PolymarketBut I don't like either side of the market
But I don't like either side of the market
Hakei参与话题 30消息总数 920
该用户的聊天记录定位。
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共 920 条，显示第 801-850 条I guess the bull case is the world cup and what that brings over the next week
I guess the bull case is the world cup and what that brings over the next week
Weird to describe it as a suspected case, though.
Weird to describe it as a suspected case, though.
https://tenor.com/view/trump-didn%27t-know-first-time-gif-4645987575731742372
https://tenor.com/view/trump-didn%27t-know-first-time-gif-4645987575731742372
I didn't see this, no. Wow, interesting
I didn't see this, no. Wow, interesting
If this happens how I think it's going to happen, there will be agro in this channel
If this happens how I think it's going to happen, there will be agro in this channel
Saying "We're going to sign a 60-day ceasefire on Sunday" is technically not an extension or agreement for days prior to Sunday
Saying "We're going to sign a 60-day ceasefire on Sunday" is technically not an extension or agreement for days prior to Sunday
It's an announcement market, but my fear is that it's not an announcement of an announcement market.
It's an announcement market, but my fear is that it's not an announcement of an announcement market.
Another one for the markets team 🙂
Another one for the markets team 🙂
(Assuming he does it on the 13th)
(Assuming he does it on the 13th)
Hard to parse: what I'm saying is, if Trump says "Vance is on his way to the signing ceremony that's set for the 14th!", will that resolve 13 too?
Hard to parse: what I'm saying is, if Trump says "Vance is on his way to the signing ceremony that's set for the 14th!", will that resolve 13 too?
I'm only buying June 15th onward because I don't want to take the risk that an announcement of a signing on the 14th tomorrow won't count.
I'm only buying June 15th onward because I don't want to take the risk that an announcement of a signing on the 14th tomorrow won't count.
If we assume the signing is "This weekend", will an announcement of the agreement to-be-signed be sufficient?
If we assume the signing is "This weekend", will an announcement of the agreement to-be-signed be sufficient?
VPOTUS - Unknown Trip: Four C-17s are moving in support of an unannounced VPOTUS trip. Two C-17s have arrived at Ramstein AB, and two more are en route to Spangdahlem AB, both in Germany.
VPOTUS - Unknown Trip: Four C-17s are moving in support of an unannounced VPOTUS trip. Two C-17s have arrived at Ramstein AB, and two more are en route to Spangdahlem AB, both in Germany.
The signing will be in Europe with Vance doing it
The signing will be in Europe with Vance doing it
Islamabad agreement this weekend boys
Islamabad agreement this weekend boys
Negative -400k would be +400k
Negative -400k would be +400k
Based
Based
I think he had a brain melt or something. There's just zero way he can think this resolves the market
I think he had a brain melt or something. There's just zero way he can think this resolves the market
Post PnL / physique
Post PnL / physique
You're getting the cringe user of the week award, congratulations
You're getting the cringe user of the week award, congratulations
In this instance, you should. That's one of the worst attempts at resolving a market I've seen
In this instance, you should. That's one of the worst attempts at resolving a market I've seen
It's probably contractually set at 15s or something, I've never actually timed it against optimal stream setup (there are a few tricks: won't leak alpha, sorry!)
It's probably contractually set at 15s or something, I've never actually timed it against optimal stream setup (there are a few tricks: won't leak alpha, sorry!)
But all the major leagues all have GRID contracts
But all the major leagues all have GRID contracts
Some regions are way worse. Germany is about 2 minutes, Turkey is 5 minutes
Some regions are way worse. Germany is about 2 minutes, Turkey is 5 minutes
Nah, all Leagues
Nah, all Leagues
Very few eSports will be literally live. The eSports cup play-ins actually were, which was interesting
Very few eSports will be literally live. The eSports cup play-ins actually were, which was interesting
And there are (probably) data points you can exploit that GRID analysis doesn't consider/prioritize when giving odds
And there are (probably) data points you can exploit that GRID analysis doesn't consider/prioritize when giving odds
But, given the market is sufficiently liquid on both sides of the book, you'll get what should be, over the long term, fair EV
But, given the market is sufficiently liquid on both sides of the book, you'll get what should be, over the long term, fair EV
Yeah, League/CS both have delay against GRID, which is specifically for bookmakers. You should only bet "live" when it's clear no action will happen in the next 20~30s.
Yeah, League/CS both have delay against GRID, which is specifically for bookmakers. You should only bet "live" when it's clear no action will happen in the next 20~30s.
HOLY FUCK WHAT A CLOWN ENDING TOO XD
HOLY FUCK WHAT A CLOWN ENDING TOO XD
https://tenor.com/view/money-money-money-gif-3641396535535975514
https://tenor.com/view/money-money-money-gif-3641396535535975514
nvm gg
nvm gg
This AL vs BLG game is a clown fest
This AL vs BLG game is a clown fest
My monthly PnL went from 32k to 31k after a few bad trades and now I feel like I'm chopped and unc. Is it over for me? ☹️
My monthly PnL went from 32k to 31k after a few bad trades and now I feel like I'm chopped and unc. Is it over for me? ☹️
Has anyone ever seen this guy type anything useful? Checking before I block
Has anyone ever seen this guy type anything useful? Checking before I block
<@1434511018490335385> Sharing fake news on Discord servers actively monitoring dangerous situations is scummy as fuck. Stop being an evil human being to make a few dollars.
<@1434511018490335385> Sharing fake news on Discord servers actively monitoring dangerous situations is scummy as fuck. Stop being an evil human being to make a few dollars.
If someone's acting dumb, literally just block them. It's a Discord feature 🤷🏾♂️
If someone's acting dumb, literally just block them. It's a Discord feature 🤷🏾♂️
You can just block people
You can just block people
https://tenor.com/view/wrong-not-nope-gif-22294097
https://tenor.com/view/wrong-not-nope-gif-22294097
https://tenor.com/view/stupid-berserk-guts-music-gif-22008331
https://tenor.com/view/stupid-berserk-guts-music-gif-22008331
Is this engagement bait or is he just retardmaxxing?
Is this engagement bait or is he just retardmaxxing?
I know nothing about basketball 😊
I know nothing about basketball 😊
Stop trading crypto up/down 🙁
Stop trading crypto up/down 🙁
I'm playing PoE 2 and don't want to litigate this, if the price isn't 99c "Yes" within 4 hours, I'll come back and school you all on logic/rules. I WANT TO PLAY VIDEO GAMES.
I'm playing PoE 2 and don't want to litigate this, if the price isn't 99c "Yes" within 4 hours, I'll come back and school you all on logic/rules. I WANT TO PLAY VIDEO GAMES.
Bahrain just closed its airspace 🧐
Bahrain just closed its airspace 🧐
Oil closing in on 95
Oil closing in on 95
Yeah Iran always says shit like that though, what are they gonna do? More suicide drones? I'd be more scared if they had a nuke
Yeah Iran always says shit like that though, what are they gonna do? More suicide drones? I'd be more scared if they had a nuke
You could also look at out of the money oil
You could also look at out of the money oil
Or wait for the US to start dropping
Or wait for the US to start dropping