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arbguy 2026-06-17 19:51:32 Polymarket

he said "the actual MOU"

he said "the actual MOU"

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:48:00 Polymarket

I'm just not sure how anyone can claim a specific portion of the leaked MOU is genuine given the denials.

I'm just not sure how anyone can claim a specific portion of the leaked MOU is genuine given the denials.

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:45:45 Polymarket

ok, "does not reflect the language of the actual MOU"

ok, "does not reflect the language of the actual MOU"

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:44:33 Polymarket

understood, but no portion can be verified when they are saying it's an old draft

understood, but no portion can be verified when they are saying it's an old draft

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:43:55 Polymarket

need a release to be verified as the actual signed text

need a release to be verified as the actual signed text

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:42:58 Polymarket

there was a mad dash at the end to let Iran extract after beirut bombing

there was a mad dash at the end to let Iran extract after beirut bombing

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:42:08 Polymarket

pack it in p2

pack it in p2

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:41:41 Polymarket

or they saw it was an old draft?

or they saw it was an old draft?

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:41:24 Polymarket

lol

lol

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:35:58 Polymarket

he said what was reported by CNN is false

he said what was reported by CNN is false

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:35:08 Polymarket

pack it in

pack it in

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:34:56 Polymarket

it's literally been denied by both a wh official and iran

it's literally been denied by both a wh official and iran

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:34:36 Polymarket

good luck getting something today

good luck getting something today

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:34:23 Polymarket

CNN report is DOA as a resolution source, as is BBG

CNN report is DOA as a resolution source, as is BBG

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:33:11 Polymarket

you're betting on a release today of some kind for june 17th too, reports from earlier are p4 given official denials

you're betting on a release today of some kind for june 17th too, reports from earlier are p4 given official denials

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:32:24 Polymarket

WH official and Iran deny, it's over GG

WH official and Iran deny, it's over GG

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:32:04 Polymarket

100% bond, no way this gets released today

100% bond, no way this gets released today

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:31:12 Polymarket

it's resolving correctly

it's resolving correctly

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:30:47 Polymarket

its over move on

its over move on

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:29:15 Polymarket

<a:kek:886686729631825940>

<a:kek:886686729631825940>

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:28:09 Polymarket

WH official and iran both deny

WH official and iran both deny

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:27:35 Polymarket

game over

game over

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:27:26 Polymarket

wh official and iran both deny

wh official and iran both deny

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:26:33 Polymarket

CLOSE THE MARKETS

CLOSE THE MARKETS

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:26:11 Polymarket

and this, WH official statement

and this, WH official statement

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:25:46 Polymarket

exactly, there was a last minute scramble

exactly, there was a last minute scramble

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:25:12 Polymarket

conflicing reports is the opposite of consensus

conflicing reports is the opposite of consensus

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:24:09 Polymarket

impossible to say whether these are actual text, and perponderance of the evidence is they are not. p4

impossible to say whether these are actual text, and perponderance of the evidence is they are not. p4

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:22:07 Polymarket

clearly correct inerpretation imo

clearly correct inerpretation imo

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:21:18 Polymarket

Conflicting reports from Iran*

Conflicting reports from Iran*

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:14:31 Polymarket

they agreed to perma peace. Just because they can change their mind means nothing

they agreed to perma peace. Just because they can change their mind means nothing

arbguy 2026-06-17 19:11:43 Polymarket

TRUMP: THE IRAN MOU IS NOT FINAL

TRUMP: THE IRAN MOU IS NOT FINAL

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:44:13 Polymarket

The mou is leaked

The mou is leaked

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:40:53 Polymarket

Defined pause means they stop for a period but also are allowed after which satisfies both

Defined pause means they stop for a period but also are allowed after which satisfies both

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:38:31 Polymarket

If they agree to a freeze or pause yes and no should be p2

If they agree to a freeze or pause yes and no should be p2

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:36:39 Polymarket

Too tired to argue tonight but it’s def an ambiguous clause without a lot of supporting context and they currently have no legal obligations or pledges not to enrich

Too tired to argue tonight but it’s def an ambiguous clause without a lot of supporting context and they currently have no legal obligations or pledges not to enrich

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:34:21 Polymarket

How

How

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:23:51 Polymarket

So he won 4mm on election and just punts?

So he won 4mm on election and just punts?

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:23:11 Polymarket

It can’t even be p1 right now is that guy on drugs?

It can’t even be p1 right now is that guy on drugs?

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:21:59 Polymarket

Wait wtf just happened

Wait wtf just happened

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:08:32 Polymarket

Which one

Which one

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:08:06 Polymarket

Nothing in the MOU about them halting enrichment, not sure why that’s so high?

Nothing in the MOU about them halting enrichment, not sure why that’s so high?

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:07:27 Polymarket

They also claim it’s their sovereign right

They also claim it’s their sovereign right

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:07:13 Polymarket

Doesn’t mean they’re not allowed to

Doesn’t mean they’re not allowed to

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:06:57 Polymarket

No that’s about the material and what to do with it

No that’s about the material and what to do with it

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:05:50 Polymarket

Status quo allows enrichment. They are a sovereign nation and have not pledged or agreed not to enrich.

Status quo allows enrichment. They are a sovereign nation and have not pledged or agreed not to enrich.

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:05:15 Polymarket

Because we bombed the facilities?

Because we bombed the facilities?

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:05:01 Polymarket

They have no agreements or legal obligations not to. Why do you assume they’re not?

They have no agreements or legal obligations not to. Why do you assume they’re not?

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:04:25 Polymarket

How so

How so

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:03:52 Polymarket

Status quo does not prevent them

Status quo does not prevent them

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