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arbguy参与话题 16消息总数 1318

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arbguy 2026-06-26 16:38:49 Polymarket

There are literally other military enters markets that require combat operations and exclude humanitarian. This one does not. I think it’s quite clear and in plain English

There are literally other military enters markets that require combat operations and exclude humanitarian. This one does not. I think it’s quite clear and in plain English

arbguy 2026-06-26 16:34:14 Polymarket

Intelligence operatives aren’t active US military.

Intelligence operatives aren’t active US military.

arbguy 2026-06-26 16:15:43 Polymarket

Bad dispute, this one isn’t really close

Bad dispute, this one isn’t really close

arbguy 2026-06-25 19:49:01 Polymarket

i know i'm being retarded

i know i'm being retarded

arbguy 2026-06-25 19:48:52 Polymarket

i was honestly worried they could exit scam perma peace

i was honestly worried they could exit scam perma peace

arbguy 2026-06-25 16:45:25 Polymarket

neither were ever going p2 without israeli confirmation, you actual retard

neither were ever going p2 without israeli confirmation, you actual retard

arbguy 2026-06-25 16:38:53 Polymarket

he has bouts of retardation, see israel x hez perma peace arguments in this channel

he has bouts of retardation, see israel x hez perma peace arguments in this channel

arbguy 2026-06-25 16:37:02 Polymarket

delete UMA

delete UMA

arbguy 2026-06-24 17:15:08 Polymarket

better shape up means he's inadequate. it's also condenscending just like watch your mouth

better shape up means he's inadequate. it's also condenscending just like watch your mouth

arbguy 2026-06-24 17:14:05 Polymarket

because they are retarded apparently

because they are retarded apparently

arbguy 2026-06-24 17:13:22 Polymarket

thanks for clarifying bluelaminate

thanks for clarifying bluelaminate

arbguy 2026-06-24 17:12:35 Polymarket

he's uma.rocks?

he's uma.rocks?

arbguy 2026-06-24 17:12:20 Polymarket

who is okayway1 and why do we care about his opinion

who is okayway1 and why do we care about his opinion

arbguy 2026-06-23 19:07:06 Polymarket

it's a mocking attack, he's treating him like a child

it's a mocking attack, he's treating him like a child

arbguy 2026-06-20 03:36:50 Polymarket

It’s not about what they can, IN THEORY (not even practice) do but what’s understood between the parties that they ARE doing, and the intent of the clause in the agreement — that’s literally the “status quo”. Objective theory of contracts. <@941405798096076880> <@1272383282687905939>

It’s not about what they can, IN THEORY (not even practice) do but what’s understood between the parties that they ARE doing, and the intent of the clause in the agreement — that’s literally the “status quo”. Objective theory of contracts. <@941405798096076880> <@1272383282687905939>

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:18:42 Polymarket

yes the only argument is the signed document where they agreed to freeze their nuke progam (of course with the context provided by reporting and official statements)

yes the only argument is the signed document where they agreed to freeze their nuke progam (of course with the context provided by reporting and official statements)

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:18:06 Polymarket

solely his? it's literally been repeated in many articles and by US and Iranian officials

solely his? it's literally been repeated in many articles and by US and Iranian officials

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:17:04 Polymarket

current status = not enriching. This market has nothing to do with inspections

current status = not enriching. This market has nothing to do with inspections

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:16:14 Polymarket

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. this market has about the lowest bar possible

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal. this market has about the lowest bar possible

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:15:20 Polymarket

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for ***any*** amount of time will count.

An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for ***any*** amount of time will count.

