秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

温度市场数据源差异引结算争议

2026-07-03 · Polymarket · 11 条相关讨论

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-07-03 07:47:27

Both weather.gov and Wunderground pull their temps from METAR data. weather.gov shows it hit 96.8°F on July 2 at 5:20 PM, but Wunderground is still showing 95°F as the high for the day, and Polymarket's got the 94–95°F range at 99% too. Anyone have any idea what's going on here? Would love to hear an explanation if you do!

Both weather.gov and Wunderground pull their temps from METAR data. weather.gov shows it hit 96.8°F on July 2 at 5:20 PM, but Wunderground is still showing 95°F as the high for the day, and Polymarket's got the 94–95°F range at 99% too. Anyone have any idea what's going on here? Would love to hear an explanation if you do!

The Dude 2026-07-03 08:52:44

whats the source of your "metar" graph?

whats the source of your "metar" graph?

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-07-03 08:53:05

weather.gov <---is the official website of the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) and they relies heavily on METAR data

weather.gov <---is the official website of the U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) and they relies heavily on METAR data

The Dude 2026-07-03 08:56:50

https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KDAL.html i see 95 max?

https://forecast.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KDAL.html i see 95 max?

The Dude 2026-07-03 08:57:17

https://aviationweather.gov/data/metar/?ids=KDAL&hours=24&tabular=1 and here as well

https://aviationweather.gov/data/metar/?ids=KDAL&hours=24&tabular=1 and here as well

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-07-03 08:57:24

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KDAL&hours=72&units=english_k&chart=on&headers=on&obs=tabular&hourly=false&pview=standard

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=KDAL&hours=72&units=english_k&chart=on&headers=on&obs=tabular&hourly=false&pview=standard

Open24hrs (🔜 𝝣2Ⅴ1🚀) 2026-07-03 08:59:12

this page still shows the temp hitted 97°C at 5:20 pm

this page still shows the temp hitted 97°C at 5:20 pm

The Dude 2026-07-03 08:59:31

idk what these points inbetween are

idk what these points inbetween are

The Dude 2026-07-03 08:59:38

looks like it's once per hour usually

looks like it's once per hour usually

Jace 2026-07-03 15:31:17

it's not like kalshi, WU only records the high temp on an hourly basis, the one that was recorded was @ 5:53-95, all the temps between 4:55-5:50 are left out

it's not like kalshi, WU only records the high temp on an hourly basis, the one that was recorded was @ 5:53-95, all the temps between 4:55-5:50 are left out