秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

美国-伊朗和平协议市场因黎巴嫩条款产生决议分歧

2026-06-16 · Polymarket · 1634 条相关讨论

cylex 2026-06-15 23:14:17

No holders who don't believe Iran signed it, please listen to the interview. Vance says we digitally signed it [and xyz hasnt happened], in response to a question on whether the deal includes XYZ, as a rebuttal. so Iran is clearly part of the "We".

No holders who don't believe Iran signed it, please listen to the interview. Vance says we digitally signed it [and xyz hasnt happened], in response to a question on whether the deal includes XYZ, as a rebuttal. so Iran is clearly part of the "We".

Lolakis 2026-06-15 23:14:24

if you can actually understand the context of his answer he implies iran signedit

if you can actually understand the context of his answer he implies iran signedit

MisTKy 2026-06-15 23:14:26

what market ?

what market ?

username3 2026-06-15 23:14:34

You posted the link sir

You posted the link sir

z 2026-06-15 23:14:34

stop trying to cuck

stop trying to cuck

I Am Batman 2026-06-15 23:14:40

<:wow:1480174271589384212> did you make it out of dalitville

<:wow:1480174271589384212> did you make it out of dalitville

z 2026-06-15 23:14:48

clear p2

clear p2

GOD 2026-06-15 23:14:53

only vance has said it

only vance has said it

Car 2026-06-15 23:15:05

wow congrats. how many shekels did you make?

wow congrats. how many shekels did you make?

nefor 2026-06-15 23:15:38

Not much. I was looking for signature yesterday since trump mentioned it but didn’t find anything

Not much. I was looking for signature yesterday since trump mentioned it but didn’t find anything

Alex 2026-06-16 05:47:01

How about that iran market...

How about that iran market...

ydak 2026-06-16 06:43:58

Every single and all arguments that are existing for Yes on Iran x Us Peacedeal says include Lebanon this is so weird

Every single and all arguments that are existing for Yes on Iran x Us Peacedeal says include Lebanon this is so weird

ydak 2026-06-16 06:44:27

its truly weird how the hezbollah x israel peace deal is just like the Us x iran how did Dofu and Lorry Manipulate it to No

its truly weird how the hezbollah x israel peace deal is just like the Us x iran how did Dofu and Lorry Manipulate it to No

ydak 2026-06-16 06:44:44

will there ever be a clarification ?

will there ever be a clarification ?

ménade cyberse 2026-06-16 07:26:25

the us iran deal doesnt cover

the us iran deal doesnt cover

ydak 2026-06-16 07:29:58

Hezbollah announced it. ● Pakistan — the lead mediator — announced it. ● Iran’s Supreme National Security Council announced it. ● Iran’s Foreign Minister announced it. ● Reuters, AP, New York Times, and Washington Post all reported that the agreement includes Lebanon. ● Trump even reposted an article on Truth Social saying the agreement includes Lebanon. ● Israeli officials aren’t saying “there is no Lebanon clause.” They’re arguing they won’t withdraw or won’t be bound by it.

Hezbollah announced it. ● Pakistan — the lead mediator — announced it. ● Iran’s Supreme National Security Council announced it. ● Iran’s Foreign Minister announced it. ● Reuters, AP, New York Times, and Washington Post all reported that the agreement includes Lebanon. ● Trump even reposted an article on Truth Social saying the agreement includes Lebanon. ● Israeli officials aren’t saying “there is no Lebanon clause.” They’re arguing they won’t withdraw or won’t be bound by it.

SadMax1 2026-06-16 13:38:22

Someone propose https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-15-2026 No agreement from Israel, https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/2026-06-16/live-updates-899529

Someone propose https://polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by/israel-x-hezbollah-permanent-peace-deal-by-june-15-2026 No agreement from Israel, https://www.jpost.com/middle-east/iran-news/2026-06-16/live-updates-899529

Perry Walker 2026-06-16 17:18:34

-Market Title Will the disputed resolution of “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15?” be overturned? -Outcomes Yes / No -Market Description This market concerns the disputed resolution of the Polymarket market “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15?” from the event “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?” The underlying market asks whether Iran and the United States agreed to a permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market is currently in the dispute process. This proposed market asks whether the dispute will ultimately result in the initial or contested resolution being overturned. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final official resolution of the June 15 market is different from the proposed or contested resolution that caused the market to enter dispute. This market will resolve to “No” if the final official resolution of the June 15 market remains the same as the proposed or contested resolution, or if the dispute is rejected and the market settles according to that original proposed outcome. For clarity, this market is not asking whether a U.S.-Iran peace deal occurred. It is only asking whether the dispute process changes the final resolution of the existing June 15 Polymarket market. If the final result is an “Unknown,” “50/50,” invalid, or equivalent non-binary settlement, this market will resolve to “Yes” only if that settlement differs from the proposed or contested resolution that triggered the dispute. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” -Resolution source The official Polymarket market page for “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15?” and the final UMA Oracle / Polymarket resolution for that specific market.

-Market Title Will the disputed resolution of “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15?” be overturned? -Outcomes Yes / No -Market Description This market concerns the disputed resolution of the Polymarket market “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15?” from the event “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?” The underlying market asks whether Iran and the United States agreed to a permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The market is currently in the dispute process. This proposed market asks whether the dispute will ultimately result in the initial or contested resolution being overturned. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to “Yes” if the final official resolution of the June 15 market is different from the proposed or contested resolution that caused the market to enter dispute. This market will resolve to “No” if the final official resolution of the June 15 market remains the same as the proposed or contested resolution, or if the dispute is rejected and the market settles according to that original proposed outcome. For clarity, this market is not asking whether a U.S.-Iran peace deal occurred. It is only asking whether the dispute process changes the final resolution of the existing June 15 Polymarket market. If the final result is an “Unknown,” “50/50,” invalid, or equivalent non-binary settlement, this market will resolve to “Yes” only if that settlement differs from the proposed or contested resolution that triggered the dispute. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” -Resolution source The official Polymarket market page for “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15?” and the final UMA Oracle / Polymarket resolution for that specific market.

Donald4 2026-06-16 19:47:13

Hi everyone, I need some help regarding the market "US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?". A proposal was submitted with an incorrect outcome, and it seems nobody disputed it within the 2-hour window. Since this is a massive market, this looks like a clear late-night manipulation attempt. Can a mod look into this, or is there an active dispute ongoing that isn't showing up correctly on the UI? Thank you!

Hi everyone, I need some help regarding the market "US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?". A proposal was submitted with an incorrect outcome, and it seems nobody disputed it within the 2-hour window. Since this is a massive market, this looks like a clear late-night manipulation attempt. Can a mod look into this, or is there an active dispute ongoing that isn't showing up correctly on the UI? Thank you!

Donald4 2026-06-16 19:59:23

Hi everyone, I need some help regarding the market "US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?". A proposal was submitted with an incorrect outcome, and it seems nobody disputed it within the 2-hour window. Since this is a massive market, this looks like a clear late-night manipulation attempt. Can a mod look into this, or is there an active dispute ongoing that isn't showing up correctly on the UI? Thank you!

Hi everyone, I need some help regarding the market "US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?". A proposal was submitted with an incorrect outcome, and it seems nobody disputed it within the 2-hour window. Since this is a massive market, this looks like a clear late-night manipulation attempt. Can a mod look into this, or is there an active dispute ongoing that isn't showing up correctly on the UI? Thank you!