PolymarketI don't want to be locked into another 3-day bond terrorism situation.
I don't want to be locked into another 3-day bond terrorism situation.
Hakei参与话题 29消息总数 920
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 920 条，显示第 651-700 条Is June 15 double disputed?
Is June 15 double disputed?
? The English language and governance of logic decided that.
? The English language and governance of logic decided that.
The rules are making that option an option.
The rules are making that option an option.
You can have a broader peace deal that Israel signs. That's possible. It hasn't happened - but it's possible.
You can have a broader peace deal that Israel signs. That's possible. It hasn't happened - but it's possible.
The broader peace deal still requires either of those two conditions to be met.
The broader peace deal still requires either of those two conditions to be met.
The rules EXPLICITLY require either of those two conditions to be met.
The rules EXPLICITLY require either of those two conditions to be met.
No. I want to focus on the two resolution criteria that are pertinent to the discussion.
No. I want to focus on the two resolution criteria that are pertinent to the discussion.
Which of these two has Reuters/AP/NYT substantiated?
Which of these two has Reuters/AP/NYT substantiated?
This is incorrect, per the rules. You have not substantiated whether you think #1 or #2 has been reported by a consensus of credible media.
This is incorrect, per the rules. You have not substantiated whether you think #1 or #2 has been reported by a consensus of credible media.
Correction: Hezbollah hasn't "Agreed". It just says that it "welcomes" the agreement that it wasn't a part of.
Correction: Hezbollah hasn't "Agreed". It just says that it "welcomes" the agreement that it wasn't a part of.
Is this guy trolling? I can't tell if he's trolling.
Is this guy trolling? I can't tell if he's trolling.
A simple "No" would have sufficied. I welcome the MOU too. Doesn't mean I signed it.
A simple "No" would have sufficied. I welcome the MOU too. Doesn't mean I signed it.
Can you point to the exact quote where it says Hezbollah agreed to a deal?
Can you point to the exact quote where it says Hezbollah agreed to a deal?
Today has been insane for fleecing people on markets that are so obviously incorrectly proposed. It's wild.
Today has been insane for fleecing people on markets that are so obviously incorrectly proposed. It's wild.
Again, this is very simple: which of these two criteria has media credibly reported on?
Again, this is very simple: which of these two criteria has media credibly reported on?
Sir, your argument fails because you've yet to substantiate which of the two criteria for a qualifying agreement a consensus of credible reporting has substantiated.
Sir, your argument fails because you've yet to substantiate which of the two criteria for a qualifying agreement a consensus of credible reporting has substantiated.
Arguably?
Arguably?
There's no qualifying peace deal that they've signed.
There's no qualifying peace deal that they've signed.
Which one has been met and reported by a consensus of reporting?
Which one has been met and reported by a consensus of reporting?
You do. Either of those conditions have to be met.
You do. Either of those conditions have to be met.
This is beyond bizarre.
This is beyond bizarre.
You require a consensus of credible reporting that both Israel and Hezbollah signed a qualifying agreement. You haven't done that.
You require a consensus of credible reporting that both Israel and Hezbollah signed a qualifying agreement. You haven't done that.
I cannot have conversations with people who present statements in bad faith and ignore questions to mention irrelevant things, good day 👍🏾
I cannot have conversations with people who present statements in bad faith and ignore questions to mention irrelevant things, good day 👍🏾
You didn't answer my question.
You didn't answer my question.
You're being intellectually dishonest. Present what you're saying honestly and do so in good faith. Good arguments are good when they're presented fairly and honestly.
You're being intellectually dishonest. Present what you're saying honestly and do so in good faith. Good arguments are good when they're presented fairly and honestly.
There are degrees of allegedness. Do you contend amwaj.media (your source) has access to the MOU? Do you think they even have a journalist with better connectivity to media reporting than WSJ/NYTimes/BBC/etc.?
