秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Graham Platner丑闻发酵引发退选猜测与缅因州参议员继任者讨论

2026-07-07 · Kalshi · 158 条相关讨论

not ess pea 2026-07-07 02:57:06

https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2074205416956023035?s=46 Wedgewood has spoken

https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2074205416956023035?s=46 Wedgewood has spoken

polar 2026-07-07 03:18:17

maybe a weekly market, how many platner scandals will be released this week

maybe a weekly market, how many platner scandals will be released this week

nonsenseking 2026-07-07 03:18:47

how many bluechecks will claim to know what the scandal is

how many bluechecks will claim to know what the scandal is

jim 2026-07-07 03:28:55

another democrat scandal. when will it end

another democrat scandal. when will it end

not ess pea 2026-07-07 03:33:51

Spencer Pratt tried to warn us about the demonrats

Spencer Pratt tried to warn us about the demonrats

tooeasy27 2026-07-07 03:42:06

welp hes pretty much gone

welp hes pretty much gone

Vix 2026-07-07 03:42:14

zero centrist would vote collins due to that

zero centrist would vote collins due to that

Greek 2026-07-07 03:42:35

To hold or sell

To hold or sell

tooeasy27 2026-07-07 03:43:02

nobody says 'they are thinking about the best path to move forward' if they have any possible interest in moving forward.

nobody says 'they are thinking about the best path to move forward' if they have any possible interest in moving forward.

IvanGtv 2026-07-07 03:43:24

O yeah this dude is dropping. Out

O yeah this dude is dropping. Out

IvanGtv 2026-07-07 03:44:08

I had her listen to the video and asked “does this sound like a man that is going to continue to run and win an election?”

I had her listen to the video and asked “does this sound like a man that is going to continue to run and win an election?”

IvanGtv 2026-07-07 03:45:15

Saying “we are stepping back and looking for the best path for the party” means what’s the best way for us to win without me💀

Saying “we are stepping back and looking for the best path for the party” means what’s the best way for us to win without me💀

Claude 2026-07-07 04:01:29

if this is coming out now what will the october surprise be lmfao

if this is coming out now what will the october surprise be lmfao

Buffaloafer 2026-07-07 04:02:51

nuclear bomb on the maine senate race

nuclear bomb on the maine senate race

Claude 2026-07-07 04:02:59

if he drops out now what even happens?

if he drops out now what even happens?

i2dt 2026-07-07 04:05:36

Dems have until 13th to put someone new in. Not sure who exactly controls that but it’s not a vote situation

Dems have until 13th to put someone new in. Not sure who exactly controls that but it’s not a vote situation

@bernardbulletin 2026-07-07 04:05:45

perhaps... you can flatten the platner

perhaps... you can flatten the platner

Leif 2026-07-07 04:10:56

they should run a random somali from Lewiston, any r*** allegations will be taken as a given

they should run a random somali from Lewiston, any r*** allegations will be taken as a given

i2dt 2026-07-07 04:17:10

That’s Troy Jackson’s music. Or Joe baldacci. Or Nirav shah.

That’s Troy Jackson’s music. Or Joe baldacci. Or Nirav shah.

Greek 2026-07-07 04:17:28

shah trusters

shah trusters

IvanGtv 2026-07-07 04:23:33

Thank you Graham for being a bad person

Thank you Graham for being a bad person

Jeff 2026-07-07 04:23:43

Extremely funny that Janet Mills is trading at 10c now.

Extremely funny that Janet Mills is trading at 10c now.

Sumsof 2026-07-07 04:31:14

Market on this lawsuit: https://x.com/BurwickLaw/status/2074200534102237288

Market on this lawsuit: https://x.com/BurwickLaw/status/2074200534102237288

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 04:36:38

platner dropout N rebounding 🚀 🔥

platner dropout N rebounding 🚀 🔥

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 04:36:47

#WeStandWithGraham

#WeStandWithGraham

Greek 2026-07-07 05:22:27

its not like this is out of nowhere, this is the same lady who had previously said comments about him, she was just more explicit this time, and per the article, provided receipts of her speaking on it previously to those close to her

its not like this is out of nowhere, this is the same lady who had previously said comments about him, she was just more explicit this time, and per the article, provided receipts of her speaking on it previously to those close to her

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:23:18

Marjorie Taylor Greene tweeted!

