Polymarket<@79608178202914816> https://x.com/drpezeshkian/status/2067558274568749334?s=46
<@79608178202914816> https://x.com/drpezeshkian/status/2067558274568749334?s=46
arbguy参与话题 16消息总数 1318
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 1318 条，显示第 151-200 条you cost me 100s of thousands of dollars by cucking the semi tarriff market (misresolve) and I'll still feel bad for taking your $250 here if you dispute
you cost me 100s of thousands of dollars by cucking the semi tarriff market (misresolve) and I'll still feel bad for taking your $250 here if you dispute
you can sign an agreement without the other party signing. It refers to the document
you can sign an agreement without the other party signing. It refers to the document
hope that helps
hope that helps
P2: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. P1: If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. or July 31st passes without P2 rules being satisfied.
P2: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. P1: If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. or July 31st passes without P2 rules being satisfied.
ok I'll happily take your $250, you cannot be helped
ok I'll happily take your $250, you cannot be helped
this was what i told claude, hope it helps: P2: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. P1: If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. or July 31st passes without P2 rules being satisfied.
this was what i told claude, hope it helps: P2: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. P1: If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. or July 31st passes without P2 rules being satisfied.
ok this may have cost me that $250, idk
ok this may have cost me that $250, idk
i think arguing actually helps sometimes, because they convince themselves your arguments are wrong once they know what they are
i think arguing actually helps sometimes, because they convince themselves your arguments are wrong once they know what they are
idiots never listen anyways
idiots never listen anyways
he's in an altered mental state and cannot be helped
he's in an altered mental state and cannot be helped
he'll still dispute
he'll still dispute
yes I didn't sit in powerpointn for an hour
yes I didn't sit in powerpointn for an hour
this is literally the cuckiest of cucks and not even a good one and you think spirit of the market is N
this is literally the cuckiest of cucks and not even a good one and you think spirit of the market is N
i actually understand exactly what you're arguing. It's not hard to understand it's just wrong
i actually understand exactly what you're arguing. It's not hard to understand it's just wrong
sharpest of sharps are bonding at 99c
sharpest of sharps are bonding at 99c
good luck
good luck
yes because your argument fails on its merits
yes because your argument fails on its merits
I'm literally trying to talk thonker out of giving me $250
I'm literally trying to talk thonker out of giving me $250
be my guest
be my guest
I know what your argument is, I'm telling you how the market will resolve. You will lose unless you follow the above chart
I know what your argument is, I'm telling you how the market will resolve. You will lose unless you follow the above chart
there's this thing called the AI
there's this thing called the AI
i hope this helps, genuinely
i hope this helps, genuinely
trump signed it physically
trump signed it physically
one requires trump only
one requires trump only
trump signs physically. It's at 99.5 now you missed it
trump signs physically. It's at 99.5 now you missed it
please dispute i need $250 for wine
please dispute i need $250 for wine
this is the signature, they cancelled the event. But it doesn't matter
this is the signature, they cancelled the event. But it doesn't matter
no lol
no lol
i see some cucks though
i see some cucks though
Israel/Iran should be a Y
Israel/Iran should be a Y
save your $750 thonker
save your $750 thonker
official statement is sufficient if it clearly indicates they adopt paragraph 1
official statement is sufficient if it clearly indicates they adopt paragraph 1
It's fairly straightforward logic. Iran has already agreed to end war on all fronts (israel included obv). Once israel agrees to same it's done
It's fairly straightforward logic. Iran has already agreed to end war on all fronts (israel included obv). Once israel agrees to same it's done
or even just that they agree to adopt paragraph 1
or even just that they agree to adopt paragraph 1
they can just say they adopt it, no signature required
they can just say they adopt it, no signature required
they sent a picture of the screen instead of the digital signature guys
they sent a picture of the screen instead of the digital signature guys
at what point can we infer that the text released today was the text they signed? seems like it must be
at what point can we infer that the text released today was the text they signed? seems like it must be
stop, this is the signing in place of the ceremony
stop, this is the signing in place of the ceremony
i don't think he's trying to scam, i just think he's in an altered mental state
i don't think he's trying to scam, i just think he's in an altered mental state
as the receipient of the dispute i still urge you not to for your own sake. This is as clear as it gets
as the receipient of the dispute i still urge you not to for your own sake. This is as clear as it gets
can you not post this until after he disputes lol
can you not post this until after he disputes lol
is this real?
is this real?
pretty sure he's sleep deprived or something
pretty sure he's sleep deprived or something
it won't work
it won't work
come on, this is ridiculous
come on, this is ridiculous
Trump screenshot
Trump screenshot
just stop
just stop
you think they meant a photo of the computer lol?
you think they meant a photo of the computer lol?
https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/2067360466620272982?s=20
https://x.com/BarakRavid/status/2067360466620272982?s=20