PolymarketTiming is the only issue here
Timing is the only issue here
Analista.参与话题 9消息总数 501
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共 501 条，显示第 1-50 条I was planning to do so but I think it's not doable due to the whitelist stuff no?
I was planning to do so but I think it's not doable due to the whitelist stuff no?
> **__The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. __** > > Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: > > i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or > > ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. > > If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the **__totality of information available__** **__from the resolution sources at that time__**. **__No single statement__**, denial, or presentation of evidence **__will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.__** > totality of information is: Behrain gov talks about interception on July 9 Kuwait gov stateted the same, even more clearly. The single statement: US officials confirming to WSJ that some targets hit the base without clear time reference on whether this happened during the first (july 8) or second wave of attacks. I really can't understand where the yes argoument is.
> **__The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. __** > > Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: > > i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or > > ii) 3 full calendar days (AST) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. > > If, at the end of the third calendar day, conflicting reports remain as to the occurrence, attribution, or timing of the action, this market will resolve based on the **__totality of information available__** **__from the resolution sources at that time__**. **__No single statement__**, denial, or presentation of evidence **__will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.__** > totality of information is: Behrain gov talks about interception on July 9 Kuwait gov stateted the same, even more clearly. The single statement: US officials confirming to WSJ that some targets hit the base without clear time reference on whether this happened during the first (july 8) or second wave of attacks. I really can't understand where the yes argoument is.
Sonix would have mogged you 6 months ago
Sonix would have mogged you 6 months ago
I can't believe you are trying to push a yes resolution for a strike market without any clear time referenced confirmation of an impact
I can't believe you are trying to push a yes resolution for a strike market without any clear time referenced confirmation of an impact
Which they did not
Which they did not
WSJ could only work if either Behrain or kuwait govs corroborated by saying that impact have happened.
WSJ could only work if either Behrain or kuwait govs corroborated by saying that impact have happened.
US official do not claim any specific base either so wtf are you talking about
US official do not claim any specific base either so wtf are you talking about
can you shut up if not providing anything valuable to the actual conversation we'r having?
can you shut up if not providing anything valuable to the actual conversation we'r having?
ISW reports as all interception citing Bahrain and Kuwait gov's statements. (july 9) If anything the impact most likely happened the day before, july 8th, where they only condemdned the attack and did not talk of interception at all
ISW reports as all interception citing Bahrain and Kuwait gov's statements. (july 9) If anything the impact most likely happened the day before, july 8th, where they only condemdned the attack and did not talk of interception at all
The General Command clarifies that, with firm resolve and high combat readiness, the Bahrain Defense Force's air defense systems confronted, intercepted, and destroyed several treacherous Iranian aerial attacks this morning, Thursday, July 9, 2026 CE.
The General Command clarifies that, with firm resolve and high combat readiness, the Bahrain Defense Force's air defense systems confronted, intercepted, and destroyed several treacherous Iranian aerial attacks this morning, Thursday, July 9, 2026 CE.
I can't see it tough
I can't see it tough
evidence will work
evidence will work
bet on your beliefs
bet on your beliefs
This is the yes side people
This is the yes side people
Can't wait to see a night time video of a strike and people claiming that it must be july 9
Can't wait to see a night time video of a strike and people claiming that it must be july 9
I beg you
I beg you
can you send the most valuable piece of evidence you saw please
can you send the most valuable piece of evidence you saw please
Well they surely do not claim hits explicitly, which is what we need
Well they surely do not claim hits explicitly, which is what we need
maybe because there is no evidence of impact on the 9th?
maybe because there is no evidence of impact on the 9th?
are yall retarted
are yall retarted
why everybody is ignoring timing on a daily strike market wtf
why everybody is ignoring timing on a daily strike market wtf
From when
From when
The fact that you can't even tell it's hilarious
The fact that you can't even tell it's hilarious
Just provide the evidence, I'm not seeing it yet
Just provide the evidence, I'm not seeing it yet
With evidence? yes.
With evidence? yes.
cool, with time stamps of impact? I'm not denying that targets have been struck. I'm arguing we can't tell when did it happen
cool, with time stamps of impact? I'm not denying that targets have been struck. I'm arguing we can't tell when did it happen
Crazy that I got the chance to get back in this at 50c
Crazy that I got the chance to get back in this at 50c
Should I improve my english? yeah. Are you wasting thousands without even knowing Bahrain was target multiple times on July 8 and 9? yeah. Will you learn that we need undeniable evidence of impact during the qualifying time window? most likely
Should I improve my english? yeah. Are you wasting thousands without even knowing Bahrain was target multiple times on July 8 and 9? yeah. Will you learn that we need undeniable evidence of impact during the qualifying time window? most likely
That's about jordan, a non GCC country
That's about jordan, a non GCC country
This is irrelevant
This is irrelevant
So you have no idea of what you are doing
So you have no idea of what you are doing
LMAAAAAOOO
LMAAAAAOOO
Sure, can you quote the part where you comprehend impact happened on july 9 AST
Sure, can you quote the part where you comprehend impact happened on july 9 AST
cool but not the "lets resolve on lacking proof" era
cool but not the "lets resolve on lacking proof" era
are you really throwing thousands at this with this argoument?
are you really throwing thousands at this with this argoument?
I think that the fact we haven't had strike market for while made you forgot how this works
I think that the fact we haven't had strike market for while made you forgot how this works
Despite this, there is no time reference to when the impact happened. Thus making it impossible to say if it happened on july 9 AST
Despite this, there is no time reference to when the impact happened. Thus making it impossible to say if it happened on july 9 AST
Literally the only confirmation from impact comes from US official, rightfully since foreign gov will not disclose impact on US bases
Literally the only confirmation from impact comes from US official, rightfully since foreign gov will not disclose impact on US bases
12? no reason to dispute 12th
12? no reason to dispute 12th
Yeah most likely
Yeah most likely
Poly will not propose markets
Poly will not propose markets
If you own the evidence you can share it here and market will shoot up to 95c and maybe proposed, but that's do not seem to be the case
If you own the evidence you can share it here and market will shoot up to 95c and maybe proposed, but that's do not seem to be the case
I don't care who when this will be proposed. Resolution dynamics do not change nothing regarding the fact that there is no clear evidence
I don't care who when this will be proposed. Resolution dynamics do not change nothing regarding the fact that there is no clear evidence
CRAZY
CRAZY
WOW
WOW
Are you a parrot? why do you keep repeating the same bullshit over and over? it would explain the profile pic nonetheless
Are you a parrot? why do you keep repeating the same bullshit over and over? it would explain the profile pic nonetheless
GOV sources only talks of intereception for july 9, while they just condemn the attacks on july 8. No clear time reference from the only source confirming the strike (us official to WSJ). Easy no
GOV sources only talks of intereception for july 9, while they just condemn the attacks on july 8. No clear time reference from the only source confirming the strike (us official to WSJ). Easy no
Retarted behaviour
Retarted behaviour
How am I the scammer here 😭
How am I the scammer here 😭
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