聊天记录
共 121 条，显示第 51-100 条
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
**Data Sources:**
Entso-E Transperacy
EPEX SPOT
NORDPOOL
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
**Data Sources:**
Entso-E Transperacy
EPEX SPOT
NORDPOOL
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
**Data Sources:**
Entso-E Transperacy
EPEX SPOT
NORDPOOL
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
**Data Sources:**
Entso-E Transperacy
EPEX SPOT
NORDPOOL
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool/Epex runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
**Data Sources:**
Entso-E Transperacy
EPEX SPOT
NORDPOOL
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool/Epex runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
**Data Sources:**
Entso-E Transperacy
EPEX SPOT
NORDPOOL
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
**Market idea: European day-ahead electricity prices**
What it is: Nord Pool runs the day-ahead auction for European power. Every day at 12:00 CET, prices for each of the next 24 hours are fixed per bidding zone (e.g. FR, DK1, DE-LU). The data is public and settles cleanly the day before delivery — no waiting, no ambiguity.
Why it'd make a good market:
• **Clean resolution** — a single official Nord Pool print per zone/hour, no judgment calls.
• **Real demand** — energy traders, prosumers, and people with battery/EV/heat-pump exposure all care about tomorrow's price and would hedge or speculate.
• **High-frequency** — a fresh market every single day keeps volume flowing.
• **Genuinely hard to predict** — driven by wind/solar forecasts, demand, gas prices, and cross-border flows, so there's real edge for informed participants and real uncertainty for the crowd.
**Possible market structures:**
• "Will DK1 day-ahead average for [date] settle above €X/MWh?"
• "Will France see any negative-price hour tomorrow?" (increasingly common with high renewables)
• "Will the DE-LU vs FR price spread exceed €Y?"
😂
😂
that would be insane
that would be insane
imagine just predicting where DA prices will be (https://data.nordpoolgroup.com/auction/day-ahead/price-indices?deliveryDate=2026-04-26¤cy=EUR&resolutionInMinutes=60&indexNames=FR,DK1)
imagine just predicting where DA prices will be (https://data.nordpoolgroup.com/auction/day-ahead/price-indices?deliveryDate=2026-04-26¤cy=EUR&resolutionInMinutes=60&indexNames=FR,DK1)
I mean yea but they could just do day ahead price (is public available data and ez to solve)
I mean yea but they could just do day ahead price (is public available data and ez to solve)
there is so many things to bet on even
there is so many things to bet on even
I cant even imagine the amount of money I could make if they would do it
I cant even imagine the amount of money I could make if they would do it
if eventually I manage to grow some p&l Imma try be an influencer on this shit and start suggesting markets and see if they one day add it
if eventually I manage to grow some p&l Imma try be an influencer on this shit and start suggesting markets and see if they one day add it
then no licenses and 500k capital and just straight gamba
then no licenses and 500k capital and just straight gamba
😂 😂 😂 dude prediction market on energy prices would be LIT
😂 😂 😂 dude prediction market on energy prices would be LIT
ahahahah
ahahahah
Maybe go on nordpool and EPEX Spot (search them on google)
Maybe go on nordpool and EPEX Spot (search them on google)
its not just like the capital is all the proccess e.g. to trade dutch market expect 6 months wait
its not just like the capital is all the proccess e.g. to trade dutch market expect 6 months wait
a nice amount
a nice amount
ye was trying to figure that too, plus know it from equity's but everything they have on predictions market looks like shit, and has no one trading or not many moves for sure
ye was trying to figure that too, plus know it from equity's but everything they have on predictions market looks like shit, and has no one trading or not many moves for sure
thats some hope for me ey
thats some hope for me ey
thank you, I feel like I need it after everyone saying not worth it 😂
thank you, I feel like I need it after everyone saying not worth it 😂
and now on the side, i wanna see how good can I get at prediction market 😂
and now on the side, i wanna see how good can I get at prediction market 😂
and I also make dashboards for people to trade manually
and I also make dashboards for people to trade manually
im a software engineer and quant. I make algos and models to trade it
im a software engineer and quant. I make algos and models to trade it
this is my algo rn 😂
this is my algo rn 😂
😂 😂 😂
😂 😂 😂
no shit
no shit
this is how it looks
this is how it looks
I have met 2/3 people that do it only for themselfs, the money they had to spend to make it work was INSANE
I have met 2/3 people that do it only for themselfs, the money they had to spend to make it work was INSANE
is usually companies doing it, there isny many 1 trader setups
is usually companies doing it, there isny many 1 trader setups
I think if u guys manage to make money here consistently and are good quants, there is lots of gaps of knowladge in the market
I think if u guys manage to make money here consistently and are good quants, there is lots of gaps of knowladge in the market
depends on market honestly, I work for a company so I don really know the full process. but as u can be both long and short, usually you gotta put 500k eur for colateral if u plan to actually trade it (otherwise they limit your size A LOT )
depends on market honestly, I work for a company so I don really know the full process. but as u can be both long and short, usually you gotta put 500k eur for colateral if u plan to actually trade it (otherwise they limit your size A LOT )
some weeks ago I/we lost almost 100k eur cuz of imbalances xD
some weeks ago I/we lost almost 100k eur cuz of imbalances xD
you make the big bucks there, but also take 40k loss eur in 15m xD
you make the big bucks there, but also take 40k loss eur in 15m xD
is fucked up in a good way
is fucked up in a good way
Imbalance market bro
Imbalance market bro
its quite of a niche market that is very hard to get into (getting licenses, setup, data, etc)
its quite of a niche market that is very hard to get into (getting licenses, setup, data, etc)
The exchange is called nordpool
The exchange is called nordpool
I would just go long, I mean prob not nothing but some time ago long all the way
I would just go long, I mean prob not nothing but some time ago long all the way
no
no
that does happen, e.g. France is a very unliquid market
that does happen, e.g. France is a very unliquid market
but I would love too but not 5m haha
but I would love too but not 5m haha
Sounds fun, but I dont trade oil
Sounds fun, but I dont trade oil
*** I trade european energy markets, so im not sure how it is in US or Japan
*** I trade european energy markets, so im not sure how it is in US or Japan
no one is taking it honestly, and if you are taking liquidity and not being market efficient you will get a visit from people in blue vests
no one is taking it honestly, and if you are taking liquidity and not being market efficient you will get a visit from people in blue vests
there is, but we wouldnt call anyone a taker
there is, but we wouldnt call anyone a taker
hmmm I see, I gotta look into it cuz honestly never thought that would actually happen, but I guess people with the big bucks will not mind extra proffit 😂
hmmm I see, I gotta look into it cuz honestly never thought that would actually happen, but I guess people with the big bucks will not mind extra proffit 😂
ey ey, dont blame me 😂
ey ey, dont blame me 😂
hmmmm ok so u think/sure the people makeing big moves to make btc actually move first edged it a lot on poly?
hmmmm ok so u think/sure the people makeing big moves to make btc actually move first edged it a lot on poly?
sorry for being a noob but what being a taker means?
sorry for being a noob but what being a taker means?
that is hilarious 😂
that is hilarious 😂
Polymarket