Marjorie Taylor Greene tweeted!

andy 2026-07-07 05:24:12

eh, coming out about this one week before the dropout deadline is just way too on the nose for me

eh, coming out about this one week before the dropout deadline is just way too on the nose for me

Greek 2026-07-07 05:24:25

the article says they've been talking for the last two weeks

the article says they've been talking for the last two weeks

Greek 2026-07-07 05:24:30

politico decided when to publish

politico decided when to publish

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:24:54

mills offered them a kickback prob

mills offered them a kickback prob

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:25:21

My candidate would never do something like this

My candidate would never do something like this

Greek 2026-07-07 05:25:30

the reality of the situation is collins has plot armor

the reality of the situation is collins has plot armor

Greek 2026-07-07 05:25:41

its the only reasonable explanation

its the only reasonable explanation

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:25:52

He physically is incapable of assaulting anyone

He physically is incapable of assaulting anyone

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:26:15

Dude is squeaky clean or otherwise they would. They tried to make it a scandal that he’s never been a “doctor” yet claims he is (he got the education and then went into public health advocacy as opposed to working at a hospital)

Dude is squeaky clean or otherwise they would. They tried to make it a scandal that he’s never been a “doctor” yet claims he is (he got the education and then went into public health advocacy as opposed to working at a hospital)

andy 2026-07-07 05:26:18

I'm not saying it definitely didn't happen, just that knowing the incentives, powers, and parties involved, I'm skeptical of just taking this at face value

I'm not saying it definitely didn't happen, just that knowing the incentives, powers, and parties involved, I'm skeptical of just taking this at face value

Claude 2026-07-07 05:26:26

collins would rather this gotten released 2 weeks later

collins would rather this gotten released 2 weeks later

Claude 2026-07-07 05:26:37

this being released now is bad for her

this being released now is bad for her

Greek 2026-07-07 05:26:56

until the committee chooses an even worse candidate

until the committee chooses an even worse candidate

Greek 2026-07-07 05:27:04

kamala style

kamala style

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:27:12

kamala was not worse than joe

kamala was not worse than joe

Claude 2026-07-07 05:27:14

theres no such thing as worth than platner

theres no such thing as worth than platner

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:27:15

you're delulu if u think that

you're delulu if u think that

Claude 2026-07-07 05:27:17

in electability

in electability

Greek 2026-07-07 05:27:33

never said she was, but choosing her at all was a terrible move

never said she was, but choosing her at all was a terrible move

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:27:38

there is but they're not gonna find it

there is but they're not gonna find it

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:28:00

i think keeping biden would've been worse, but maybe there were other options aside from just picking her

i think keeping biden would've been worse, but maybe there were other options aside from just picking her

Claude 2026-07-07 05:28:03

i mean yeah technically there is, they could get a guy on the sex offender registry

i mean yeah technically there is, they could get a guy on the sex offender registry

Claude 2026-07-07 05:28:11

but realistically there's not

but realistically there's not

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:28:13

obviously they screwed up well before that debate tho

obviously they screwed up well before that debate tho

Greek 2026-07-07 05:28:40

yeah it was really weird how there was not a single other living democrat that year other than biden and harris

yeah it was really weird how there was not a single other living democrat that year other than biden and harris

Claude 2026-07-07 05:29:11

it was about the campaign money

it was about the campaign money

Claude 2026-07-07 05:29:14

thats why they picked harris

thats why they picked harris

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:29:29

The Dems had time to do a quick primary. Or at least a convention election type thing. In Maine they have a week to be on the ballot at all, it’s understandable the party just have to do it

The Dems had time to do a quick primary. Or at least a convention election type thing. In Maine they have a week to be on the ballot at all, it’s understandable the party just have to do it

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:29:30

picking any continuity candidate probably wasn't a great idea but i feel like they were mostly doomed after that debate

picking any continuity candidate probably wasn't a great idea but i feel like they were mostly doomed after that debate

Greek 2026-07-07 05:29:57

oh im not under an illusion they have time, im just not gonna hold my breath they pick a good one

oh im not under an illusion they have time, im just not gonna hold my breath they pick a good one

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:30:17

they should just pick mills

they should just pick mills

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:30:41

or do a twitter poll

or do a twitter poll

jim 2026-07-07 05:32:43

there's got to be quite a few slips like that. Even today, people have been buying No at ridiculous prices

there's got to be quite a few slips like that. Even today, people have been buying No at ridiculous prices

Greek 2026-07-07 05:33:35

ive had my shares in the book for a minute now

ive had my shares in the book for a minute now

tooeasy27 2026-07-07 05:33:59

i think this was a lot of Yes holders cashing out.

i think this was a lot of Yes holders cashing out.

