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arbguy参与话题 16消息总数 1318

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arbguy 2026-06-17 07:03:16 Polymarket

I mean MOU allows it

I mean MOU allows it

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:03:06 Polymarket

oh that he IS letting them

oh that he IS letting them

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:02:13 Polymarket

Example?

Example?

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:02:02 Polymarket

Ok but based on what

Ok but based on what

arbguy 2026-06-17 07:01:45 Polymarket

Why do people think uranium is resolvable?

Why do people think uranium is resolvable?

arbguy 2026-06-17 06:59:59 Polymarket

<:clown:877222447198380054>

<:clown:877222447198380054>

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:59:45 Polymarket

definitive means binding, not unconditional

definitive means binding, not unconditional

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:56:43 Polymarket

even a simple sales contract is conditional on one party paying the other

even a simple sales contract is conditional on one party paying the other

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:55:03 Polymarket

The United States also undertakes to withdraw its forces from the surrounding areas within 30 days after the final agreement.

The United States also undertakes to withdraw its forces from the surrounding areas within 30 days after the final agreement.

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:53:11 Polymarket

yes that statement is wrong

yes that statement is wrong

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:51:37 Polymarket

hard to have an agreement without conditions

hard to have an agreement without conditions

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:50:57 Polymarket

I'm reconsidering my position on this issue

I'm reconsidering my position on this issue

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:49:30 Polymarket

from the rules: have ended or *will permanently cease,*

from the rules: have ended or *will permanently cease,*

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:48:44 Polymarket

no it didn't

no it didn't

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:48:15 Polymarket

they've agreed to withdraw troops in exchange for a final agreement (assuming leak is correct)

they've agreed to withdraw troops in exchange for a final agreement (assuming leak is correct)

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:45:33 Polymarket

no, he already agreed to do x contingent on y

no, he already agreed to do x contingent on y

arbguy 2026-06-17 03:45:00 Polymarket

he agreed to do x when they do y

he agreed to do x when they do y

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:50:55 Polymarket

I thought they always had rules explicitely stating no resolution on death

I thought they always had rules explicitely stating no resolution on death

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:49:13 Polymarket

i've never traded on kalshi

i've never traded on kalshi

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:47:30 Polymarket

how does airdrop help? If POLY replaces UMA won't the same issues arise? I agree, better rule writing and a dedicated team with expertise to clarify disputes (feel like they've done a decent job of this tbh, obv not perfect)

how does airdrop help? If POLY replaces UMA won't the same issues arise? I agree, better rule writing and a dedicated team with expertise to clarify disputes (feel like they've done a decent job of this tbh, obv not perfect)

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:46:11 Polymarket

what's the solution?

what's the solution?

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:44:56 Polymarket

you can't have 100s of prediction markets without disputes. UMA sucks, don't think they'll last

you can't have 100s of prediction markets without disputes. UMA sucks, don't think they'll last

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:39:52 Polymarket

IQ and emotional control

IQ and emotional control

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:38:47 Polymarket

I'm done replying to israel/hez chatter, market is dead anyways

I'm done replying to israel/hez chatter, market is dead anyways

arbguy 2026-06-17 02:38:30 Polymarket

the difference is us and iran both signed and adopted that agreement so it qualified for the us/iran market. Israel has not adopted this agreement therfore it does not qualify for the israel perma markets. Is this really that hard to understand?

the difference is us and iran both signed and adopted that agreement so it qualified for the us/iran market. Israel has not adopted this agreement therfore it does not qualify for the israel perma markets. Is this really that hard to understand?

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:57:13 Polymarket

how much for coaching?

how much for coaching?

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:54:43 Polymarket

holding at 99.3 and buying at 99.3 is no different

holding at 99.3 and buying at 99.3 is no different

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:52:53 Polymarket

someone doesn't understand EV

someone doesn't understand EV

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:51:29 Polymarket

because it's an obvious p1

because it's an obvious p1

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:51:09 Polymarket

excellent read

excellent read

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:24:16 Polymarket

really deep thinking required to answer this

really deep thinking required to answer this

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:23:38 Polymarket

people think US/IRAN entered into perma peacedeal without Israel's consent

people think US/IRAN entered into perma peacedeal without Israel's consent

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:16:42 Polymarket

oh their little club, idc about that

oh their little club, idc about that

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:16:23 Polymarket

what's PA?

what's PA?

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:15:45 Polymarket

will you share in private if i promise not to disclose? I'll even sign an NDA

will you share in private if i promise not to disclose? I'll even sign an NDA

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:15:23 Polymarket

$6400

$6400

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:14:48 Polymarket

can you link the lawsuit

can you link the lawsuit

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:14:11 Polymarket

you need to extend them out to infinity otherwise we don't know for sure

you need to extend them out to infinity otherwise we don't know for sure

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:12:54 Polymarket

I'm happy to manage the litigation for amall fee

I'm happy to manage the litigation for amall fee

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:12:39 Polymarket

polymarket should sue scout for his spoofing

polymarket should sue scout for his spoofing

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:11:23 Polymarket

I'm talking about this specific market

I'm talking about this specific market

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:10:44 Polymarket

frightening

frightening

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:10:19 Polymarket

they didn't adopt it as of market deadline which is the only thing that matters

they didn't adopt it as of market deadline which is the only thing that matters

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:07:06 Polymarket

the text is irrelevant if israel does not adopt it. And if you think the text is necessary that alone makes it p1

the text is irrelevant if israel does not adopt it. And if you think the text is necessary that alone makes it p1

arbguy 2026-06-16 23:00:09 Polymarket

that's not why this is p1

that's not why this is p1

arbguy 2026-06-16 22:59:18 Polymarket

because it's the worst scam attempt ever

because it's the worst scam attempt ever

arbguy 2026-06-16 22:57:56 Polymarket

dude just stop, this is nonsense. At least form a coherent counter argument

dude just stop, this is nonsense. At least form a coherent counter argument

arbguy 2026-06-16 22:56:38 Polymarket

if they state they adopt it then yes otherwise no

if they state they adopt it then yes otherwise no

arbguy 2026-06-16 22:54:58 Polymarket

doesn't sound like anything ended yesterday

doesn't sound like anything ended yesterday

arbguy 2026-06-16 22:54:48 Polymarket

IRAN'S QALIBAF IN CALL WITH LEBANON'S NABIH BERRI SAYS THE WAR MUST END ON ALL FRONTS, INCLUDING LEBANON

IRAN'S QALIBAF IN CALL WITH LEBANON'S NABIH BERRI SAYS THE WAR MUST END ON ALL FRONTS, INCLUDING LEBANON

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