Polymarketits the sam eev
its the sam eev
poor scientist参与话题 14消息总数 4085
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共 4085 条，显示第 3151-3200 条its like trading the same staratey 300 times as compared to 50
its like trading the same staratey 300 times as compared to 50
that doesnt model adverse seleciton at all
that doesnt model adverse seleciton at all
just filled less
just filled less
its the same shit
its the same shit
no
no
true
true
no
no
what effects your actual ev is advse selection
what effects your actual ev is advse selection
getting filled 20% of the time on all bins compared to 100% is the same stratetgy EV scaled down
getting filled 20% of the time on all bins compared to 100% is the same stratetgy EV scaled down
its about advere seleciton which you arent modeling
its about advere seleciton which you arent modeling
its not about on average
its not about on average
its just one thing
its just one thing
like,it should make sensse
like,it should make sensse
if your model is logically sound oyu honelsty dont need to backtest like that
if your model is logically sound oyu honelsty dont need to backtest like that
go off model metrics
go off model metrics
its likley blown becuase yourbacktest is optimistic
its likley blown becuase yourbacktest is optimistic
no
no
https://tenor.com/view/let%27s-take-a-look-skeleton-skeleton-run-eyes-scientists-reveal-the-secret-gif-2670184264710437109
https://tenor.com/view/let%27s-take-a-look-skeleton-skeleton-run-eyes-scientists-reveal-the-secret-gif-2670184264710437109
Mr Market Maker Michael Merger Markout
Mr Market Maker Michael Merger Markout
Merging Michael Markouts
Merging Michael Markouts
Merger Michael Markout
Merger Michael Markout
Michael Merging Markout
Michael Merging Markout
get naked.
get naked.
its not smooth at all
its not smooth at all
no.
no.
na
na
but taker
but taker
like i can see why mming you need money
like i can see why mming you need money
atleasy ou can see
atleasy ou can see
you shouldt need that much capacity
you shouldt need that much capacity
yeah exaclty
yeah exaclty
you specifically wont get filled at those prices despite what you think you may have done
you specifically wont get filled at those prices despite what you think you may have done
what
what
wrong*
wrong*
am i worn here
am i worn here
<@369314624203653121>
<@369314624203653121>
wrong.
wrong.
and likley
and likley
it woul e extrempley high varience otherwise
it woul e extrempley high varience otherwise
you have to sell some way
you have to sell some way
u cant just filter it
u cant just filter it
it even makes sense to what he did
it even makes sense to what he did
it adds u
it adds u
the data is real robably
the data is real robably
i counteryou
i counteryou
no
no
some way
some way
he has to sell
he has to sell
no
no