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cylex 2026-06-07 12:59:21 Polymarket

not sure what type of reporting you'd like to see, but requiring it be classified as diplomatic is an unreasonably high bar that we did not use for either US x Cuba meeting or Russia x Ukraine meeting

not sure what type of reporting you'd like to see, but requiring it be classified as diplomatic is an unreasonably high bar that we did not use for either US x Cuba meeting or Russia x Ukraine meeting

cylex 2026-06-07 12:58:21 Polymarket

show me one article classifying us x cuba meeting as diplomatic

show me one article classifying us x cuba meeting as diplomatic

cylex 2026-06-07 12:57:59 Polymarket

Cuba precedent: reporting doesnt matter. but pop off king

Cuba precedent: reporting doesnt matter. but pop off king

cylex 2026-06-07 12:55:46 Polymarket

**Iranian football team is scheduled to arrive in California June 15th.**

**Iranian football team is scheduled to arrive in California June 15th.**

cylex 2026-06-07 12:55:39 Polymarket

US x Cuba Diplomatic Meeting Precedent: meeting does not need to be explicitly classified as diplomatic to count. Ukraine x Russia Diplomatic Meeting Precedent: meeting does not have to have high-level officials present. Ping Pong Diplomacy Historical Precedent: explicit classification from the US state department of a similar scenario (US table tennis team simply visiting China in 1971) counting as diplomacy. (https://diplomacy.state.gov/ping-pong-diplomacy-historic-1971-u-s-table-tennis-trip-to-china/) Surrounding Context: Trump, Marco Rubio, US Ambassador to Turkey, and Iran have all commented on the Visa approval process for the Iranian team which was finally granted, meaning it is clearly significant and a state-level matter, with US head of state even commenting on it

US x Cuba Diplomatic Meeting Precedent: meeting does not need to be explicitly classified as diplomatic to count. Ukraine x Russia Diplomatic Meeting Precedent: meeting does not have to have high-level officials present. Ping Pong Diplomacy Historical Precedent: explicit classification from the US state department of a similar scenario (US table tennis team simply visiting China in 1971) counting as diplomacy. (https://diplomacy.state.gov/ping-pong-diplomacy-historic-1971-u-s-table-tennis-trip-to-china/) Surrounding Context: Trump, Marco Rubio, US Ambassador to Turkey, and Iran have all commented on the Visa approval process for the Iranian team which was finally granted, meaning it is clearly significant and a state-level matter, with US head of state even commenting on it

<@1272383282687905939> can we get a preemptive clarification. btw, if you clarify that such an event would be P1, you are admitting that cuba was a misresolve

<@1272383282687905939> can we get a preemptive clarification. btw, if you clarify that such an event would be P1, you are admitting that cuba was a misresolve

cylex 2026-06-07 12:54:33 Polymarket

**Iranian football team is scheduled to arrive in California June 15th. **

**Iranian football team is scheduled to arrive in California June 15th. **

this isn;t a scam. everything points to it being P2. US x Cuba Diplomatic Meeting precedent: meeting does not need to be explicitly classified as diplomatic to count. Ukraine x Russia Diplomatic precedent: meeting does not have to have high-level officials present. Ping Pong Diplomacy Historical precedent: explicit classification from the US state department of a similar scenario (US table tennis team simply visiting China in 1971 counting as diplomacy). Surrounding Context: Trump, Marco Rubio, US Ambassador to Turkey, and Iran have all commented on the Visa approval process for the Iranian team which was finally granted, meaning it is clearly significant and is a state-level matter, with US head of state even commenting on it

this isn;t a scam. everything points to it being P2. US x Cuba Diplomatic Meeting precedent: meeting does not need to be explicitly classified as diplomatic to count. Ukraine x Russia Diplomatic precedent: meeting does not have to have high-level officials present. Ping Pong Diplomacy Historical precedent: explicit classification from the US state department of a similar scenario (US table tennis team simply visiting China in 1971 counting as diplomacy). Surrounding Context: Trump, Marco Rubio, US Ambassador to Turkey, and Iran have all commented on the Visa approval process for the Iranian team which was finally granted, meaning it is clearly significant and is a state-level matter, with US head of state even commenting on it

cylex 2026-06-07 12:49:17 Polymarket

if you look at the back and forth, Trump initially said they shouldnt come, then Iran insisted that "no one can exclude" them from playing, then the US caved and granted the team visas. clearly diplomacy

if you look at the back and forth, Trump initially said they shouldnt come, then Iran insisted that "no one can exclude" them from playing, then the US caved and granted the team visas. clearly diplomacy

cylex 2026-06-07 12:47:55 Polymarket

precedent is precedent.

