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i2dt 2026-07-01 04:41:11 Kalshi

See you in Valhalla brother (profit here is exaggerated due to someone clearing the book)

See you in Valhalla brother (profit here is exaggerated due to someone clearing the book)

i2dt 2026-07-01 04:32:39 Kalshi

Get aboard the Janoo train before it’s too late

Get aboard the Janoo train before it’s too late

i2dt 2026-07-01 00:28:12 Kalshi

lol nice. Seems like before YouTube made swap meet and thrift store hunting so popular you could really find cheap older games

lol nice. Seems like before YouTube made swap meet and thrift store hunting so popular you could really find cheap older games

i2dt 2026-06-30 23:46:05 Kalshi

honestly would be a great sequel to this game i played a bunch as a kid

honestly would be a great sequel to this game i played a bunch as a kid

coulda made a shitload if you reacted to it being fake news. i didnt read the article but seems like it read like something prewritten

coulda made a shitload if you reacted to it being fake news. i didnt read the article but seems like it read like something prewritten

i2dt 2026-06-30 23:03:14 Kalshi

Fishback still has to shock the world in Florida. You know who is free? Spencer Pratt.

Fishback still has to shock the world in Florida. You know who is free? Spencer Pratt.

i2dt 2026-06-30 11:50:08 Kalshi

The Fishback bull case keeps getting stronger

The Fishback bull case keeps getting stronger

i2dt 2026-06-30 11:12:07 Kalshi

Damn, what’s your entry?

Damn, what’s your entry?

i2dt 2026-06-30 10:34:55 Kalshi

Pratt 2.0 begins in 2029 https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2071773234551238771?s=20

Pratt 2.0 begins in 2029 https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2071773234551238771?s=20

i2dt 2026-06-30 08:29:58 Kalshi

I guess not at all since I just remembered it’s a top four advance primary

I guess not at all since I just remembered it’s a top four advance primary

i2dt 2026-06-30 07:14:36 Kalshi

It's funny to think if this affects the EV of Senator Dan Sullivan at all https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2071726891313090626

It's funny to think if this affects the EV of Senator Dan Sullivan at all https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2071726891313090626

i2dt 2026-06-30 06:35:06 Kalshi

He's seen the internals. DeGette is cooked

He's seen the internals. DeGette is cooked

i2dt 2026-06-30 02:10:09 Kalshi

NH more in play for them than NC also

NH more in play for them than NC also

i2dt 2026-06-30 02:09:14 Kalshi

Ossoff FV is 95+ so I def believe NH is more in play for Rs

Ossoff FV is 95+ so I def believe NH is more in play for Rs

i2dt 2026-06-30 00:28:46 Kalshi

do we think this is the DSA manipulating odds like when they pushed Raman to over 60c

do we think this is the DSA manipulating odds like when they pushed Raman to over 60c

i2dt 2026-06-30 00:27:26 Kalshi

latino brandon gill

latino brandon gill

i2dt 2026-06-29 14:02:21 Kalshi

Gonzales is going to shock the world

Gonzales is going to shock the world

i2dt 2026-06-29 09:16:42 Kalshi

They were only off by like 15 points or so on this one, they’re legit

They were only off by like 15 points or so on this one, they’re legit

i2dt 2026-06-29 09:08:40 Kalshi

If dems want to win the senate, elect the Muslim socialist https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2071397755243618453?s=20

If dems want to win the senate, elect the Muslim socialist https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2071397755243618453?s=20

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:47:02 Kalshi

Well he’s generally in the bottom third or bottom half of senator popularity. And he will be 80 at end of term. And he voted for like 10 trump appointees.

Well he’s generally in the bottom third or bottom half of senator popularity. And he will be 80 at end of term. And he voted for like 10 trump appointees.

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:41:45 Kalshi

r/colorado

r/colorado

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:33:43 Kalshi

It’s interesting how it’s been like only a week since Bennett was 60-70y

It’s interesting how it’s been like only a week since Bennett was 60-70y

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:33:22 Kalshi

Yeah Weiser has more cred and also seems like he can appeal to white boomers

Yeah Weiser has more cred and also seems like he can appeal to white boomers

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:30:50 Kalshi

Gonzales never had a ton of money nor really relevant endorsements, for whatever reason. If she had real support and hype it coulda been different

Gonzales never had a ton of money nor really relevant endorsements, for whatever reason. If she had real support and hype it coulda been different

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:30:09 Kalshi

I would def agree but the better ROI is Gonzales at their current prices imo (it’s not a huge edge with her, she’s just super cheap)

I would def agree but the better ROI is Gonzales at their current prices imo (it’s not a huge edge with her, she’s just super cheap)

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:27:47 Kalshi

Idk I kinda feel Gonzales is a little undervalued. Like she’s at least 1 out of 10 imo. She’s not a stellar statewide candidate, but hickenlooper isn’t popular, and latest poll in Gonzales was down by 11 with like 25-30% undecided. And this was before the socialist craze, which could result in higher Denver turnout for Kiros and Gonzales (a state senator from Denver) could benefit. Just my thinking, but it’s like she should be 10c not 6c

