Did they ever clarif israel lebanon lmao
Did they ever clarif israel lebanon lmao
2026-06-28 · Polymarket · 17 条相关讨论
Did they ever clarif israel lebanon lmao
Did they ever clarif israel lebanon lmao
bel sleepin like <@744559907944005634>
bel sleepin like <@744559907944005634>
or recognize
or recognize
they havent its still in archive purgatory
they havent its still in archive purgatory
what scam did yall possibly come up with to run on recognize
what scam did yall possibly come up with to run on recognize
https://tenor.com/view/cat-gif-14318776788849531473
https://tenor.com/view/cat-gif-14318776788849531473
its actually going Y
its actually going Y
fuhhhhhh
fuhhhhhh
This clause shouldn't count. The market requires "a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel" and explicitly says "an announcement of intentions will not suffice." The Trilateral Framework is exactly that, an announcement of intentions. Its own text calls it an "initial step," declares an "ambition to end conflict" and "establish peaceful neighborly relations" through "future agreements," and commits the parties only to "establish working groups to draft the full comprehensive peace and security agreement." The word "establish" concedes that relations don't yet exist. Affirming each state's "right to exist in peace" is not the same legal act as recognition: recognition is a discrete unilateral act acknowledging statehood, and for an implied recognition to count, the intent has to be unambiguous. A document that frames itself as a preliminary roadmap to future negotiations is the opposite of unambiguous. Concretely, Lebanon and Israel still have no diplomatic relations, no exchange of ambassadors, and Lebanon appears on no list of states recognizing Israel. Compare the actual bar: Egypt (1979), Jordan (1994), and the Abraham Accords (2020) were recognition and normalization instruments that established diplomatic relations outright. This framework only promises to negotiate toward one. P4
This clause shouldn't count. The market requires "a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel" and explicitly says "an announcement of intentions will not suffice." The Trilateral Framework is exactly that, an announcement of intentions. Its own text calls it an "initial step," declares an "ambition to end conflict" and "establish peaceful neighborly relations" through "future agreements," and commits the parties only to "establish working groups to draft the full comprehensive peace and security agreement." The word "establish" concedes that relations don't yet exist. Affirming each state's "right to exist in peace" is not the same legal act as recognition: recognition is a discrete unilateral act acknowledging statehood, and for an implied recognition to count, the intent has to be unambiguous. A document that frames itself as a preliminary roadmap to future negotiations is the opposite of unambiguous. Concretely, Lebanon and Israel still have no diplomatic relations, no exchange of ambassadors, and Lebanon appears on no list of states recognizing Israel. Compare the actual bar: Egypt (1979), Jordan (1994), and the Abraham Accords (2020) were recognition and normalization instruments that established diplomatic relations outright. This framework only promises to negotiate toward one. P4
No outlet reported this as recognition. CNN, Axios, Al Jazeera, Arab News, and Times of Israel all describe it as a "first step" or "framework" toward a "future" or "eventual" peace deal. CNN notes outright that the two countries "have never had diplomatic relations," and nothing in the coverage says that changed. The market's backstop standard is "a consensus of credible reporting," and the consensus is unanimous that this is a preliminary framework, not recognition. Sources: [CNN](https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/26/middleeast/israel-and-lebanon-sign-framework-agreement-latam-intl): [Axios](https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/israel-lebanon-framework-agreement-hezbollah): [Al Jazeera (what the agreement is): ](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/26/what-is-the-framework-agreement-signed-by-israel-and-lebanon) [Arab News: ](https://www.arabnews.com/node/2648702/middle-east) [Times of Israel (full text):](https://www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-of-israel-lebanon-framework-deal-that-includes-slight-idf-pullback/)
No outlet reported this as recognition. CNN, Axios, Al Jazeera, Arab News, and Times of Israel all describe it as a "first step" or "framework" toward a "future" or "eventual" peace deal. CNN notes outright that the two countries "have never had diplomatic relations," and nothing in the coverage says that changed. The market's backstop standard is "a consensus of credible reporting," and the consensus is unanimous that this is a preliminary framework, not recognition. Sources: [CNN](https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/26/middleeast/israel-and-lebanon-sign-framework-agreement-latam-intl): [Axios](https://www.axios.com/2026/06/26/israel-lebanon-framework-agreement-hezbollah): [Al Jazeera (what the agreement is): ](https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/26/what-is-the-framework-agreement-signed-by-israel-and-lebanon) [Arab News: ](https://www.arabnews.com/node/2648702/middle-east) [Times of Israel (full text):](https://www.timesofisrael.com/full-text-of-israel-lebanon-framework-deal-that-includes-slight-idf-pullback/)
vro anal we have bigger issues now with UFC
vro anal we have bigger issues now with UFC
hopefully we get a clarif on recognize
hopefully we get a clarif on recognize
this is old news
this is old news
P4 also imo
P4 also imo
I bought little no, I think thonker has a valid point per precedent
I bought little no, I think thonker has a valid point per precedent
It would be a crazy scam against 80years of history if P2 passes
It would be a crazy scam against 80years of history if P2 passes
i think it will be an easy p2 but im too lazy to talk about it
i think it will be an easy p2 but im too lazy to talk about it