pratt N bet

Kalshi live chat for LA mayor is just the brokest people clinging to their $100 Pratt Y bets and nonsenseking just walks in with his $600k Pratt N bet

i2dt 2026-06-04 11:52:23 Kalshi

Well I own bitcoin and I have no money anymore so it’s a wash

Well I own bitcoin and I have no money anymore so it’s a wash

i2dt 2026-06-04 11:01:45 Kalshi

Probably take a week+ to resolve and the smart ones with money can use it better betting against Pratt Y holders

Probably take a week+ to resolve and the smart ones with money can use it better betting against Pratt Y holders

i2dt 2026-06-04 09:08:47 Kalshi

meatball ron is too smart for commiefornia

meatball ron is too smart for commiefornia

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:57:34 Kalshi

apparently pratt shoulda attended more cookouts in south LA https://votehub.com/2026_la_mayor

apparently pratt shoulda attended more cookouts in south LA https://votehub.com/2026_la_mayor

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:49:28 Kalshi

do you like dogs being killed by a homeless guy shooting up heroin next to your toddler on the seesaw? then keep buying Raman Y

do you like dogs being killed by a homeless guy shooting up heroin next to your toddler on the seesaw? then keep buying Raman Y

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:46:50 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/luna-terra-ust-message-money-gif-23530621

https://tenor.com/view/luna-terra-ust-message-money-gif-23530621

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:44:57 Kalshi

a true Pratt fan uses Grok

a true Pratt fan uses Grok

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:24:26 Kalshi

if we assume the later ballots are undecided dems and also young lazy people, they should get more lbue

if we assume the later ballots are undecided dems and also young lazy people, they should get more lbue

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:20:34 Kalshi

are they counting ballots in order of received? i.e., so the last ballot counted will be the last one received? (I guess this kinda has to happen this way with postmarked ballots arriving late)

are they counting ballots in order of received? i.e., so the last ballot counted will be the last one received? (I guess this kinda has to happen this way with postmarked ballots arriving late)

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:19:03 Kalshi

twitter is saying the LA drop was good for steyer, not the rate he needs, but a good jump regardless and he is in play

twitter is saying the LA drop was good for steyer, not the rate he needs, but a good jump regardless and he is in play

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:16:58 Kalshi

Pratt getting the dreaded Kalshi decimal point

Pratt getting the dreaded Kalshi decimal point

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:14:48 Kalshi

hmm wonder what DDHQ is different

hmm wonder what DDHQ is different

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:14:09 Kalshi

66.08% reported now, anyone know what % it was before?

66.08% reported now, anyone know what % it was before?

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:13:38 Kalshi

oh snap

oh snap

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:13:07 Kalshi

whats the delta on pratt/raman

whats the delta on pratt/raman

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:13:02 Kalshi

damnit shoudla taken a snapshot of the totals before

damnit shoudla taken a snapshot of the totals before

i2dt 2026-06-04 07:06:25 Kalshi

i think 5pm was more so the time cited by most counties, but suppose it can start dropping any minute

i think 5pm was more so the time cited by most counties, but suppose it can start dropping any minute

i2dt 2026-06-04 06:57:06 Kalshi

why you gonna sell me raman so cheap

why you gonna sell me raman so cheap

i2dt 2026-06-04 06:21:11 Kalshi

i panic sold a little this morning at 9c but bought back at 14c. I think that's how you make a profit?

i panic sold a little this morning at 9c but bought back at 14c. I think that's how you make a profit?

i2dt 2026-06-04 05:46:16 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/dr-strange-14000605-whatre-the-odds-1-in-a-million-avengers-gif-6248140410167077711

https://tenor.com/view/dr-strange-14000605-whatre-the-odds-1-in-a-million-avengers-gif-6248140410167077711

i2dt 2026-06-04 02:52:35 Kalshi

i just bought 10k shares of Raman Y based upon this teaser

i just bought 10k shares of Raman Y based upon this teaser

i2dt 2026-06-04 02:45:08 Kalshi

the year is 2007. you just spent the night watching the apprentice, then flipped over to MTV to catch the hills. your future self stops by to tell you you just saw the future two time president and mayor of LA. you die yourself.

the year is 2007. you just spent the night watching the apprentice, then flipped over to MTV to catch the hills. your future self stops by to tell you you just saw the future two time president and mayor of LA. you die yourself.

i2dt 2026-06-04 01:33:07 Kalshi

so cursed but I have bought Y for this

so cursed but I have bought Y for this

i2dt 2026-06-04 01:07:27 Kalshi

felt more comfortable with senate before tho. both MI/ME feel on the iffier side now

felt more comfortable with senate before tho. both MI/ME feel on the iffier side now

i2dt 2026-06-04 01:06:31 Kalshi

I thought it'd be worse by now so idk. but they are releasing from the SPR like mad and they can't do that much longer

I thought it'd be worse by now so idk. but they are releasing from the SPR like mad and they can't do that much longer

i2dt 2026-06-04 01:06:10 Kalshi

my general bullishness of dems compared to current prices pretty much totally rides on them losing control of gas prices this summer

my general bullishness of dems compared to current prices pretty much totally rides on them losing control of gas prices this summer

i2dt 2026-06-04 01:05:35 Kalshi

good points, i agree with both those assumptions. at the least the price diff between gov/sen should be smaller

good points, i agree with both those assumptions. at the least the price diff between gov/sen should be smaller

i2dt 2026-06-04 00:54:29 Kalshi

https://tenor.com/view/daddys-home2-daddys-home2gifs-stop-it-stop-that-i-mean-it-gif-9694318

https://tenor.com/view/daddys-home2-daddys-home2gifs-stop-it-stop-that-i-mean-it-gif-9694318

i2dt 2026-06-04 00:51:53 Kalshi

Hinson seems better than Lahn, from very little research on my part. And Sand has better recognition/cred from being elected statewide before. So it kinda makes sense GOV is higher for D, but I have not really dived deep

Hinson seems better than Lahn, from very little research on my part. And Sand has better recognition/cred from being elected statewide before. So it kinda makes sense GOV is higher for D, but I have not really dived deep

i2dt 2026-06-04 00:37:53 Kalshi

yeah thats interesting. maine seems like a pain to poll

yeah thats interesting. maine seems like a pain to poll

i2dt 2026-06-04 00:31:00 Kalshi

I would even if it had trumps dumb face on it

I would even if it had trumps dumb face on it

i2dt 2026-06-04 00:28:33 Kalshi

Cooked is strong word but maybe the race is 50/50 now if that’s the best internal he can come up with

Cooked is strong word but maybe the race is 50/50 now if that’s the best internal he can come up with

i2dt 2026-06-04 00:27:57 Kalshi

wtf I didn’t know of this market, that is free money

wtf I didn’t know of this market, that is free money

i2dt 2026-06-03 23:45:48 Kalshi

oh, yeah trumps guy

oh, yeah trumps guy

i2dt 2026-06-03 23:45:16 Kalshi

weren't you a turek guy?

weren't you a turek guy?

i2dt 2026-06-03 22:29:15 Kalshi

Last night further emphasized that the left in California is not a far left state, it’s a neoliberal state that loves their center left politicians. The left in other states are usually more left

Last night further emphasized that the left in California is not a far left state, it’s a neoliberal state that loves their center left politicians. The left in other states are usually more left

i2dt 2026-06-03 22:22:23 Kalshi

(Pratt is moderate)

(Pratt is moderate)

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