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红海商船通行量市场数据源争议

2026-06-23 · Polymarket · 36 条相关讨论

Thonker 2026-06-23 17:15:45

https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20260612142708286/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-june-22-20260612142709366?r=fantods

https://polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20260612142708286/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-june-22-20260612142709366?r=fantods

Thonker 2026-06-23 17:15:53

Does anyone wanna look for any little file upload and flip ts

Does anyone wanna look for any little file upload and flip ts

Thonker 2026-06-23 17:16:25

Risk Lab bot's extended it for 3 additional hours now; it must know something!

Risk Lab bot's extended it for 3 additional hours now; it must know something!

NickTheChopper 2026-06-23 17:24:15

when does portwatch realase data

when does portwatch realase data

yum 2026-06-23 18:08:47

portwatch massively undercounts compared to other sources. AIG only, commercial only (discounts plenty here). look at last week, everyone was betting on 25-49, I won with 0-25 . My estimate was 22, Portwatch showed 18

portwatch massively undercounts compared to other sources. AIG only, commercial only (discounts plenty here). look at last week, everyone was betting on 25-49, I won with 0-25 . My estimate was 22, Portwatch showed 18

Ser Yair 2026-06-23 18:09:39

when does port watch data come out?

when does port watch data come out?

yum 2026-06-23 18:09:53

today 10 AM ET

today 10 AM ET

JosephIsGreat 2026-06-23 18:11:43

before the mou , all ships were turning off transporters

before the mou , all ships were turning off transporters

Lolakis 2026-06-23 18:12:55

king of fish

king of fish

yum 2026-06-23 18:13:20

yeah but I keep a sheet and daily track there are always ships with AIG off, even pre crisis era, just a smaller percentage. first 3 days still had high % of AIG off (still crisis). Then went down Thursday Friday. Then Iran got angry again, Saturday Sunday were high % of AIG off again

yeah but I keep a sheet and daily track there are always ships with AIG off, even pre crisis era, just a smaller percentage. first 3 days still had high % of AIG off (still crisis). Then went down Thursday Friday. Then Iran got angry again, Saturday Sunday were high % of AIG off again

JosephIsGreat 2026-06-23 18:14:06

you can never predict portwatch that's the only fact here

you can never predict portwatch that's the only fact here

yum 2026-06-23 18:14:15

true

true

JosephIsGreat 2026-06-23 18:14:35

but other sources mentioned 71 ships only between 19-21 june

but other sources mentioned 71 ships only between 19-21 june

JosephIsGreat 2026-06-23 18:14:46

it'll be crazy if it's lower than 75 counted

it'll be crazy if it's lower than 75 counted

competetor 2026-06-23 18:14:52

even with the most bullish CENTCOM version its still not enough broski

even with the most bullish CENTCOM version its still not enough broski

competetor 2026-06-23 18:15:52

unless they work out a miracle in the last week its over

unless they work out a miracle in the last week its over

yum 2026-06-23 18:16:02

i keep track of a couple, I've been able to win the last 3 weeks within 5 ships count... that 71 isn't that clear, you have to discount anything that isn't commercial, that's usually how people assume too high

i keep track of a couple, I've been able to win the last 3 weeks within 5 ships count... that 71 isn't that clear, you have to discount anything that isn't commercial, that's usually how people assume too high

oink 2026-06-23 18:16:06

what he do

what he do