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天气市场每日高/低温取值规则争议

2026-06-20 · Polymarket · 14 条相关讨论

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-06-19 21:37:56

Hi, I have a question about the ongoing Dallas market. wunderground shows a high of 84°F so far, but it's missing data from 00:00 to 00:53 on 6/19. weather.gov, which uses the same METAR data, recorded 86°F during that missing window...So by their data, Dallas's high for 6/19 is currently 86°F. With flash flooding in Dallas rn, temps probably won't climb higher tonight. So will Polymarket settle the 6/19 high at 84°F, or could it end up at 86°F?

Hi, I have a question about the ongoing Dallas market. wunderground shows a high of 84°F so far, but it's missing data from 00:00 to 00:53 on 6/19. weather.gov, which uses the same METAR data, recorded 86°F during that missing window...So by their data, Dallas's high for 6/19 is currently 86°F. With flash flooding in Dallas rn, temps probably won't climb higher tonight. So will Polymarket settle the 6/19 high at 84°F, or could it end up at 86°F?

Hans 2026-06-19 21:39:14

only METAR and SPECI are on WU, 5min observations arent

only METAR and SPECI are on WU, 5min observations arent

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-06-19 21:45:58

So WU basically skips that first 53-minute window at the start of each day. Applied to Dallas, that means the 86°F at 00:00 gets ignored, and the 84°F at 00:53 stands as the high...is it correct?

So WU basically skips that first 53-minute window at the start of each day. Applied to Dallas, that means the 86°F at 00:00 gets ignored, and the 84°F at 00:53 stands as the high...is it correct?

Hans 2026-06-19 21:46:41

every hour 59min are being skipped, US cities only have METAR once every hour

every hour 59min are being skipped, US cities only have METAR once every hour

Hans 2026-06-19 21:48:13

so as of now the highest reading is 84F

so as of now the highest reading is 84F

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-06-19 21:49:56

:59 mark of every hour gets skipped, but it seems odd that the 00:00 reading would be dropped. If only the :59 marks are skipped, shouldn't both the 00:00 and 01:00 readings count?

:59 mark of every hour gets skipped, but it seems odd that the 00:00 reading would be dropped. If only the :59 marks are skipped, shouldn't both the 00:00 and 01:00 readings count?

𐩲𐩨𐩪 𐩮𐩵𐩤𐩺 2026-06-20 05:37:00

Technically readings begin at 47:20 past the hour and are finalised at 53:20 (US specific also sometimes 54,55,56…) after the hour.

Technically readings begin at 47:20 past the hour and are finalised at 53:20 (US specific also sometimes 54,55,56…) after the hour.

Yura 2026-06-20 13:23:55

The last temperature update for the day in New York was at 11:51 PM, and the next one is already at 12:51 AM the following day. Which reading does Polymarket count as the lowest temperature for the day? This isn’t specified in the rules. sorry for tag <:coachlook:944658505032400896> <@1402701322775695391> <@880242004720771104> <@1371499857310912544>

The last temperature update for the day in New York was at 11:51 PM, and the next one is already at 12:51 AM the following day. Which reading does Polymarket count as the lowest temperature for the day? This isn’t specified in the rules. sorry for tag <:coachlook:944658505032400896> <@1402701322775695391> <@880242004720771104> <@1371499857310912544>

Modali 2026-06-20 13:55:37

You just answered yourself😆

You just answered yourself😆

Modali 2026-06-20 13:55:43

“Following day”

“Following day”

Modali 2026-06-20 13:56:02

It does count the last reading which is at 11.51 PM usually

It does count the last reading which is at 11.51 PM usually

Modali 2026-06-20 13:57:11

You must be puzzled because it did reach 71F at 06.51AM. That’s why it’s 71F

You must be puzzled because it did reach 71F at 06.51AM. That’s why it’s 71F

Yura 2026-06-20 16:27:28

I decided to clarify this because at midnight, for 70–71°F they were giving 98%.

I decided to clarify this because at midnight, for 70–71°F they were giving 98%.