There are degrees of allegedness. Do you contend amwaj.media (your source) has access to the MOU? Do you think they even have a journalist with better connectivity to media reporting than WSJ/NYTimes/BBC/etc.?
https://tenor.com/view/mjpersonal-gif-12910757661639197726
https://tenor.com/view/mjpersonal-gif-12910757661639197726
If you're going to put together an evidence package, be honest about what you're presenting as evidence.
If you're going to put together an evidence package, be honest about what you're presenting as evidence.
"Text of the signed memorandum of understanding (MOU):" This is a factually incorrect way to phrase the quote. It's intellectually dishonest not to caveat that this is the ALLEGED text of the MOU. No outlet HAS the MOU and there are conflicting reports regarding what it contains.
"Text of the signed memorandum of understanding (MOU):" This is a factually incorrect way to phrase the quote. It's intellectually dishonest not to caveat that this is the ALLEGED text of the MOU. No outlet HAS the MOU and there are conflicting reports regarding what it contains.
Add "Polymarket might literally just change the rules" to the list of reasons to size accordingly.
Add "Polymarket might literally just change the rules" to the list of reasons to size accordingly.
💀
💀
שר החוץ של איראן עבאס עראקצ'י: כל תקיפה ישראלית או המשך הכיבוש בלבנון יהיו הפרה של הפסקת האש עם ארה"ב
שר החוץ של איראן עבאס עראקצ'י: כל תקיפה ישראלית או המשך הכיבוש בלבנון יהיו הפרה של הפסקת האש עם ארה"ב
No: if you want my game plan, I'll wait for the meetings to start and probably sell mid-pump, I'm unconvinced the meetings will be convincingly diplomatic in nature
No: if you want my game plan, I'll wait for the meetings to start and probably sell mid-pump, I'm unconvinced the meetings will be convincingly diplomatic in nature
Yeah the real reason people push so hard in prediction markets is because you're never getting a mortgage saying your day job is betting on whether or not Trump will say the N-Word
Yeah the real reason people push so hard in prediction markets is because you're never getting a mortgage saying your day job is betting on whether or not Trump will say the N-Word
S> 750 Qatar shares 30c
S> 750 Qatar shares 30c
Were you counterparty
Were you counterparty
fmv <:shrugeg:986075701683838986>
fmv <:shrugeg:986075701683838986>
It's on book <@952241341029556254>
It's on book <@952241341029556254>
Ye I'll do 750 one sec
Ye I'll do 750 one sec
How many you got?
How many you got?
No, I'm not taking more risk on that market. Main reason is because it's not clear that the planned talks will qualify as a diplomatic meeting, and I think it's probably going to get messy 🙂
No, I'm not taking more risk on that market. Main reason is because it's not clear that the planned talks will qualify as a diplomatic meeting, and I think it's probably going to get messy 🙂
Yeah this clarification is egregious. First clear-cut example of just an awful clarification that's not subject to interpretation or potentially a "well, I can kind of understand their argument".
Yeah this clarification is egregious. First clear-cut example of just an awful clarification that's not subject to interpretation or potentially a "well, I can kind of understand their argument".
That's how I think about all of my theoretical losses (I haven't had an ACTUAL loss yet, so alas.)
That's how I think about all of my theoretical losses (I haven't had an ACTUAL loss yet, so alas.)
Think of it as investing back into bad traders who'll add more money that you can take from them on later markets
Think of it as investing back into bad traders who'll add more money that you can take from them on later markets
Time to double or nothing it on eSports 😎
Time to double or nothing it on eSports 😎
I made $500 🙂
I made $500 🙂
Blocking you now, someone @ me when this guy who can't bench 2 plates posts physique
Blocking you now, someone @ me when this guy who can't bench 2 plates posts physique
Post physique
Post physique
You seem to want a very specific bet for the purposes of having a gripe with the platform and no one here really cares, we all know Polymarket sucks
You seem to want a very specific bet for the purposes of having a gripe with the platform and no one here really cares, we all know Polymarket sucks