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Coolnyul参与话题 12消息总数 633

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Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:58:50 Polymarket

probably depends on the person, but I was 100% focused on making my strategy work, so I did nothing else while I was developing it

probably depends on the person, but I was 100% focused on making my strategy work, so I did nothing else while I was developing it

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:56:15 Polymarket

the best alpha is to not spend time here, but on building a strategy, then afer you have it, you can come and rot your brain

the best alpha is to not spend time here, but on building a strategy, then afer you have it, you can come and rot your brain

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:31:39 Polymarket

but he unfortunately stopped his bot, so no more alpha

but he unfortunately stopped his bot, so no more alpha

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:30:57 Polymarket

his strategy was about how to lose 10k a day though

his strategy was about how to lose 10k a day though

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:27:29 Polymarket

of yourse there are solutions, the point is, it is hard to simulate close to reality

of yourse there are solutions, the point is, it is hard to simulate close to reality

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:26:12 Polymarket

that it a very common case

that it a very common case

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:24:35 Polymarket

never mind

never mind

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:23:32 Polymarket

he doesn't get it

he doesn't get it

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:23:14 Polymarket

how would you know?

how would you know?

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:23:03 Polymarket

was the cancel ahead or behind you???

was the cancel ahead or behind you???

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:21:28 Polymarket

therer is no differentiation of shares inside a level...

therer is no differentiation of shares inside a level...

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:21:03 Polymarket

not without l3 data, which you don't have here

not without l3 data, which you don't have here

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:20:09 Polymarket

and do you know if that cancel was behind or ahaead of you?

and do you know if that cancel was behind or ahaead of you?

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:19:22 Polymarket

wheere the cancels come from

wheere the cancels come from

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:19:17 Polymarket

cancel advancement ratio is a dynamic thin that channges with adverse selection...

cancel advancement ratio is a dynamic thin that channges with adverse selection...

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:16:49 Polymarket

you will not simulate queue pisition or adverse selection faithfully

you will not simulate queue pisition or adverse selection faithfully

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:16:42 Polymarket

latency issues are a whole other thing

latency issues are a whole other thing

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:14:28 Polymarket

not hard...

not hard...

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 03:13:09 Polymarket

i couldn't do it, you can't see their orders and cancels and more importnatly you don't have their models, so good luck

i couldn't do it, you can't see their orders and cancels and more importnatly you don't have their models, so good luck

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:54:50 Polymarket

no one is sharing their alpha

no one is sharing their alpha

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:54:45 Polymarket

you will never get that

you will never get that

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:54:33 Polymarket

then I told you who to look at....

then I told you who to look at....

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:54:25 Polymarket

you literally just said you wantg to see other people's performance to motivate yourself

you literally just said you wantg to see other people's performance to motivate yourself

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:53:34 Polymarket

never mind

never mind

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:53:25 Polymarket

jesus...

jesus...

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:52:52 Polymarket

look at ohan or gabigol on betmoar

look at ohan or gabigol on betmoar

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:52:01 Polymarket

there are sites like betmoar and gravia, but tthat is not the point, you can't reverse engineer other's staretgies, so just work on your own

there are sites like betmoar and gravia, but tthat is not the point, you can't reverse engineer other's staretgies, so just work on your own

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:50:51 Polymarket

di I say to copy them? I am correcting you, that the potential is not "theoretical"

di I say to copy them? I am correcting you, that the potential is not "theoretical"

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:49:13 Polymarket

bro, there are dozens of profitable traders on these crypto markets

bro, there are dozens of profitable traders on these crypto markets

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:46:09 Polymarket

he doesn't know the lore...

he doesn't know the lore...

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:43:40 Polymarket

black holes or nothing

black holes or nothing

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:40:38 Polymarket

he said that he is not trrying to be one,,,

he said that he is not trrying to be one,,,

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:37:22 Polymarket

i did not pay for data at all

i did not pay for data at all

Coolnyul 2026-06-18 02:36:10 Polymarket

and you can build good models with free data

and you can build good models with free data

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 23:37:07 Polymarket

magic <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

magic <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 23:35:48 Polymarket

to be fair, I merge the current market shares and then redeem the winnings from the previous market, so yeah, in theory it should allow faster access to capital

to be fair, I merge the current market shares and then redeem the winnings from the previous market, so yeah, in theory it should allow faster access to capital

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 23:34:12 Polymarket

Lol, I have no idea

Lol, I have no idea

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 23:10:13 Polymarket

maybe temporarily, but until it is still worth it, the will continue doing it

maybe temporarily, but until it is still worth it, the will continue doing it

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 23:09:46 Polymarket

wasn't it binance where they had to manipulate?

wasn't it binance where they had to manipulate?

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 23:02:23 Polymarket

yeah, that was the plan, but din't really need it to be honest, built it just in case

yeah, that was the plan, but din't really need it to be honest, built it just in case

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 23:01:16 Polymarket

Lol, Coinbase is entering the prediction market race

Lol, Coinbase is entering the prediction market race

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 22:27:05 Polymarket

i still do my own merging and redeeming

i still do my own merging and redeeming

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 22:26:29 Polymarket

same here

same here

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 20:20:27 Polymarket

Maybe you can save 1-2ms with the network while getting clogged for 1s in the clob

Maybe you can save 1-2ms with the network while getting clogged for 1s in the clob

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 20:19:53 Polymarket

But isn't it the clob matching that is mostly responsible for the tails?

But isn't it the clob matching that is mostly responsible for the tails?

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 19:20:02 Polymarket

but he unfortunately overfit...

but he unfortunately overfit...

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 19:19:40 Polymarket

he trained his own ML model to write these

he trained his own ML model to write these

Coolnyul 2026-06-17 06:08:14 Polymarket

yep, a pretty useful site, good job

yep, a pretty useful site, good job

Coolnyul 2026-06-16 22:10:06 Polymarket

Long time no see

Long time no see

Coolnyul 2026-06-16 21:54:05 Polymarket

Now the CIA decides if we can use Fable...

Now the CIA decides if we can use Fable...

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