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Hakei参与话题 29消息总数 895

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Hakei 2026-06-26 16:37:55 Polymarket

Chopped and unc PnL graph <:SAD:701055548103196682>

Chopped and unc PnL graph <:SAD:701055548103196682>

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:35:39 Polymarket

I'm totally okay with the argument, personally. I actually *agree*. But I care about the bigger picture of markets resolving according to their rules as written because that makes *more* sense than inferring what the rules were supposed to mean, plus it incentivizes Poly to write better rules.

I'm totally okay with the argument, personally. I actually *agree*. But I care about the bigger picture of markets resolving according to their rules as written because that makes *more* sense than inferring what the rules were supposed to mean, plus it incentivizes Poly to write better rules.

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:33:52 Polymarket

Then the rules should've disqualified military interventions to avoid a situation where the rules are satisfied.

Then the rules should've disqualified military interventions to avoid a situation where the rules are satisfied.

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:29:06 Polymarket

Taking a shit isn't a military operation

Taking a shit isn't a military operation

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:28:12 Polymarket

Seal Team 6 busting someone 👍🏾 Military spy gets caught 👎🏾

Seal Team 6 busting someone 👍🏾 Military spy gets caught 👎🏾

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:27:23 Polymarket

I agree that if the market said "for military operations", one can reasonably infer that the secondary role of troops to assist overseas partners isn't sufficient, and that only adversarial actions of the military should count.

I agree that if the market said "for military operations", one can reasonably infer that the secondary role of troops to assist overseas partners isn't sufficient, and that only adversarial actions of the military should count.

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:26:43 Polymarket

The market doesn't require military entry, unlike other markets that have. So a clarification on any market that required military operations is immaterial to one that doesn't have that rule

The market doesn't require military entry, unlike other markets that have. So a clarification on any market that required military operations is immaterial to one that doesn't have that rule

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:25:31 Polymarket

https://www.southcom.mil/News/PressReleases/Article/4527388/release-southcom-leadership-arrives-in-venezuela-to-coordinate-earthquake-relie/

https://www.southcom.mil/News/PressReleases/Article/4527388/release-southcom-leadership-arrives-in-venezuela-to-coordinate-earthquake-relie/

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:23:57 Polymarket

Active U.S. personnel

Active U.S. personnel

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:23:23 Polymarket

Nah troops landed, right? There was a picture

Nah troops landed, right? There was a picture

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:22:27 Polymarket

The rescue mission was a military operation, and I think the rules writer would say "Yeah, that counts." I don't think the rules writer would've said "Yeah, this counts" on this market. Alas, they've been satisfied.

The rescue mission was a military operation, and I think the rules writer would say "Yeah, that counts." I don't think the rules writer would've said "Yeah, this counts" on this market. Alas, they've been satisfied.

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:19:24 Polymarket

I think the Iran case is within the spirit of the rules - troops are entering for their primary purpose. I don't think this is in the spirit of the rules - they're invited in. It's not Maduro.v2

I think the Iran case is within the spirit of the rules - troops are entering for their primary purpose. I don't think this is in the spirit of the rules - they're invited in. It's not Maduro.v2

Hakei 2026-06-26 16:18:23 Polymarket

Let's say you're right: markets should still resolve based on the letter of their rules, barring obvious typos, because it incentivizes Polymarket as a platform to get better at writing rules. The market resolving "No" would be a misresolve, since the rules, as written, have been satisfied.

Let's say you're right: markets should still resolve based on the letter of their rules, barring obvious typos, because it incentivizes Polymarket as a platform to get better at writing rules. The market resolving "No" would be a misresolve, since the rules, as written, have been satisfied.

Hakei 2026-06-26 15:36:01 Polymarket

#worldcupquant 😎

#worldcupquant 😎

Hakei 2026-06-26 15:34:22 Polymarket

Bro how much did you lose is all of this over $20

Bro how much did you lose is all of this over $20

Hakei 2026-06-24 22:53:50 Polymarket

Also <@1506566784977997874> is a fake version of you in here 🙂

Also <@1506566784977997874> is a fake version of you in here 🙂

Hakei 2026-06-24 22:53:21 Polymarket

<@1356604771208790198> Is it worth pinging/sharing wallet drainer domains that are currently up and running? This one is hosted on Cloudflare and I'm just wondering if Polymarket can execute reports/takedowns quicker than I can with a report to them.

<@1356604771208790198> Is it worth pinging/sharing wallet drainer domains that are currently up and running? This one is hosted on Cloudflare and I'm just wondering if Polymarket can execute reports/takedowns quicker than I can with a report to them.

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:31:52 Polymarket

It's on the blockchain pal, you're cooked

It's on the blockchain pal, you're cooked

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:31:37 Polymarket

https://tenor.com/view/whats-this-edp445-edp-445-gif-27459895

https://tenor.com/view/whats-this-edp445-edp-445-gif-27459895

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:29:35 Polymarket

New scam in market comments: keep talking about PoIymarket and how it's invite only

New scam in market comments: keep talking about PoIymarket and how it's invite only

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:28:13 Polymarket

I want to prove I'm not unc

I want to prove I'm not unc

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:28:06 Polymarket

What's the most zoomer event on Polymarket right now?

