Kalshihe could have gotten subbed in
he could have gotten subbed in
Nate参与话题 25消息总数 503
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 503 条，显示第 51-100 条lesson is if a player might not play then you're at risk of it resolving to the pre-game fair value price which could be higher or lower than your buy price
lesson is if a player might not play then you're at risk of it resolving to the pre-game fair value price which could be higher or lower than your buy price
in terms of fair value payout only losing a couple bucks is pretty lucky, people have gotten screwed way harder
in terms of fair value payout only losing a couple bucks is pretty lucky, people have gotten screwed way harder
i think you bought at 69c plus fees, and paid out at 70c so you just lost a little to the fee on the buy
i think you bought at 69c plus fees, and paid out at 70c so you just lost a little to the fee on the buy
yeah since he didn't play it paid out based on his pregame price which was 30% Y / 70% N
yeah since he didn't play it paid out based on his pregame price which was 30% Y / 70% N
oh, he didn't play so that's probably the "fair value" payout
oh, he didn't play so that's probably the "fair value" payout
Which is quite funny
Which is quite funny
Maybe he just finds it funny to tie up a couple million dollars of bonders money for a few days
Maybe he just finds it funny to tie up a couple million dollars of bonders money for a few days
Yeah that's the guy with 2.7M total
Yeah that's the guy with 2.7M total
Aliens wouldn't be so rude as to interrupt a world cup game, was always going N
Aliens wouldn't be so rude as to interrupt a world cup game, was always going N
Did you click sell/cash out before it closed? Your transaction history should show what happened
Did you click sell/cash out before it closed? Your transaction history should show what happened
where i get all my aliens news
where i get all my aliens news
i learned about this in the comment section of the kalshi aliens market, so you know its legit
i learned about this in the comment section of the kalshi aliens market, so you know its legit
a "famous" brazilian instagram psychic claimed an alien abduction would occur during the brazil game
a "famous" brazilian instagram psychic claimed an alien abduction would occur during the brazil game
you didn't see the UFO abduct 40,000 people during the game?
you didn't see the UFO abduct 40,000 people during the game?
(not me to be clear)
(not me to be clear)
btw, over on poly/uma, someone has accumulated 2.7M shares of 0.1c Y in the "will aliens abduct people at the brazil game?" and has double disputed the N proposal https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1519522749150924932/1519522751285821552 the dispute thread is... something
btw, over on poly/uma, someone has accumulated 2.7M shares of 0.1c Y in the "will aliens abduct people at the brazil game?" and has double disputed the N proposal https://discord.com/channels/718590743446290492/1519522749150924932/1519522751285821552 the dispute thread is... something
they had a bunch of young subs in, they wanted to make their mark while they had the chance. not exactly "no reason"
they had a bunch of young subs in, they wanted to make their mark while they had the chance. not exactly "no reason"
the result wasn't confirmed, the market is still open, people are allowed to trade at any price
the result wasn't confirmed, the market is still open, people are allowed to trade at any price
complaining that combos take a while to settle: valid complaint, they could be improved complaining that clicking sell for $X actually sold for $X: cmon man you clicked it
complaining that combos take a while to settle: valid complaint, they could be improved complaining that clicking sell for $X actually sold for $X: cmon man you clicked it
clicking "cash out for $X" then complaining that you got $X instead of $Y doesn't garner any sympathy
clicking "cash out for $X" then complaining that you got $X instead of $Y doesn't garner any sympathy
obvious lesson don't just click through shit when money is on the line
obvious lesson don't just click through shit when money is on the line
sure add a warning, idc. but people who don't read will just click through the warning anyway and if you keep adding warnings it adds more friction to users with little benefit
sure add a warning, idc. but people who don't read will just click through the warning anyway and if you keep adding warnings it adds more friction to users with little benefit
the warning is the cash out price, no? if the cash out price says $5 when the max payout is $10, is it not clear that you're cashing out for 50% max?
the warning is the cash out price, no? if the cash out price says $5 when the max payout is $10, is it not clear that you're cashing out for 50% max?
