聊天记录
共 895 条,显示第 101-150 条
I'm actually about $150k across all wallets but the "main" one hasn't ever done any auto trading so I feel like that really matters when it's a nice round number
I'm actually about $150k across all wallets but the "main" one hasn't ever done any auto trading so I feel like that really matters when it's a nice round number
23~ days at 99.2c on something like this seems like a much riskier bond than other trades 🤔 very happy to sell
23~ days at 99.2c on something like this seems like a much riskier bond than other trades 🤔 very happy to sell
I need whale
I need whale
Congrats only after $100k 😭
Congrats only after $100k 😭
<:amazing:1451800442420858912> <:amazing:1451800442420858912> <:amazing:1451800442420858912> <:amazing:1451800442420858912> $5k and we're back
<:amazing:1451800442420858912> <:amazing:1451800442420858912> <:amazing:1451800442420858912> <:amazing:1451800442420858912> $5k and we're back
He won't even wear hijab any more
He won't even wear hijab any more
He's trolling, just mute and move on
He's trolling, just mute and move on
Assigned Muslim at Birth?! 🤣 It's a choice, dumbass
Assigned Muslim at Birth?! 🤣 It's a choice, dumbass
What even is this argument
What even is this argument
Who cares
Who cares
Based
Based
He never said he was a Muslim
He never said he was a Muslim
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virtual_private_network
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virtual_private_network
I'm not supporting any other countries right now. You seem to want to move away from the central premise and talking point to try auxiliary tactics.
I'm not supporting any other countries right now. You seem to want to move away from the central premise and talking point to try auxiliary tactics.
You're arguing against statements I never made
You're arguing against statements I never made
What point do you think you're making that I disagree with?
What point do you think you're making that I disagree with?
There's no evidence at all that Iran is irrational at the state level?
There's no evidence at all that Iran is irrational at the state level?
Me: "Iran shouldn't have a nuclear weapon"
You: "Someone else has a nuclear weapon, what about that?"
Me: "I have no opinion on that topic as it pertains to Iran"
You: "Convenient!"
Me: "Iran shouldn't have a nuclear weapon"
You: "Someone else has a nuclear weapon, what about that?"
Me: "I have no opinion on that topic as it pertains to Iran"
You: "Convenient!"
The concept of "illegal nuclear weapons" as it pertains to an individual state is a meaningless one, but the question itself is a red herring, because I'm not defending any state having a nuclear weapon, I'm saying Iran shouldn't have one
The concept of "illegal nuclear weapons" as it pertains to an individual state is a meaningless one, but the question itself is a red herring, because I'm not defending any state having a nuclear weapon, I'm saying Iran shouldn't have one
Again, if your argument is "Person X has this take and I don't like Person X", you're not engaging in the type of conversation I'm interested in having
Again, if your argument is "Person X has this take and I don't like Person X", you're not engaging in the type of conversation I'm interested in having
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_relations#Destruction_of_Israel_in_Iranian_policy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93Israel_relations#Destruction_of_Israel_in_Iranian_policy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_program_of_Iran
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_program_of_Iran
When did I say they killed millions of people
When did I say they killed millions of people
If your argument against a position is "Person X, who I dislike, also has this position", you're failing at constructing a valid counter argument
If your argument against a position is "Person X, who I dislike, also has this position", you're failing at constructing a valid counter argument
Because Iran is a uniquely terrible state that wants to kill millions of people, and it's really important they never get a nuclear device, since it's really hard to negotiate once they have that, especially since they're irrational actors who believe in 72 virgins when they die
Because Iran is a uniquely terrible state that wants to kill millions of people, and it's really important they never get a nuclear device, since it's really hard to negotiate once they have that, especially since they're irrational actors who believe in 72 virgins when they die
Condemning the attacks on Iran? Yes, absolutely
Condemning the attacks on Iran? Yes, absolutely
They don't need to participate in the war, but they're retards for condemning it
They don't need to participate in the war, but they're retards for condemning it
Their moralizing over the Iran strikes was ridiculous
Their moralizing over the Iran strikes was ridiculous
Trump sucks but fuck Spain too
Trump sucks but fuck Spain too
He had like $15k to play with, that's more than sufficient to really not take huge risks and hit $50k by EOY
He had like $15k to play with, that's more than sufficient to really not take huge risks and hit $50k by EOY
Because for a few weeks there he was thinking about trades, gathering alpha and making several standard deviations more than 90% of planet Earth and 99.9% more than his fellow countrymen
Because for a few weeks there he was thinking about trades, gathering alpha and making several standard deviations more than 90% of planet Earth and 99.9% more than his fellow countrymen
I fear there's no redemption arc
I fear there's no redemption arc
Was the position hedged on a second account? Is it all a great big joke?
Was the position hedged on a second account? Is it all a great big joke?
I just don't get the rationale at all
I just don't get the rationale at all
The game isn't for 30~ hours
The game isn't for 30~ hours
My Fable usage resets tomorrow 🤔
My Fable usage resets tomorrow 🤔
Seems like they try really hard to not allow people to game the system and get free money 😡
Seems like they try really hard to not allow people to game the system and get free money 😡
Hmm, fair
Hmm, fair
Is it like 50/25/12.5/6.25?
Is it like 50/25/12.5/6.25?
But I guess your reward share depends on lower levels of liquidity 🤔
But I guess your reward share depends on lower levels of liquidity 🤔
Yeah like world cup games where they're deeply liquid already
Yeah like world cup games where they're deeply liquid already
Yeah dunno, maybe. Something I can code in with the L x V calculation
Yeah dunno, maybe. Something I can code in with the L x V calculation
You're not allowed to place orders that you never intend to get filled, but I think that's materially different from placing orders in a way where you lower the probability of you getting filled based on new information provided by the market (i.e. you want to get the absolute best entry)
You're not allowed to place orders that you never intend to get filled, but I think that's materially different from placing orders in a way where you lower the probability of you getting filled based on new information provided by the market (i.e. you want to get the absolute best entry)
Does something violate Polymarket rules?
Does something violate Polymarket rules?
Email carries too much risk
Email carries too much risk
Keys only for me
Keys only for me
The biggest tail risk is a quick click, but for sufficiently liquid markets, I think it's relatively unlikely that matters?
The biggest tail risk is a quick click, but for sufficiently liquid markets, I think it's relatively unlikely that matters?
1. Bot always sets its limit orders at the maximal distance from center of book (+-4c)
2. Monitor all markets and gather a small, helpful data point (Liquidity x Volatility)
3. Cross-reference the L x V data point with the available rewards
4. Set max $1k either side of the book and slowly lower L x V threshold
5. Reset LP routinely so you're always bottom of the book
1. Bot always sets its limit orders at the maximal distance from center of book (+-4c)
2. Monitor all markets and gather a small, helpful data point (Liquidity x Volatility)
3. Cross-reference the L x V data point with the available rewards
4. Set max $1k either side of the book and slowly lower L x V threshold
5. Reset LP routinely so you're always bottom of the book
Here's the theorycraft
Here's the theorycraft
With a small clustering of rules I feel like it'd be quite low risk
With a small clustering of rules I feel like it'd be quite low risk