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:13:46 Polymarket

terrible analogy because you will always need to shit and can't reasonably agree never to shit again

terrible analogy because you will always need to shit and can't reasonably agree never to shit again

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:13:14 Polymarket

enrichment in so far as whether it's a 10 year freeze, 15, or 20 year freeze, whether they will cap it after to civilian levels etc -- ALL are being discussed later yes I agree

enrichment in so far as whether it's a 10 year freeze, 15, or 20 year freeze, whether they will cap it after to civilian levels etc -- ALL are being discussed later yes I agree

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:11:58 Polymarket

ok, and if there was a market for "did you agree to sit on the back of the bus" it would be an easy p2

ok, and if there was a market for "did you agree to sit on the back of the bus" it would be an easy p2

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:11:24 Polymarket

If it's stipulated that you're not currently doing something, and you agree to the "status quo" related to that issue, you've now agreed not to do it.

If it's stipulated that you're not currently doing something, and you agree to the "status quo" related to that issue, you've now agreed not to do it.

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:09:25 Polymarket

its been retard szn since june 14

its been retard szn since june 14

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:06:57 Polymarket

it's not an "extraordinaty claim" lol jfc

it's not an "extraordinaty claim" lol jfc

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:06:23 Polymarket

yea idk lol

yea idk lol

arbguy 2026-06-19 23:05:32 Polymarket

it's called panic selling

it's called panic selling

arbguy 2026-06-19 22:59:39 Polymarket

it's all been posted, you can choose to ignore everything that runs contrary to your preferred view or you can be objective and consider all

it's all been posted, you can choose to ignore everything that runs contrary to your preferred view or you can be objective and consider all

arbguy 2026-06-19 22:53:23 Polymarket

that public statements by officials and a consensus of credible reporting show that the clause shows they agreed to pause

that public statements by officials and a consensus of credible reporting show that the clause shows they agreed to pause

arbguy 2026-06-19 18:29:35 Polymarket

I'm good, thanks

I'm good, thanks

arbguy 2026-06-19 18:28:38 Polymarket

yea not like there's more information providing context or anything <a:pepe_eyeroll:1008754448778137650>

yea not like there's more information providing context or anything <a:pepe_eyeroll:1008754448778137650>

arbguy 2026-06-19 18:26:16 Polymarket

so status quo just has no meaning at all and the clause was put in there in order to meet the minimum word requirement assigned?

so status quo just has no meaning at all and the clause was put in there in order to meet the minimum word requirement assigned?

arbguy 2026-06-19 18:24:46 Polymarket

propose allow enrichment then

propose allow enrichment then

arbguy 2026-06-19 06:54:45 Polymarket

Ok

Ok

arbguy 2026-06-19 06:53:36 Polymarket

lol

lol

arbguy 2026-06-19 06:53:01 Polymarket

Wat

Wat

arbguy 2026-06-19 06:10:14 Polymarket

a true ponderance

a true ponderance

arbguy 2026-06-19 06:01:03 Polymarket

most reasonable inference is status quo means don't work towards a nuke

most reasonable inference is status quo means don't work towards a nuke

arbguy 2026-06-19 05:59:54 Polymarket

just because something intentionally vague (for obvious reasons, on both sides of what the intent of the phrase was), doesn't mean it can't be inferred which side was intended based on statements and reporting before/after the fact

just because something intentionally vague (for obvious reasons, on both sides of what the intent of the phrase was), doesn't mean it can't be inferred which side was intended based on statements and reporting before/after the fact

arbguy 2026-06-19 05:56:25 Polymarket

there could be reporting that makes it clear, which seem to be happening

there could be reporting that makes it clear, which seem to be happening

arbguy 2026-06-19 05:50:00 Polymarket

withdrawal from screens?

withdrawal from screens?

arbguy 2026-06-19 05:49:20 Polymarket

he might feel violated tbh

he might feel violated tbh

arbguy 2026-06-19 05:46:27 Polymarket

both enrichment markets should resolve based on whatever "status quo" means which is what people are aguing about

both enrichment markets should resolve based on whatever "status quo" means which is what people are aguing about

arbguy 2026-06-18 19:55:35 Polymarket

Ah sorry about to start a road trip

Ah sorry about to start a road trip

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