聊天记录
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By that logic every strategy only needs $100 because you can always point to the best-case path afterwards.
The whole point of bankroll planning is accounting for the paths where things don't go perfectly.
Sure, I can run it with $100. I can also brag about how smart I am until the first sequence that requires capital I don't have.
I'm sizing around worst historical conditions, not around getting high on favorable variance for a few hours and calling it risk management.
By that logic every strategy only needs $100 because you can always point to the best-case path afterwards.
The whole point of bankroll planning is accounting for the paths where things don't go perfectly.
Sure, I can run it with $100. I can also brag about how smart I am until the first sequence that requires capital I don't have.
I'm sizing around worst historical conditions, not around getting high on favorable variance for a few hours and calling it risk management.
ive tried that and eventually lost it all lmao
ive tried that and eventually lost it all lmao
gambling my savings on roullete
gambling my savings on roullete
better than bedrotting isnt it?
better than bedrotting isnt it?
being short of funds cannot stop me to build things
being short of funds cannot stop me to build things
The challenge isn't building the strategy or the automation anymore; it's getting enough capital behind it without handing over the core research and logic that took months to develop.
The challenge isn't building the strategy or the automation anymore; it's getting enough capital behind it without handing over the core research and logic that took months to develop.
If I had the capital to comfortably deploy and validate it myself, I'd much rather keep the entire codebase private and just run it.
If I had the capital to comfortably deploy and validate it myself, I'd much rather keep the entire codebase private and just run it.
Trust me, I know. That's honestly the only reason I'm even considering giving away parts of the setup or structuring it as a signal-provider model.
Trust me, I know. That's honestly the only reason I'm even considering giving away parts of the setup or structuring it as a signal-provider model.
Threshold funds required to sustain without blowing is around 1.4k
Threshold funds required to sustain without blowing is around 1.4k
I'm looking into structures where someone keeps custody of their funds and I provide the strategy/signals for a profit split.
I'm looking into structures where someone keeps custody of their funds and I provide the strategy/signals for a profit split.
true
true
Part of the issue is that the strategy needs a decent-sized bankroll before it can be deployed properly. The required capital isn't huge, but it's more than I'm comfortable risking myself right now.
Part of the issue is that the strategy needs a decent-sized bankroll before it can be deployed properly. The required capital isn't huge, but it's more than I'm comfortable risking myself right now.
I'm currently running a BTC 15-minute strategy that's been extensively backtested and is undergoing live validation. The setup can be structured so investors retain control of their own funds while I provide the proprietary execution/signal layer for a profit split, meaning capital custody and strategy IP remain separated.
I'm currently running a BTC 15-minute strategy that's been extensively backtested and is undergoing live validation. The setup can be structured so investors retain control of their own funds while I provide the proprietary execution/signal layer for a profit split, meaning capital custody and strategy IP remain separated.
Quick question, where would you look for potential capital partners for a small systematic Polymarket strategy?
Quick question, where would you look for potential capital partners for a small systematic Polymarket strategy?
Hey guys
Hey guys
can i dm you ?
can i dm you ?
it is
it is
what should i do atp
what should i do atp
bruh
bruh
yo <@954607102062624808> what if i simulate fills on 3c below entry price does that count??
yo <@954607102062624808> what if i simulate fills on 3c below entry price does that count??
that's enough bruh 😭😭
that's enough bruh 😭😭
hey, is there a polymarket 15 min BTC historical Orderbook snapshot data available around the internet?
hey, is there a polymarket 15 min BTC historical Orderbook snapshot data available around the internet?
Mhm i see
Mhm i see
Are there historical records available?
Are there historical records available?
im weak in english so i take help of ai to explain it to you guys properly
im weak in english so i take help of ai to explain it to you guys properly
lmao
lmao
It identifies micro-patterns in short-term price behavior and executes directional bets on binary prediction markets with automated position sizing and risk management
It identifies micro-patterns in short-term price behavior and executes directional bets on binary prediction markets with automated position sizing and risk management
The system uses a proprietary statistical model trained on multi-year historical price data across time intervals.
The system uses a proprietary statistical model trained on multi-year historical price data across time intervals.
and its not exactly martingale but yeah revolved around that
and its not exactly martingale but yeah revolved around that
The 52% win rate is barely above a coin flip. The strategy makes money from martingale sizing (betting bigger after losses), not from actually predicting direction well.
The 52% win rate is barely above a coin flip. The strategy makes money from martingale sizing (betting bigger after losses), not from actually predicting direction well.
lmaoo
lmaoo
0.4802
0.4802
How can I make it better?
How can I make it better?
I'm not asking for money here? I'm literally giving away my strategy in exchange for some profit split type shit
I'm not asking for money here? I'm literally giving away my strategy in exchange for some profit split type shit
i don't have the damn threshold funds so I'm finding someone who can put his bag up and he can give a profit split to me
i don't have the damn threshold funds so I'm finding someone who can put his bag up and he can give a profit split to me
<@954607102062624808> so there's no way out there I can prove someone my strategy without putting a big ass chunk on real trading right?
<@954607102062624808> so there's no way out there I can prove someone my strategy without putting a big ass chunk on real trading right?
it totally makes sense lol even if my order doesent get filled 20% of time i will still be profitable
it totally makes sense lol even if my order doesent get filled 20% of time i will still be profitable
list them
list them
what would you do in my place
what would you do in my place
but eventually it got blew
but eventually it got blew
i took a risk by starting with 180$ and it was all going good and well
i took a risk by starting with 180$ and it was all going good and well
the threshold amount for that strategy to not blow is out of my budget
the threshold amount for that strategy to not blow is out of my budget
Anyone who could help me out?
Anyone who could help me out?
been working deeply on BTC/prediction market strategies lately and I think I may have something with solid edge potential.
Wanted to ask, how do people usually connect with serious guys/firms who fund profitable strategies for a profit split or similar setup in this space?
I'm looking for handouts or anything, just trying to understand how the ecosystem works and where legit connections are made. Appreciate any guidance.
been working deeply on BTC/prediction market strategies lately and I think I may have something with solid edge potential.
Wanted to ask, how do people usually connect with serious guys/firms who fund profitable strategies for a profit split or similar setup in this space?
I'm looking for handouts or anything, just trying to understand how the ecosystem works and where legit connections are made. Appreciate any guidance.
Aight
Aight
Is talking about btc strategies allowed here?
Is talking about btc strategies allowed here?
I gave him 2026 YTD trade logs and his task is to breakdown my strategy
I gave him 2026 YTD trade logs and his task is to breakdown my strategy
just gave jeffdagoat his homework
just gave jeffdagoat his homework
not able to dm you
not able to dm you
in any way possible lmao I tried with every Ai possible and even got some mathematicians from my local area to decode it and they couldn't decode the core of the strategy
in any way possible lmao I tried with every Ai possible and even got some mathematicians from my local area to decode it and they couldn't decode the core of the strategy
Polymarket