what is going on here?
what is going on here?
2026-07-07 · Kalshi · 27 条相关讨论
what is going on here?
what is going on here?
arb
arb
rule diff prob
rule diff prob
idt that much arb would be free
idt that much arb would be free
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Graham Platner withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Maine Senate election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Graham Platner or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Polymarket
no it’s just arb
no it’s just arb
do you want me to fix it for you
do you want me to fix it for you
Resolves Yes if Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026. Outcome verified from Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, ABC, CBS, The New York Times, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, the Associated Press, and Politico. "Dropped out" means the candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign, files official withdrawal paperwork, publicly states they are no longer seeking the office, or endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running. Suspending a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain in the race. Losing a primary or election, failing to qualify for debates or ballots, or being eliminated through the normal election process does not constitute dropping out. Once someone drops out, the market resolves Yes even if they later re-enter the race. Kalshi
Resolves Yes if Graham Platner drops out of the 2026 United States Senate election in Maine before Jul 8, 2026. Outcome verified from Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, ABC, CBS, The New York Times, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Reuters, the Associated Press, and Politico. "Dropped out" means the candidate announces they are ending, suspending, or withdrawing from their campaign, files official withdrawal paperwork, publicly states they are no longer seeking the office, or endorses another candidate while stating they are no longer running. Suspending a campaign is treated as dropping out unless the candidate explicitly states they remain in the race. Losing a primary or election, failing to qualify for debates or ballots, or being eliminated through the normal election process does not constitute dropping out. Once someone drops out, the market resolves Yes even if they later re-enter the race. Kalshi
10k traded on poly can help u make some assumptions
10k traded on poly can help u make some assumptions
W truth seeker
W truth seeker
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcmention/world-cup-mentions/KXWCMENTION-26JUL06USABEL?utm_source=kalshiapp_eventpage&referral=adbcf481-d113-4686-afe7-c7c5f9ac50e1
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwcmention/world-cup-mentions/KXWCMENTION-26JUL06USABEL?utm_source=kalshiapp_eventpage&referral=adbcf481-d113-4686-afe7-c7c5f9ac50e1
Proof
Proof
Now change to a win please
Now change to a win please
oh that market is pure arb
oh that market is pure arb
wtf
wtf
Theres institutional accounts for data access only but im not sure if thats the intent idk
Theres institutional accounts for data access only but im not sure if thats the intent idk
and since the book is so thin it hasnt fully recovered from one guy dumping on No
and since the book is so thin it hasnt fully recovered from one guy dumping on No
<@626645666403188741> 6 sharpe... you should get in contact with this fellow quant
<@626645666403188741> 6 sharpe... you should get in contact with this fellow quant
u shouldve taken
u shouldve taken
sorry
sorry
i just thought 12c arb was ridic
i just thought 12c arb was ridic
im already in lmfao
im already in lmfao
i mean depo more
i mean depo more
im the biggest holder
im the biggest holder
w dono
w dono
😂 i hedged it on kalshi
😂 i hedged it on kalshi
from that trade
from that trade