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arbguy参与话题 16消息总数 1318

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arbguy 2026-06-14 17:30:59 Polymarket

You came here for one (severely retarded, literally one of the worst we’ve seen) dispute. Now you’re spamming “knowledge” as if anyone should listen to anything you say

You came here for one (severely retarded, literally one of the worst we’ve seen) dispute. Now you’re spamming “knowledge” as if anyone should listen to anything you say

arbguy 2026-06-14 17:29:26 Polymarket

I don’t even like Trump, you literally make up all your criticisms of me

I don’t even like Trump, you literally make up all your criticisms of me

arbguy 2026-06-14 17:28:20 Polymarket

Go ask your husband for a higher credit limit

Go ask your husband for a higher credit limit

arbguy 2026-06-14 17:28:02 Polymarket

sick burn

sick burn

arbguy 2026-06-14 17:27:25 Polymarket

🤡

🤡

arbguy 2026-06-14 17:25:51 Polymarket

Thonker is a lib? Go figure

Thonker is a lib? Go figure

arbguy 2026-06-14 15:27:30 Polymarket

well done

well done

arbguy 2026-06-14 15:27:16 Polymarket

yea like i said yesterday clarification on the 6/12 market means 6/13 is gonna go p1 too.

yea like i said yesterday clarification on the 6/12 market means 6/13 is gonna go p1 too.

arbguy 2026-06-14 15:25:14 Polymarket

they signing this pos or what

they signing this pos or what

arbguy 2026-06-14 15:25:05 Polymarket

what's new

what's new

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:59:42 Polymarket

it's ok

it's ok

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:59:35 Polymarket

analista is quite dumb

analista is quite dumb

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:57:38 Polymarket

sorry i don't know what your random screenshot is of

sorry i don't know what your random screenshot is of

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:57:05 Polymarket

billy boy

billy boy

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:56:58 Polymarket

yes lower

yes lower

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:56:42 Polymarket

what market is this

what market is this

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:56:06 Polymarket

analista might be the dumbest

analista might be the dumbest

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:55:57 Polymarket

you called me a scammer 5 min ago for stating this

you called me a scammer 5 min ago for stating this

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:55:40 Polymarket

again I think p2 is correct i'm just telling you how this will go

again I think p2 is correct i'm just telling you how this will go

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:55:25 Polymarket

not that they're going to or have agree on terms for signing

not that they're going to or have agree on terms for signing

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:55:12 Polymarket

the clarif doesn't match the rules, but it's quite clear that the announcement has to be that they've done it

the clarif doesn't match the rules, but it's quite clear that the announcement has to be that they've done it

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:54:41 Polymarket

Market Clarifications This market's rules require an official announcement that the U.S. **has **either: 1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60-day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended. 2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue. Trump’s statements on June 11 during a tele-rally call for Burt Jones that "I don’t know if you heard but we ended the war with Iran today..." was descriptive and informal in nature and do not qualify as an official announcement of U.S. policy either extending the ceasefire or officially announcing a new peace agreement.

Market Clarifications This market's rules require an official announcement that the U.S. **has **either: 1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60-day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended. 2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue. Trump’s statements on June 11 during a tele-rally call for Burt Jones that "I don’t know if you heard but we ended the war with Iran today..." was descriptive and informal in nature and do not qualify as an official announcement of U.S. policy either extending the ceasefire or officially announcing a new peace agreement.

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:54:15 Polymarket

he announced it yesterday too

he announced it yesterday too

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:53:21 Polymarket

you sir are retarded

you sir are retarded

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:52:28 Polymarket

announcement markets for today and yesterday are going p1. not saying I agree just telling you what's going to happen

announcement markets for today and yesterday are going p1. not saying I agree just telling you what's going to happen

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:51:48 Polymarket

of what? it's going p1

of what? it's going p1

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:51:31 Polymarket

perma peace happening

perma peace happening

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:51:23 Polymarket

is what it is

is what it is

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:51:15 Polymarket

anyways, they clearly require an announcement of a signed deal.

anyways, they clearly require an announcement of a signed deal.

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:50:09 Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran** or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date **11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. officially announces an extension of the ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, defined as a publicly announced commitment to the continued halt of direct military engagement with Iran** or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date **11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:49:19 Polymarket

It was a unilateral announcement that they agreed to a new peace agreement

It was a unilateral announcement that they agreed to a new peace agreement

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:48:10 Polymarket

🤡 The following would qualify: - President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.” - An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.” **- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”** - An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.

🤡 The following would qualify: - President Trump announcing that “the ceasefire has been extended for another 60 days.” - An official U.S. statement announcing that “the United States and Iran have agreed to extend the ceasefire framework while negotiations continue.” **- President Trump’s April 21, 2026 announcement extending the ceasefire “until the Iranian negotiators could reach a unified proposal.”** - An announcement that the US and Iran have agreed to a new temporary framework under which the ceasefire would continue as Iran gradually reopens the Strait of Hormuz and the United States begins to unfreeze Iranian assets would qualify.

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:47:08 Polymarket

**or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date **

**or announces a new peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue by the specified date **

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:45:22 Polymarket

Wan is already a legend in my book

Wan is already a legend in my book

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:43:42 Polymarket

they need to fix it. June 12 and beyond are p2

they need to fix it. June 12 and beyond are p2

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:42:00 Polymarket

they don't believe there will be a signing tomorrow

they don't believe there will be a signing tomorrow

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:33:28 Polymarket

everyone hates it, must be good

everyone hates it, must be good

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:29:56 Polymarket

analista mad he hasn't had his dick sucked before

analista mad he hasn't had his dick sucked before

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:28:29 Polymarket

everything you've said in the last 5 minutes is retarded. You literally contradicted yourself multiple times

everything you've said in the last 5 minutes is retarded. You literally contradicted yourself multiple times

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:27:37 Polymarket

they can announce that the deal is consummated and it would qualify assuming the terms qualify

they can announce that the deal is consummated and it would qualify assuming the terms qualify

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:26:20 Polymarket

he just demonstrated this

he just demonstrated this

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:26:10 Polymarket

formally adopting has nothing to do with signatures

formally adopting has nothing to do with signatures

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:25:50 Polymarket

um yes it can

um yes it can

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:25:37 Polymarket

they could announce an agreed deal and not sign anything

they could announce an agreed deal and not sign anything

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:25:05 Polymarket

i'm not saying what i think they should do, i'm saying what they are doing

i'm not saying what i think they should do, i'm saying what they are doing

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:24:25 Polymarket

market is settling based on an announcement of an actual signed agreement, clearly.

market is settling based on an announcement of an actual signed agreement, clearly.

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:23:43 Polymarket

yea tons

yea tons

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:23:15 Polymarket

fars said iran is poo pooing

fars said iran is poo pooing

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:23:03 Polymarket

market flat out doesn't believe it's gonna happen

market flat out doesn't believe it's gonna happen

arbguy 2026-06-14 03:21:56 Polymarket

you don't have to hate men to use misandristic words just like you don't have to hate women to use misogynistic words

you don't have to hate men to use misandristic words just like you don't have to hate women to use misogynistic words

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