秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

预测市场操纵可能性讨论(聚焦加密货币合约)

2026-07-03 · Kalshi · 5 条相关讨论

betaclone 2026-07-03 03:40:15

The rate this has been happening the past few weeks you'd almost think it was being manipulated if that wouldn't take billions of dollars to make pennies on prediction markets

The rate this has been happening the past few weeks you'd almost think it was being manipulated if that wouldn't take billions of dollars to make pennies on prediction markets

betaclone 2026-07-03 03:45:39

"Manipulation is largely absent in the fifteen-minute contracts: lengthening the contract horizon removes it, providing the market-design remedy our model and evidence support."

"Manipulation is largely absent in the fifteen-minute contracts: lengthening the contract horizon removes it, providing the market-design remedy our model and evidence support."

betaclone 2026-07-03 03:45:56

It just wouldn't be viable to do it with BTC or ETH

It just wouldn't be viable to do it with BTC or ETH

betaclone 2026-07-03 03:46:36

I'd be more concerned about Kalshi tweaking the resolution price but that would be incredibly risky for them especially now that CFB price feeds are available

I'd be more concerned about Kalshi tweaking the resolution price but that would be incredibly risky for them especially now that CFB price feeds are available

betaclone 2026-07-03 03:48:02

If you have the capital to move the BTC or ETH markets you aren't messing with individual prediction market levels of liquidity

If you have the capital to move the BTC or ETH markets you aren't messing with individual prediction market levels of liquidity