precedent is precedent.

cylex 2026-06-07 12:47:44 Polymarket

yeah, Trump and the US ambassador to Turkey who helped with the visa approvals have both commented on the team coming. clearly significant

yeah, Trump and the US ambassador to Turkey who helped with the visa approvals have both commented on the team coming. clearly significant

Cuba precedent: meeting does not have to be classified as diplomatic to count. show me one article, or US southcom/Cuba saying it was diplomatic. they didnt, and market went p2

Cuba precedent: meeting does not have to be classified as diplomatic to count. show me one article, or US southcom/Cuba saying it was diplomatic. they didnt, and market went p2

cylex 2026-06-07 12:46:07 Polymarket

it will count regardless, based on Cuba precedent

it will count regardless, based on Cuba precedent

cylex 2026-06-07 12:45:44 Polymarket

even Trump has commented on them coming over, and diplomats have made statements on the visa approval process. it clearly is a thawing of relationships and diplomatic

even Trump has commented on them coming over, and diplomats have made statements on the visa approval process. it clearly is a thawing of relationships and diplomatic

cylex 2026-06-07 12:45:05 Polymarket

US table tennis team visting china in 1971 admist thorny relations counts. i dont see why Iranian football team visting us in 2026 admist thorny relations wouldnt count

US table tennis team visting china in 1971 admist thorny relations counts. i dont see why Iranian football team visting us in 2026 admist thorny relations wouldnt count

cylex 2026-06-07 12:43:52 Polymarket

here is state department itself saying it counts: https://diplomacy.state.gov/ping-pong-diplomacy-historic-1971-u-s-table-tennis-trip-to-china/ (US govt is a resolution source right?)

here is state department itself saying it counts: https://diplomacy.state.gov/ping-pong-diplomacy-historic-1971-u-s-table-tennis-trip-to-china/ (US govt is a resolution source right?)

cylex 2026-06-07 12:43:23 Polymarket

google ping pong diplomacy

google ping pong diplomacy

cylex 2026-06-07 12:40:34 Polymarket

meant pre-emptive clarification before the dispute

meant pre-emptive clarification before the dispute

cylex 2026-06-07 12:40:01 Polymarket

yep, and hopefully they learned their mistake

yep, and hopefully they learned their mistake

cylex 2026-06-07 12:39:03 Polymarket

<@1272383282687905939>

<@1272383282687905939>

scammers will try to p1 this even though we have US x Cuba Diplomatic Meeting precedent, Russia x Ukraine Diplomatic Meeting precedent, Ping Pong Diplomacy historical precedent, US State Dept classification of Ping Pong Diplomacy as Diplomacy, both Trump and Iran making a big deal of Visa approval process, etc. <@941405798096076880> can we get a pre-emptive clarification?

scammers will try to p1 this even though we have US x Cuba Diplomatic Meeting precedent, Russia x Ukraine Diplomatic Meeting precedent, Ping Pong Diplomacy historical precedent, US State Dept classification of Ping Pong Diplomacy as Diplomacy, both Trump and Iran making a big deal of Visa approval process, etc. <@941405798096076880> can we get a pre-emptive clarification?

cylex 2026-06-07 12:37:57 Polymarket

so fv is 80c imo

so fv is 80c imo

cylex 2026-06-07 12:37:42 Polymarket

still potential for their visas to be revoked... and another point on Iranian soccer team coming counting as diplomacy: their visa approval process has been commented on by even Trump, and made a big deal by both Iran and the US

still potential for their visas to be revoked... and another point on Iranian soccer team coming counting as diplomacy: their visa approval process has been commented on by even Trump, and made a big deal by both Iran and the US

cylex 2026-06-07 12:36:27 Polymarket

if government statements cant resolve this market then no source can.

if government statements cant resolve this market then no source can.

cylex 2026-06-07 12:35:31 Polymarket

yep, agreed. based on this logic, Iranian Football (Soccer) Team entering US this month should also qualify.

yep, agreed. based on this logic, Iranian Football (Soccer) Team entering US this month should also qualify.

