该用户的聊天记录定位。
wtf is a portugal fullport
wtf is a portugal fullport
can we stage an intervention for dog
can we stage an intervention for dog
<:SCAMMED:1306493104341127209>
<:SCAMMED:1306493104341127209>
TRUMP REVEALS THE IRANIAN ENRICHMENT
TRUMP REVEALS THE IRANIAN ENRICHMENT
reveal
reveal
scientists
scientists
sonion
sonion
omg kill vs maim
omg kill vs maim
gm chat, any scams?
gm chat, any scams?
still a scammer to me 🙁
still a scammer to me 🙁
test
test
prediction market hub
prediction market hub
phub
phub
old poorsob would have eaten the 99.9 in two seconds. he's washed.
old poorsob would have eaten the 99.9 in two seconds. he's washed.
shirty ass bond, only 12.2% apr
shirty ass bond, only 12.2% apr
bm apy 99.9 3d
bm apy 99.9 3d
yeah idk why he thought everyone here is blind
yeah idk why he thought everyone here is blind
also, once again bumping the following new market requests: (more months on cuba sanctions relief) https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/775426315393433661/1515976678168334478 (peptide markets) https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/775426315393433661/1518448673367789660
also, once again bumping the following new market requests: (more months on cuba sanctions relief) https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/775426315393433661/1515976678168334478 (peptide markets) https://discord.com/channels/710897173927297116/775426315393433661/1518448673367789660
<@941405798096076880> : )
<@941405798096076880> : )
this allows me to build some "index" that keeps constant exposure to X happening without insane risk
this allows me to build some "index" that keeps constant exposure to X happening without insane risk
--- hence, I think it would be cool to implement this rule for markets as you see fit. i.e., **for most markets with a monthly expiry, make sure that at least two months for those markets are trading at once.** **so we get "Will X happen in June" and "Will X happen in July". then if the June strike settles No at the end of June, automatically release "Will X happen in August"** ---
--- hence, I think it would be cool to implement this rule for markets as you see fit. i.e., **for most markets with a monthly expiry, make sure that at least two months for those markets are trading at once.** **so we get "Will X happen in June" and "Will X happen in July". then if the June strike settles No at the end of June, automatically release "Will X happen in August"** ---
--- in prediction market strategies, a user holding a position on e.g. Will X happen in June", may want to 'roll' that position to "Will X happen in July" before the end of June, to mitigate risk or extend exposure. this is a huge part of actual financial markets with options and futures (and any instrument that has date strikes, really). for traders to be able to comfortably do this, the July strike needs to be released in a predictable manner before the end of the June strike. a simpler rule would be something like, at any moment, a market with a monthly expiry has TWO/THREE MONTHS actively trading.
--- in prediction market strategies, a user holding a position on e.g. Will X happen in June", may want to 'roll' that position to "Will X happen in July" before the end of June, to mitigate risk or extend exposure. this is a huge part of actual financial markets with options and futures (and any instrument that has date strikes, really). for traders to be able to comfortably do this, the July strike needs to be released in a predictable manner before the end of the June strike. a simpler rule would be something like, at any moment, a market with a monthly expiry has TWO/THREE MONTHS actively trading.
listening to vance speak is so difficult.
listening to vance speak is so difficult.
honestly so true
honestly so true
scam revealed
scam revealed
chin up vro
chin up vro
~~polymarket~~~ polymeowcat. wow.
~~polymarket~~~ polymeowcat. wow.
