Polymarketpoop scientist got me
poop scientist got me
! Jeffdagoat参与话题 4消息总数 469
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共 469 条，显示第 301-350 条But yeah thank you
But yeah thank you
I meant specific knowledge of their technical performance
I meant specific knowledge of their technical performance
or anything specific
or anything specific
are you just telling me to look at their number going up?
are you just telling me to look at their number going up?
i’ve heard of them
i’ve heard of them
what about them
what about them
but by seeing other people’s performance directly, i can motivate myself
but by seeing other people’s performance directly, i can motivate myself
that’s what i said i was going to do
that’s what i said i was going to do
you can, just take the market mid and use that.
you can, just take the market mid and use that.
its just you cannot tell their exact performance just from their pnl
its just you cannot tell their exact performance just from their pnl
oh yes i know
oh yes i know
Yes. validate offline and bank it. cant afford to get the dream ruined live.
Yes. validate offline and bank it. cant afford to get the dream ruined live.
Im not here to copy them, if anything this is learning experience
Im not here to copy them, if anything this is learning experience
if it doesnt, less likely
if it doesnt, less likely
if it exists, it can be done
if it exists, it can be done
Because that means there is more therotical potential i can build on
Because that means there is more therotical potential i can build on
so like 0.00xx better?
so like 0.00xx better?
use klines
use klines
just interested in how much more work ive got
just interested in how much more work ive got
relative to market
relative to market
Whats your logloss ECE and brier if you dont mind me asking
Whats your logloss ECE and brier if you dont mind me asking
on oos data
on oos data
even offline
even offline
have you seen success with your model?
have you seen success with your model?
i was about to repl ylmoa
i was about to repl ylmoa
ah might be paraphrased then
ah might be paraphrased then
thats the first time its been sent
thats the first time its been sent
Yes thats not the point
Yes thats not the point
forward looking model = 100% accuracy
forward looking model = 100% accuracy
thats after, i copy and pasted what i told you
thats after, i copy and pasted what i told you
im a math major
im a math major
flow chart
flow chart
like rules based
like rules based
Are you reffering to ML or statistical modeling
Are you reffering to ML or statistical modeling
ohhh
ohhh
what
what
I know how models work
I know how models work
How am i trying to be a dick lmao
How am i trying to be a dick lmao
what
what
and it wont be enough
and it wont be enough
from all the 5m candles in the universe
from all the 5m candles in the universe
you can take as many samples as you want
you can take as many samples as you want
that will not make your model as effiecient as the market
that will not make your model as effiecient as the market
yes i know
yes i know
1 sample from each 5m candle is not enough
1 sample from each 5m candle is not enough
Im confused by this then
Im confused by this then
yes but are you trying to build a fair price model?
yes but are you trying to build a fair price model?
What exactly are you modeling
What exactly are you modeling
Yes but spot price isnt the only factor that influences direction
Yes but spot price isnt the only factor that influences direction