2026-06-10 · Kalshi · 89 条相关讨论
If anyone thinks Rodgers's next team is not resolvable/should not resolve to Pittsburgh, I'm be happy to hear ur argument and debate
If anyone thinks Rodgers's next team is not resolvable/should not resolve to Pittsburgh, I'm be happy to hear ur argument and debate
Gonna post this now to link it if/when ppl say I should cash out at 99 w/o actually reading my post (I don't blame u tbf, I had to squeeze that thing under the Discord char limit and it took me like 5 mins) 1. I'm bonding it. 99c would mean I'd lose a lot due to slippage/fees 2. Why should I cash out at 99c when the market is completely determined? This isn't a thing of "oh, the chance it'll happen is 99.5%, so buying at 99c is +EV", it literally already happened. Unless someone has a secret time machine(in which case there's prob better things to do), the contract/transaction was made official on 5/18. 3. According to the Payout Criterion in the contract, **the market does NOT resolve off Rodgers playing in an official capacity, the "determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source Agencies"** and the transaction of Rodgers' contract becoming official has been reported by multiple source agencies. From original post: > "The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion."
Gonna post this now to link it if/when ppl say I should cash out at 99 w/o actually reading my post (I don't blame u tbf, I had to squeeze that thing under the Discord char limit and it took me like 5 mins) 1. I'm bonding it. 99c would mean I'd lose a lot due to slippage/fees 2. Why should I cash out at 99c when the market is completely determined? This isn't a thing of "oh, the chance it'll happen is 99.5%, so buying at 99c is +EV", it literally already happened. Unless someone has a secret time machine(in which case there's prob better things to do), the contract/transaction was made official on 5/18. 3. According to the Payout Criterion in the contract, **the market does NOT resolve off Rodgers playing in an official capacity, the "determining moment is when the transaction becomes official as reported by Source Agencies"** and the transaction of Rodgers' contract becoming official has been reported by multiple source agencies. From original post: > "The following do NOT constitute joining a new team: ... I'm not asking to resolve this based on him showing up at OTAs, but the explicit signing of his 1-year contract with the Pittsburgh Steelers made official on 5/18, which does constitute joining a new team, according to the Payout Criterion."
Heya Jake, srry to bother, I'd love to trade slop, but my money is all locked up in this Aaron Rodgers' Next Team market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26arodgers8?op_market_ticker=KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-PIT&op_order_side=yes I've posted an extensive essay on why it should be resolvable in RFD (https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1513793451425005668), but not sure the sports ppl have seen it, any chance u could help w/ resolving it?
Heya Jake, srry to bother, I'd love to trade slop, but my money is all locked up in this Aaron Rodgers' Next Team market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnextteamnfl/pro-football-player-next-team/kxnextteamnfl-26arodgers8?op_market_ticker=KXNEXTTEAMNFL-26ARODGERS8-PIT&op_order_side=yes I've posted an extensive essay on why it should be resolvable in RFD (https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1513793451425005668), but not sure the sports ppl have seen it, any chance u could help w/ resolving it?
i genuinely am a bit boggled on what the holdup on Kalshi's part is
i genuinely am a bit boggled on what the holdup on Kalshi's part is
My extensive essay on why it should b resolvable: https://ptb.discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1513793451425005668
My extensive essay on why it should b resolvable: https://ptb.discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1513793451425005668
bru u think they leave it open unless he retires?
bru u think they leave it open unless he retires?
they shouldn't
they shouldn't
yea damn that sucks
yea damn that sucks
I mean atp shouldnt u just cash out at 99
I mean atp shouldnt u just cash out at 99
is the problem "new team" verbage? he signed a contract with his existing tem
is the problem "new team" verbage? he signed a contract with his existing tem
he was not a Steeler at the time of market opening
he was not a Steeler at the time of market opening
Yea but im talking about the opportunity cost
Yea but im talking about the opportunity cost
im not saying ur wrong
im not saying ur wrong
especially if they not replying
especially if they not replying
I'm pretty busy at work anyways tbh 😭
I'm pretty busy at work anyways tbh 😭
so u have no idea
so u have no idea
thats fair which is why i was asking
thats fair which is why i was asking
if kalshi is getting weird about the word "new" and believes rodgers re-signing with his old team doesn't qualfy and needs to wait for expiration
if kalshi is getting weird about the word "new" and believes rodgers re-signing with his old team doesn't qualfy and needs to wait for expiration
if it was me I wouldve been cashed out
if it was me I wouldve been cashed out
the golden state next head coach market is in similar limbo. steve kerr re-signed but kalshi doesn't seem to want to close it
the golden state next head coach market is in similar limbo. steve kerr re-signed but kalshi doesn't seem to want to close it