good morning chat
good morning chat
can we get far more peptides with same rules? https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfdaannounce/fda-announcement/kxfdaannounce-bpc?op_market_ticker=KXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC-26SEP01 context: FDA has announced a meeting next month where they are going to review the compounding Category of some 14 peptides https://www.pharmacytimes.com/view/the-peptide-reclassification-everyone-s-talking-about-a-pharmacist-s-take-on-what-rfk-jr-s-announcement-actually-means https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saUBqJcWc4k
can we get far more peptides with same rules? https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfdaannounce/fda-announcement/kxfdaannounce-bpc?op_market_ticker=KXFDAANNOUNCE-BPC-26SEP01 context: FDA has announced a meeting next month where they are going to review the compounding Category of some 14 peptides https://www.pharmacytimes.com/view/the-peptide-reclassification-everyone-s-talking-about-a-pharmacist-s-take-on-what-rfk-jr-s-announcement-actually-means https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saUBqJcWc4k
here's some inspiration 💀
here's some inspiration 💀
<@1371499857310912544> <@1272383282687905939> <@941405798096076880>
<@1371499857310912544> <@1272383282687905939> <@941405798096076880>
**markets on peptide COMPOUNDING approval** **context: **there is going to be an FDA meeting next month to review the compounding status of 14+ peptides. RFK Jr. has said that he has taken peptides in the past, and is a fan of them. granting a peptide Category 1 compounding status means it is legal to produce, even if it is not FDA approved. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saUBqJcWc4k (Bloomberg reporting) https://www.pharmacytimes.com/view/the-peptide-reclassification-everyone-s-talking-about-a-pharmacist-s-take-on-what-rfk-jr-s-announcement-actually-means **important note:** currently we only have the market "FDA approves Retatrutide this year?" however, RFK Jr. has suggested that changes to regulation would come from making peptides legal to compound, not from making them FDA approved drugs. (so the current copy-paste drug approval rules wouldnt capture the current events) **suggestion: ** "What peptides will the FDA make legal to produce?" **rules: **This market will settle to YES if the FDA grants the listed peptide a Category 1 compounding status." (means the drug is legally compoundable but not FDA approved). **markets:** BPC-157, Thymosin Alpha-1, TB-500, CJC-1295, Ipamorelin, AOD-9604, GHK-Cu, Selank, Semax, KPV, MOTS-C, Melanotan II, GHRP-2, GHRP-6, LL-37, PEG-MGF, etc. (there are some 19 peptides RFK jr is looking at, above is not exhaustive)
**markets on peptide COMPOUNDING approval** **context: **there is going to be an FDA meeting next month to review the compounding status of 14+ peptides. RFK Jr. has said that he has taken peptides in the past, and is a fan of them. granting a peptide Category 1 compounding status means it is legal to produce, even if it is not FDA approved. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=saUBqJcWc4k (Bloomberg reporting) https://www.pharmacytimes.com/view/the-peptide-reclassification-everyone-s-talking-about-a-pharmacist-s-take-on-what-rfk-jr-s-announcement-actually-means **important note:** currently we only have the market "FDA approves Retatrutide this year?" however, RFK Jr. has suggested that changes to regulation would come from making peptides legal to compound, not from making them FDA approved drugs. (so the current copy-paste drug approval rules wouldnt capture the current events) **suggestion: ** "What peptides will the FDA make legal to produce?" **rules: **This market will settle to YES if the FDA grants the listed peptide a Category 1 compounding status." (means the drug is legally compoundable but not FDA approved). **markets:** BPC-157, Thymosin Alpha-1, TB-500, CJC-1295, Ipamorelin, AOD-9604, GHK-Cu, Selank, Semax, KPV, MOTS-C, Melanotan II, GHRP-2, GHRP-6, LL-37, PEG-MGF, etc. (there are some 19 peptides RFK jr is looking at, above is not exhaustive)
is anyone home? once again, can we get more strikes on cuba markets? cuba goverment recently approved economic reforms, some are saying that they are just superficial.
is anyone home? once again, can we get more strikes on cuba markets? cuba goverment recently approved economic reforms, some are saying that they are just superficial.
<@1371499857310912544> . MORE DATE STRIKES ON https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30
<@1371499857310912544> . MORE DATE STRIKES ON https://polymarket.com/event/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30/iran-coup-attempt-by-june-30
Ohio <@954607102062624808>
Ohio <@954607102062624808>
gm chat
gm chat
+ refund
+ refund
archive
archive
cmon polymarket
cmon polymarket
why are these date buttons wrong
why are these date buttons wrong
yay scam is dying.
yay scam is dying.
i wake up and peace is in shambles???? wtf is wrong with us humans cant spell HUMAN without UMA
i wake up and peace is in shambles???? wtf is wrong with us humans cant spell HUMAN without UMA
love yall
love yall
good morning chat
good morning chat
https://tenor.com/view/catrave-rave-cat-ravecat-catjam-gif-15939588067156474193
https://tenor.com/view/catrave-rave-cat-ravecat-catjam-gif-15939588067156474193
😭
😭
wow. well said.
wow. well said.
rules/??????????fewjs ddjaf
rules/??????????fewjs ddjaf
wtf did u just suggest m8?
wtf did u just suggest m8?
https://tenor.com/view/catrave-rave-cat-ravecat-catjam-gif-15939588067156474193
https://tenor.com/view/catrave-rave-cat-ravecat-catjam-gif-15939588067156474193