cylex 2026-06-07 12:35:01 Polymarket

source: US State Department

source: US State Department

cylex 2026-06-07 12:33:36 Polymarket

US x Iran diplo meeting June 15th strike should be trading at 80c

US x Iran diplo meeting June 15th strike should be trading at 80c

US State Department counts American players entering China in 1971 as "Ping Pong Diplomacy" https://diplomacy.state.gov/ping-pong-diplomacy-historic-1971-u-s-table-tennis-trip-to-china/ So we have the US government themselves saying this scenario counts, with Iranian Team scheduled to arrive in Califonia on June 15th

US State Department counts American players entering China in 1971 as "Ping Pong Diplomacy" https://diplomacy.state.gov/ping-pong-diplomacy-historic-1971-u-s-table-tennis-trip-to-china/ So we have the US government themselves saying this scenario counts, with Iranian Team scheduled to arrive in Califonia on June 15th

cylex 2026-06-07 12:28:44 Polymarket

all planned btw

all planned btw

cylex 2026-06-07 12:28:38 Polymarket

in reality i disputed cuba 4x and lost to establish what counts as a diplomatic meeting precedent, and will make it all back on the diplo meeting scheduled with Iran on the 15th, Inshallah.

in reality i disputed cuba 4x and lost to establish what counts as a diplomatic meeting precedent, and will make it all back on the diplo meeting scheduled with Iran on the 15th, Inshallah.

cylex 2026-06-07 12:25:33 Polymarket

ping pong diplomacy: Iranian soccer edition

ping pong diplomacy: Iranian soccer edition

cylex 2026-06-07 12:21:03 Polymarket

cuba precedent wohooooooo

cuba precedent wohooooooo

cylex 2026-06-07 12:20:58 Polymarket

exactly, ping pong diplomacy was a real thing!

exactly, ping pong diplomacy was a real thing!

if ping pong diplomacy is acknowledged as a textbook example of diplomacy, then the iranian soccer team coming to play in the us should be recognized as a form of diplomacy too!

if ping pong diplomacy is acknowledged as a textbook example of diplomacy, then the iranian soccer team coming to play in the us should be recognized as a form of diplomacy too!

cylex 2026-06-07 12:16:45 Polymarket

can we scam this

can we scam this

guys I just thought of something crazy… maybe Cuba precedent allows us to P2 Iran US diplomatic meeting when the Iranian World Cup team comes to the US?

guys I just thought of something crazy… maybe Cuba precedent allows us to P2 Iran US diplomatic meeting when the Iranian World Cup team comes to the US?

cylex 2026-06-07 07:09:20 Polymarket

had both. cats > dogs

had both. cats > dogs

cylex 2026-06-07 06:42:18 Polymarket

https://tenor.com/view/ayakta-kedi-dans-hand-music-gif-248834407502021295

https://tenor.com/view/ayakta-kedi-dans-hand-music-gif-248834407502021295

cylex 2026-06-07 05:33:09 Polymarket

arman said there was a 25% chance it goes no (meaning more likely it goes yes) and it went yes. quant.

arman said there was a 25% chance it goes no (meaning more likely it goes yes) and it went yes. quant.

cylex 2026-06-07 05:17:10 Polymarket

like 9 out of 10 strike markets got disputed too, which wasnt a good look

like 9 out of 10 strike markets got disputed too, which wasnt a good look

cylex 2026-06-06 15:50:56 Polymarket

car should be scientists conceal the secret

car should be scientists conceal the secret

cylex 2026-06-06 15:46:57 Polymarket

<:peepoLove:1379610853132730409>

<:peepoLove:1379610853132730409>

cylex 2026-06-06 15:45:18 Polymarket

sorry if it's excessive to everyone but gum

sorry if it's excessive to everyone but gum

cylex 2026-06-06 15:45:12 Polymarket

ive been trying to hard to limit by scientists reveal the secret spam out of respect for bosurm

ive been trying to hard to limit by scientists reveal the secret spam out of respect for bosurm

cylex 2026-06-06 15:43:45 Polymarket

https://tenor.com/view/let%27s-take-a-look-skeleton-skeleton-run-eyes-scientists-reveal-the-secret-gif-2670184264710437109

https://tenor.com/view/let%27s-take-a-look-skeleton-skeleton-run-eyes-scientists-reveal-the-secret-gif-2670184264710437109

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