PolymarketFunny thing
Funny thing
PapaKarlo参与话题 9消息总数 368
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 368 条，显示第 151-200 条I'm a student of war
I'm a student of war
and tell me it looks different than that comment section
and tell me it looks different than that comment section
prove me wrong, throw a bowl of freshly cooked ramen on the table
prove me wrong, throw a bowl of freshly cooked ramen on the table
we don't speak flaming hot noodles
we don't speak flaming hot noodles
Even if you assume manipulation exists, the important question is whether it creates a systematic bias against your strategy or whether it behaves like random noise. If the final outcome is still roughly 50/50 over a large enough sample, then those effects should be distributed around the mean: sometimes they work in your favor, sometimes against you. In that case, it increases variance, but it does not necessarily eliminate edge.
Even if you assume manipulation exists, the important question is whether it creates a systematic bias against your strategy or whether it behaves like random noise. If the final outcome is still roughly 50/50 over a large enough sample, then those effects should be distributed around the mean: sometimes they work in your favor, sometimes against you. In that case, it increases variance, but it does not necessarily eliminate edge.
Ok but even if you believe in "manipulating" look at it as random noise in whatever strategy you're doing. It will end 50/50 up or down so manipulating will be in your favor or not 50% of the time.
Ok but even if you believe in "manipulating" look at it as random noise in whatever strategy you're doing. It will end 50/50 up or down so manipulating will be in your favor or not 50% of the time.
Melon
Melon
its not manipulation when it happens only 50% of the time
its not manipulation when it happens only 50% of the time
no
no
Ive held LUNC for 4 years
Ive held LUNC for 4 years
Bonereater
Bonereater
"create another taker bypass in clob, idk felt cute do wyw"
"create another taker bypass in clob, idk felt cute do wyw"
fable gonna refactor the whole pm soruce
fable gonna refactor the whole pm soruce
but it does not work flawlessly though
but it does not work flawlessly though
there is actually an ws message that will be sent when tick size changes
there is actually an ws message that will be sent when tick size changes
glad to help
glad to help
This is one of the lifes mysteries
This is one of the lifes mysteries
cats can balance themselves anywhere
cats can balance themselves anywhere
https://tenor.com/view/scuba-scuba-cat-scuba-dance-cat-dancing-cat-gif-3331539172897907390
https://tenor.com/view/scuba-scuba-cat-scuba-dance-cat-dancing-cat-gif-3331539172897907390
500 buckaroos for some shitty aggregated feed
500 buckaroos for some shitty aggregated feed
for april fools they should have inversed the buttons, but keeping the colors
for april fools they should have inversed the buttons, but keeping the colors
Outcome = How much money you have
Outcome = How much money you have
Guess who
Guess who
Backdoor enjoyer
Backdoor enjoyer
animal integrity control
animal integrity control
popo cat
popo cat
<@707597210845446214> email bug still present, i have email notifications turned off.
<@707597210845446214> email bug still present, i have email notifications turned off.
what
what
beta behaviour
beta behaviour
These were market flips
These were market flips
wtf happened yesterday
wtf happened yesterday
i dont speak noodles
i dont speak noodles
walked right into it
walked right into it
shit
shit
since ohan not trading anymore
since ohan not trading anymore
whats the new meme
whats the new meme
Press F to pay respects to Ohan
Press F to pay respects to Ohan
https://tenor.com/view/where-is-my-money-traxnyc-akay-diamonds-scam-14k-gif-12719236281497130961
https://tenor.com/view/where-is-my-money-traxnyc-akay-diamonds-scam-14k-gif-12719236281497130961
https://tenor.com/view/cement-mixer-dont-tell-anyone-shh-emoji-shh-meme-me-enjoying-gif-26241727
https://tenor.com/view/cement-mixer-dont-tell-anyone-shh-emoji-shh-meme-me-enjoying-gif-26241727
guh
guh
<@895912129578811413> did they fix the maker queue exploit also?
<@895912129578811413> did they fix the maker queue exploit also?
https://tenor.com/view/cat-scuba-cat-cat-dance-cat-meme-gif-7310400222821099896
https://tenor.com/view/cat-scuba-cat-cat-dance-cat-meme-gif-7310400222821099896
Billion dollar company by the way
Billion dollar company by the way
petition to set cancel speed bump for makers
petition to set cancel speed bump for makers
why im getting more fak fails after taker delay fix
why im getting more fak fails after taker delay fix
https://tenor.com/view/cat-huh-wtf-woah-trippy-gif-12532763184133564554
https://tenor.com/view/cat-huh-wtf-woah-trippy-gif-12532763184133564554
pool of memes
pool of memes
who creates those jifs
who creates those jifs
#gigachad
#gigachad