should combos close and settle faster? yes should people be allowed to trade up until that settlement? yes, why not is kalshi responsible for someone selling a winning tcket for the price displayed on the screen? obviously not. it shows you the price and you clicked sell
should combos close and settle faster? yes should people be allowed to trade up until that settlement? yes, why not is kalshi responsible for someone selling a winning tcket for the price displayed on the screen? obviously not. it shows you the price and you clicked sell
this chat is 1000% sharper than the kalshi comments section. If people here are talking about something there's a good chance its real. if the kalshi comments section is talking about something its almost certainly fake
this chat is 1000% sharper than the kalshi comments section. If people here are talking about something there's a good chance its real. if the kalshi comments section is talking about something its almost certainly fake
turkey vs paraguay at 10:30 on a firday night? nobody watched that shi
turkey vs paraguay at 10:30 on a firday night? nobody watched that shi
but you knew it was 96% Yes at the time you bought it. whether it was already said or said in an unclear way or just really really likely to be said soon, you bought something with 4% odds and it lost
but you knew it was 96% Yes at the time you bought it. whether it was already said or said in an unclear way or just really really likely to be said soon, you bought something with 4% odds and it lost
if you bought at 4%, it wasn't worthless, it was worth 4c at the time you bought because the market was pricing 96% chance it goes Y
if you bought at 4%, it wasn't worthless, it was worth 4c at the time you bought because the market was pricing 96% chance it goes Y
at the time you bought it it wasn't worthless. it was worth what the market was trading at based on the odds it would resolve Y. the market was not 100% confident it would go Y at that point so it was trading based on that chance
at the time you bought it it wasn't worthless. it was worth what the market was trading at based on the odds it would resolve Y. the market was not 100% confident it would go Y at that point so it was trading based on that chance
fair, new users should be forced to take a quiz on what the app is before trading is unlocked
fair, new users should be forced to take a quiz on what the app is before trading is unlocked
you're not betting, you're trading and until kalshi verifies the recording the outcome is undecided and you can trade it. that's how it works
you're not betting, you're trading and until kalshi verifies the recording the outcome is undecided and you can trade it. that's how it works
you already said you're refunding and leaving and i agreed its for the best
you already said you're refunding and leaving and i agreed its for the best
none of the lawsuits have anything to do with last traded payouts for non-players, but ok. I'm just explaining to you the rules since you refuse to read them
none of the lawsuits have anything to do with last traded payouts for non-players, but ok. I'm just explaining to you the rules since you refuse to read them
this is the worst N arugment I've seen in a while and i've made some bad arguments.
this is the worst N arugment I've seen in a while and i've made some bad arguments.
you thought you were smarter than the market by buying N after the news hit. but you didn't read the rules. sorry your clever play didn't work out
you thought you were smarter than the market by buying N after the news hit. but you didn't read the rules. sorry your clever play didn't work out
all systems are made up. gotta read the rules
all systems are made up. gotta read the rules
if you read the contract you'd know N does'nt win if the player doesn't play. you said your contract won, therefore you didn't read it
if you read the contract you'd know N does'nt win if the player doesn't play. you said your contract won, therefore you didn't read it
you didn't read the contract you bought
you didn't read the contract you bought
probably for the best if you're incapable of reading the rules of what you're trading. cya
probably for the best if you're incapable of reading the rules of what you're trading. cya
take it up with the regulators i guess
take it up with the regulators i guess
users are responsible for knowing the rules of what they're trading
users are responsible for knowing the rules of what they're trading
because kalshi sucks at staying on top of news because they have 10 billion markets and like 10 interns watching them. i agree they should halt trading sooner but if you know the rules its easy not to buy stuff that's going to go fair value
because kalshi sucks at staying on top of news because they have 10 billion markets and like 10 interns watching them. i agree they should halt trading sooner but if you know the rules its easy not to buy stuff that's going to go fair value
everyone thinks its Y
everyone thinks its Y
"gold of the tournament competition" is nonsense
"gold of the tournament competition" is nonsense
it literally doesn't
it literally doesn't
"goal of the tournament competition" is clearly what he said
"goal of the tournament competition" is clearly what he said
but a "gold of the tournament competition" is nonsense
but a "gold of the tournament competition" is nonsense
if the sentance was "he set his own gold there" then yea sure
if the sentance was "he set his own gold there" then yea sure
but "gold of the tournament competition" isn't a thing
but "gold of the tournament competition" isn't a thing