Idk I kinda feel Gonzales is a little undervalued. Like she’s at least 1 out of 10 imo. She’s not a stellar statewide candidate, but hickenlooper isn’t popular, and latest poll in Gonzales was down by 11 with like 25-30% undecided. And this was before the socialist craze, which could result in higher Denver turnout for Kiros and Gonzales (a state senator from Denver) could benefit. Just my thinking, but it’s like she should be 10c not 6c

i2dt 2026-06-29 08:25:59 Kalshi

Bennett also released an internal poll last week that was pretty embarrassing. Like he was ahead but the poll had a high % of undecideds and it was a month old. Reading between the lines not great

Bennett also released an internal poll last week that was pretty embarrassing. Like he was ahead but the poll had a high % of undecideds and it was a month old. Reading between the lines not great

i2dt 2026-06-29 05:23:48 Kalshi

https://denverite.com/2026/04/09/denver-congress-republican-candidate-christy-peterson/

https://denverite.com/2026/04/09/denver-congress-republican-candidate-christy-peterson/

I agree, I don’t bet on these, because I know to be able to right price for 9-12% or something would require some real number crunching. Whereas greater than 10% can be done more on vibes and intuition

I agree, I don’t bet on these, because I know to be able to right price for 9-12% or something would require some real number crunching. Whereas greater than 10% can be done more on vibes and intuition

i2dt 2026-06-28 11:41:39 Kalshi

This is the most millennial coded political poster I’ve ever seen

This is the most millennial coded political poster I’ve ever seen

i2dt 2026-06-28 09:49:09 Kalshi

No poll will be worse than Selzer Iowa President poll (even if the gap wasn’t 30 points)

No poll will be worse than Selzer Iowa President poll (even if the gap wasn’t 30 points)

i2dt 2026-06-28 09:23:04 Kalshi

Do we know if Fleming has hired the City of LA vote counters

Do we know if Fleming has hired the City of LA vote counters

i2dt 2026-06-28 09:20:12 Kalshi

Is this when you show everyone you’ve had $15k on letlow this entire time

Is this when you show everyone you’ve had $15k on letlow this entire time

i2dt 2026-06-28 09:01:32 Kalshi

Y’all keep sweating the R race, I’m sweating Jamie Davis Jr vs Gary Crockett

Y’all keep sweating the R race, I’m sweating Jamie Davis Jr vs Gary Crockett

i2dt 2026-06-28 05:09:29 Kalshi

The Pamela Evette of Louisiana

The Pamela Evette of Louisiana

i2dt 2026-06-28 01:33:24 Kalshi

Very cursed response but also nonzero chance those two did it

Very cursed response but also nonzero chance those two did it

i2dt 2026-06-28 01:32:19 Kalshi

“So few”

“So few”

i2dt 2026-06-27 07:21:41 Kalshi

Never fade Trump - he’s 135-0 on endorsements

Never fade Trump - he’s 135-0 on endorsements

i2dt 2026-06-27 01:28:04 Kalshi

don't be dismissive of the greatest threat to America in its 250 year history

don't be dismissive of the greatest threat to America in its 250 year history

betting on elections has existed for two decades now on the internet and no one really cared until recently. I think its just a societal culmination of gambling being everywhere and the sense of exploitation and greed from these companies, and political betting becoming unpopular is an unfortunate side effect

betting on elections has existed for two decades now on the internet and no one really cared until recently. I think its just a societal culmination of gambling being everywhere and the sense of exploitation and greed from these companies, and political betting becoming unpopular is an unfortunate side effect

Yeah sometimes markets are like this. Think they’re using AI or something to be dynamic about rewards but it just kills the motivation to participate. I prefer markets that have established steady rewards

Yeah sometimes markets are like this. Think they’re using AI or something to be dynamic about rewards but it just kills the motivation to participate. I prefer markets that have established steady rewards

i2dt 2026-06-26 12:29:16 Kalshi

I remember researching I think Sweetser was endorsed by the two top dems in the Alabama house (who were black)… so I was like ok he’s got cred there. But no lol. He even finished behind the other white guy who was very unremarkable

I remember researching I think Sweetser was endorsed by the two top dems in the Alabama house (who were black)… so I was like ok he’s got cred there. But no lol. He even finished behind the other white guy who was very unremarkable

i2dt 2026-06-26 11:48:00 Kalshi

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2070351332494483618

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2070351332494483618

i2dt 2026-06-26 11:45:20 Kalshi

Yeah these races where the party is an auto loss in the general so there’s never any media or polling.. local knowledge would really help

Yeah these races where the party is an auto loss in the general so there’s never any media or polling.. local knowledge would really help

i2dt 2026-06-26 11:42:25 Kalshi

Yeah lol, that was a big lesson for me to never be too confident if there’s zero polls. (Although I bet big on Munson in Oklahoma because of excellent socials and she did great)

Yeah lol, that was a big lesson for me to never be too confident if there’s zero polls. (Although I bet big on Munson in Oklahoma because of excellent socials and she did great)

i2dt 2026-06-26 11:37:04 Kalshi

Although not always predictive. One guy in Alabama dem senate primary I was bullish on because his socials and he finished 4th

Although not always predictive. One guy in Alabama dem senate primary I was bullish on because his socials and he finished 4th

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