秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

美伊停火/和平协议宣布市场规则争议与翻转尝试

2026-06-13 · Polymarket · 11 条相关讨论

root 2026-06-13 14:12:00

Peace deal, which Trump said was agreed to in writing

Peace deal, which Trump said was agreed to in writing

root 2026-06-13 14:25:16

"the terms that were agreed to, in writing"

"the terms that were agreed to, in writing"

root 2026-06-13 14:32:35

A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either: 1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended. **2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.** Pakistan: "'Final, agreed upon text' of deal to end Iran war reached" Trump: "the terms that were agreed to, in writing" Sounds like criteria 2 is met.

A qualifying announcement requires clear public confirmation from the U.S. government that the U.S. has either: 1. Extended its commitment to the ceasefire, either as a dated/time-based extension (e.g. a 60 day extension) or through an explicit statement that the ceasefire has been extended. **2. Renewed the existing ceasefire as part of a broader peace agreement, ceasefire framework, or diplomatic agreement under which the ceasefire will continue.** Pakistan: "'Final, agreed upon text' of deal to end Iran war reached" Trump: "the terms that were agreed to, in writing" Sounds like criteria 2 is met.

Iason 2026-06-13 17:15:31

Let’s flip June 12 vro

Let’s flip June 12 vro

Iason 2026-06-13 17:17:36

Pummmmmmmp

Pummmmmmmp

Camal 2026-06-13 17:35:57

True, its doenst have to be signed but the clarif cucks your argument

True, its doenst have to be signed but the clarif cucks your argument

root 2026-06-13 18:04:05

A bulletin board rules update has been posted to the market: "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?" For the avoidance of doubt, no announcement, statement, agreement, framework, memorandum, understanding, communiqué, declaration, handshake, wink, nod, thumbs-up, verbal assurance, social media post, carrier pigeon message, smoke signal, or interpretive dance shall qualify unless all of the following conditions are satisfied: 1. The extension agreement must be memorialized in a written document consisting of no fewer than 17 pages and no more than 23 pages, excluding appendices, cover sheets, decorative borders, and acknowledgments of pets. 2. The document must be typed exclusively in Times New Roman, 12-point font, with exactly 1.15 line spacing. Any use of Calibri, Arial, Comic Sans, Papyrus, Wingdings, or substantially similar fonts shall render the agreement null and void for market purposes. 3. All signatures must be handwritten in cursive. Printed names, block lettering, electronic signatures, typed signatures, signature stamps, initials, marks, X's, fingerprints, retina scans, blood oaths, or blockchain-based attestations shall not qualify. 4. Signatures must be executed using blue ink. Black ink shall only be permissible for witnesses. Red ink, green ink, glitter ink, invisible ink, fountain pen calligraphy ink, or crayons shall invalidate the agreement. 5. The blue ink must originate from a ballpoint pen with a tip diameter between 0.5mm and 0.8mm. Gel pens, felt-tip pens, quill pens, and novelty pens depicting cartoon characters are prohibited. 6. Each page of the agreement must be initialed in the lower-right corner by all signatories. Initials must be at least 6mm high and no more than 12mm high. 7. The agreement must contain a table of contents, an executive summary, a glossary of terms, and a section entitled "Miscellaneous Provisions and Other Assorted Matters."

A bulletin board rules update has been posted to the market: "US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?" For the avoidance of doubt, no announcement, statement, agreement, framework, memorandum, understanding, communiqué, declaration, handshake, wink, nod, thumbs-up, verbal assurance, social media post, carrier pigeon message, smoke signal, or interpretive dance shall qualify unless all of the following conditions are satisfied: 1. The extension agreement must be memorialized in a written document consisting of no fewer than 17 pages and no more than 23 pages, excluding appendices, cover sheets, decorative borders, and acknowledgments of pets. 2. The document must be typed exclusively in Times New Roman, 12-point font, with exactly 1.15 line spacing. Any use of Calibri, Arial, Comic Sans, Papyrus, Wingdings, or substantially similar fonts shall render the agreement null and void for market purposes. 3. All signatures must be handwritten in cursive. Printed names, block lettering, electronic signatures, typed signatures, signature stamps, initials, marks, X's, fingerprints, retina scans, blood oaths, or blockchain-based attestations shall not qualify. 4. Signatures must be executed using blue ink. Black ink shall only be permissible for witnesses. Red ink, green ink, glitter ink, invisible ink, fountain pen calligraphy ink, or crayons shall invalidate the agreement. 5. The blue ink must originate from a ballpoint pen with a tip diameter between 0.5mm and 0.8mm. Gel pens, felt-tip pens, quill pens, and novelty pens depicting cartoon characters are prohibited. 6. Each page of the agreement must be initialed in the lower-right corner by all signatories. Initials must be at least 6mm high and no more than 12mm high. 7. The agreement must contain a table of contents, an executive summary, a glossary of terms, and a section entitled "Miscellaneous Provisions and Other Assorted Matters."

bust0 2026-06-13 19:08:37

` Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced on Saturday that the United States and Iran have finalized a framework for a peace deal to conclude the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. - The agreement follows months of hostilities, with the final text of the accord reportedly reached between the two nations. - Prime Minister Sharif stated that Pakistan is preparing for an electronic signing ceremony to take place within the next 24 hours. - Following the signing, technical-level discussions between the parties are scheduled to commence next week.`

` Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announced on Saturday that the United States and Iran have finalized a framework for a peace deal to conclude the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. - The agreement follows months of hostilities, with the final text of the accord reportedly reached between the two nations. - Prime Minister Sharif stated that Pakistan is preparing for an electronic signing ceremony to take place within the next 24 hours. - Following the signing, technical-level discussions between the parties are scheduled to commence next week.`

bust0 2026-06-13 19:09:04

this will solve perm peace too ''the United States and Iran have finalized a framework for a peace deal to conclude the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.''

this will solve perm peace too ''the United States and Iran have finalized a framework for a peace deal to conclude the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.''

bust0 2026-06-13 19:43:25

jokes aside, if this gets confirmed by trump this weekend June12 needs to be truly reconsidered since it would just be the confirmation for trump's june 11 statement.

jokes aside, if this gets confirmed by trump this weekend June12 needs to be truly reconsidered since it would just be the confirmation for trump's june 11 statement.

nefor 2026-06-13 19:45:30

https://www.wsj.com/finance/polymarket-prediction-market-clarifications-75c0a6f9

https://www.wsj.com/finance/polymarket-prediction-market-clarifications-75c0a6f9