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加州初选邮寄选票翻盘引发欺诈指控与市场结算争议

2026-06-10 · Kalshi · 97 条相关讨论

nonsenseking 2026-06-10 01:07:40

more evidence of fraud

more evidence of fraud

thtt445 2026-06-10 01:10:05

It probably is

It probably is

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:10:08

red wave so big its going to drown the entire trump admin

red wave so big its going to drown the entire trump admin

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-10 01:10:20

This is one of those things where it probably would be hard to find a third place candidate surging to second based on early returns vs final results just because its so specific and meaningless, historians wouldn't have noted it. You'd kinda have to go through races individually, I'd think. Also this was only possible because MAGA convinced themselves Pratt would actually win in november

This is one of those things where it probably would be hard to find a third place candidate surging to second based on early returns vs final results just because its so specific and meaningless, historians wouldn't have noted it. You'd kinda have to go through races individually, I'd think. Also this was only possible because MAGA convinced themselves Pratt would actually win in november

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-10 01:11:19

Proof that we need a LA mayor voter fraud market

Proof that we need a LA mayor voter fraud market

thtt445 2026-06-10 01:11:38

There should be a market for if Pratt will sue

There should be a market for if Pratt will sue

thtt445 2026-06-10 01:11:49

Or would that be to easy to manipulate

Or would that be to easy to manipulate

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:14:59

like in CA-06, on election night it was a republican lockout. but as expected w/ late ballots, a dem took 2nd

like in CA-06, on election night it was a republican lockout. but as expected w/ late ballots, a dem took 2nd

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-10 01:15:13

Yeah I bet you could find something, but a Google search wont really help (which is what the LLM would be doing), you'd have to analyze the actual data

Yeah I bet you could find something, but a Google search wont really help (which is what the LLM would be doing), you'd have to analyze the actual data

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-10 01:15:34

Nobody is marking down when a candidate is ahead with early results before mail in voting, but then behind for the final call

Nobody is marking down when a candidate is ahead with early results before mail in voting, but then behind for the final call

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:16:42

oh yeah agreed, that knowledge isnt easily accessible for an LLM

oh yeah agreed, that knowledge isnt easily accessible for an LLM

thtt445 2026-06-10 01:17:31

That's not the same because mail in ballots tend to be heavily Democrats, but LA was different because it was heavily Raman in particular

That's not the same because mail in ballots tend to be heavily Democrats, but LA was different because it was heavily Raman in particular

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:18:46

i suppose so. hard logic to understand that raman dominates with young libs versus the boomer libs, and the young libs turn in their ballots late just like their college essays

i suppose so. hard logic to understand that raman dominates with young libs versus the boomer libs, and the young libs turn in their ballots late just like their college essays

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:20:11

its a super easy concept to understand. twitter is in a mass psychosis, and some of it is purposefully not interpreting it, and also alot of it is probably the school system has failed many and they cannot concieve of how demographics change via mail in date, even amongst democrats

its a super easy concept to understand. twitter is in a mass psychosis, and some of it is purposefully not interpreting it, and also alot of it is probably the school system has failed many and they cannot concieve of how demographics change via mail in date, even amongst democrats

NonprofitProphet 2026-06-10 01:21:08

Yeah I don't really understand the mindset. I agree some if it feels like they're just saying the fraud is true because they think it will improve their chances at winning elections

Yeah I don't really understand the mindset. I agree some if it feels like they're just saying the fraud is true because they think it will improve their chances at winning elections

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:21:45

I bet if you found house primaries where there were two dems, one a boomer centrist, the other a young socialist, you'd find a similar pattern of votes gained for the socialist. it just wouldnt be a national profile election, and probably not the specific scenario with the socialist dem overtakes the republican in 2nd

I bet if you found house primaries where there were two dems, one a boomer centrist, the other a young socialist, you'd find a similar pattern of votes gained for the socialist. it just wouldnt be a national profile election, and probably not the specific scenario with the socialist dem overtakes the republican in 2nd

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:22:19

it was also exaggerated here because dems became strategic to defeat Pratt and got behind Raman moreso than they would have been polled previously

it was also exaggerated here because dems became strategic to defeat Pratt and got behind Raman moreso than they would have been polled previously

SlickWaves 2026-06-10 01:37:44

Does Raman have a cult following? Haven’t been following her closely but she gave me progressive competent bureaucrat energy

Does Raman have a cult following? Haven’t been following her closely but she gave me progressive competent bureaucrat energy

i2dt 2026-06-10 01:42:25

she's portrayed as a radical communist but i think in reality shes more of something inbetween a democratic socialist and a more establishment dem

she's portrayed as a radical communist but i think in reality shes more of something inbetween a democratic socialist and a more establishment dem

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-10 01:45:05

raman is going to 60 within weeks

raman is going to 60 within weeks