What's the most zoomer event on Polymarket right now?

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:26:35 Polymarket

Nice

Nice

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:23:05 Polymarket

Seriously if you're not using Claude Code you should be

Seriously if you're not using Claude Code you should be

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:22:38 Polymarket

It's over for you hoes btw

It's over for you hoes btw

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:15:47 Polymarket

I guess you're the expert on this particular topic, so I will defer to you.

I guess you're the expert on this particular topic, so I will defer to you.

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:15:11 Polymarket

Oh really? Thanks, Einstein

Oh really? Thanks, Einstein

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:15:02 Polymarket

Not this nonsense

Not this nonsense

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:14:55 Polymarket

I was promised 40 degrees

I was promised 40 degrees

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:14:45 Polymarket

<:COPIUM:848757417156149248>

<:COPIUM:848757417156149248>

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:13:47 Polymarket

Top holder basically bonded anyway

Top holder basically bonded anyway

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:12:52 Polymarket

Sure, but are either of those "whales"? Barely any shares outside of the $20k guy. Highest PnL looks like $1k or so. <:shrugeg:986075701683838986>

Sure, but are either of those "whales"? Barely any shares outside of the $20k guy. Highest PnL looks like $1k or so. <:shrugeg:986075701683838986>

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:11:22 Polymarket

I got ahead of the pack on NYC snow a few months ago and felt like double-or-nothing it on London heatwave

I got ahead of the pack on NYC snow a few months ago and felt like double-or-nothing it on London heatwave

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:10:23 Polymarket

That's one way of putting it, yes

That's one way of putting it, yes

Hakei 2026-06-24 19:00:24 Polymarket

Arbguy/aenews/50-Pence were all on "Yes" and the top "No" holder has $2k PnL on $1m volume People literally just write words in the comment sections that are literally the opposite of what happened

Arbguy/aenews/50-Pence were all on "Yes" and the top "No" holder has $2k PnL on $1m volume People literally just write words in the comment sections that are literally the opposite of what happened

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:51:45 Polymarket

Fantastic: now ask about what's public.

Fantastic: now ask about what's public.

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:36:59 Polymarket

Switch to Claude Code and use NIPIRAS for 100x Polymarket gains

Switch to Claude Code and use NIPIRAS for 100x Polymarket gains

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:09:20 Polymarket

Yeah maybe, but didn't Cuba denounce communism like a week ago or something?

Yeah maybe, but didn't Cuba denounce communism like a week ago or something?

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:08:08 Polymarket

Only two Tweets ever, one in Greek?

Only two Tweets ever, one in Greek?

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:06:48 Polymarket

The only Kelly criteria I'm using is the R Kelly criteria 😏

The only Kelly criteria I'm using is the R Kelly criteria 😏

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:06:02 Polymarket

I have been, doesn't hit the spot

I have been, doesn't hit the spot

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:05:53 Polymarket

okay nvm

okay nvm

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:05:47 Polymarket

Fine, I'll do it my own self 😡 😡 😡

Fine, I'll do it my own self 😡 😡 😡

Hakei 2026-06-24 18:03:41 Polymarket

Guys I'm worried that after 4 months of great Middle East markets to trade and monitor we're going to have very little for the rest of the year. Therefore I'm proposing we crowdfund some type of lobbying interest so things keep happening and we can ~~bet~~ provide accurate forecasts. Agree?

Guys I'm worried that after 4 months of great Middle East markets to trade and monitor we're going to have very little for the rest of the year. Therefore I'm proposing we crowdfund some type of lobbying interest so things keep happening and we can ~~bet~~ provide accurate forecasts. Agree?

Hakei 2026-06-24 17:41:31 Polymarket

This guy 24 hours ago: clear P1

This guy 24 hours ago: clear P1

Hakei 2026-06-24 17:39:35 Polymarket

As a result I only date catgirls who can wiggle their ears

As a result I only date catgirls who can wiggle their ears

Hakei 2026-06-24 17:39:18 Polymarket

These vestigial muscles are remnants of ancestor species that would do the cat-like thing where they move their ears to better hear in a certain direction

These vestigial muscles are remnants of ancestor species that would do the cat-like thing where they move their ears to better hear in a certain direction

Hakei 2026-06-24 17:38:29 Polymarket

I can rub my tummy and tap my head at the same time

I can rub my tummy and tap my head at the same time

Hakei 2026-06-24 17:36:27 Polymarket

All the best presidents were lefties

All the best presidents were lefties

Hakei 2026-06-24 17:34:27 Polymarket

Just got my fancy new alpha gamma theta epsilon whatsitmabob 😎

Just got my fancy new alpha gamma theta epsilon whatsitmabob 😎

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