tooeasy27 2026-07-07 05:34:05

today atleast

today atleast

tooeasy27 2026-07-07 05:34:13

thats my theory at least

thats my theory at least

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:34:17

tbh "generic dem", which is basicalyl their choices, is better than platner

tbh "generic dem", which is basicalyl their choices, is better than platner

Greek 2026-07-07 05:34:41

ive been fighting the urge to just taker sell

ive been fighting the urge to just taker sell

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:35:12

Markets are overreacting to Troy Jackson

Markets are overreacting to Troy Jackson

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:35:27

The Platner money is all going to waste and the new candidate will have only four months to campaign

The Platner money is all going to waste and the new candidate will have only four months to campaign

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:35:38

Shah and Mills would lose but I think Jackson would win

Shah and Mills would lose but I think Jackson would win

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:35:48

mills already has name rec

mills already has name rec

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:36:09

the problem is collins is a bit annoying to run against

the problem is collins is a bit annoying to run against

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:36:10

Mills is polling even with Collins who overpreforms polling

Mills is polling even with Collins who overpreforms polling

Greek 2026-07-07 05:36:12

so why do you say its overreacting? jackson is leading in that market

so why do you say its overreacting? jackson is leading in that market

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 05:36:19

yeah collins is a bit of an issue

yeah collins is a bit of an issue

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:36:53

We have no reason to believe he is even a candidate or wants to run

We have no reason to believe he is even a candidate or wants to run

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:37:01

Even tho I think he would win

Even tho I think he would win

jim 2026-07-07 05:37:23

voters already rejected Mills

voters already rejected Mills

mark zuckerberg 2026-07-07 05:37:49

this is all so complicated. im going back to betting against america

this is all so complicated. im going back to betting against america

Greek 2026-07-07 05:37:54

the establishment has access to the same polling data we do, that could be biasing the prediction he'll be picked

the establishment has access to the same polling data we do, that could be biasing the prediction he'll be picked

Greek 2026-07-07 05:37:59

obvi they have more

obvi they have more

Greek 2026-07-07 05:38:05

but what I mean is, they can see the same lose cases

but what I mean is, they can see the same lose cases

Greek 2026-07-07 05:38:36

if they're also convinced that x candidate will lose, might as well not pick them

if they're also convinced that x candidate will lose, might as well not pick them

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:38:47

Dems really need a slam dunk candidate here to salvage the next four months since they will start from complete scratch

Dems really need a slam dunk candidate here to salvage the next four months since they will start from complete scratch

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:39:10

Neither did Brian Kemp

Neither did Brian Kemp

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:39:21

People are too quick to assume politicians want jobs

People are too quick to assume politicians want jobs

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:40:23

Gonna be my biggest win ever

Gonna be my biggest win ever

Tatumgoat 2026-07-07 05:40:46

What a month

What a month

mark zuckerberg 2026-07-07 05:41:02

Big day for women believers

Big day for women believers

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:46:08

Shah would be so bad

Shah would be so bad

Greek 2026-07-07 05:46:19

In the Shah we trust

In the Shah we trust

andy 2026-07-07 05:46:44

thats the beauty of it. if platner drops out, whether or not the voters accept Mills is irrelevant. Harris was at the back of the pack when she was running in her primary

thats the beauty of it. if platner drops out, whether or not the voters accept Mills is irrelevant. Harris was at the back of the pack when she was running in her primary

TavistD 2026-07-07 05:49:27

the ro death knell

the ro death knell

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:50:32

why is that (I know very little of these possible replacements)

why is that (I know very little of these possible replacements)

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:51:01

He is a carpetbagger and doesn’t have the aura to run a 4 month generational campaign

He is a carpetbagger and doesn’t have the aura to run a 4 month generational campaign

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:51:07

It has to be Jackson

It has to be Jackson

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:51:13

It’s Jackson or bust imo

It’s Jackson or bust imo

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:51:27

The electorate in the primary wanted a progressive

The electorate in the primary wanted a progressive

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:53:42

so Jackson is sponsored by the DSA. I'm assuming the people who get to appoint the replacement are also the kind of people that wanted Mills to run. So they wouldn't select a DSA guy?

so Jackson is sponsored by the DSA. I'm assuming the people who get to appoint the replacement are also the kind of people that wanted Mills to run. So they wouldn't select a DSA guy?

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:53:56

Jackson is more Bernie prog than DSA

Jackson is more Bernie prog than DSA

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:55:41

how about bellows?

how about bellows?

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:56:19

I think she would do fine but still lose, the replacement has to satisfy the base that came out for Platner in the primary. That is Jackson.

I think she would do fine but still lose, the replacement has to satisfy the base that came out for Platner in the primary. That is Jackson.

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:56:40

Like there is four months left the candidate can’t be okay they need to have aura

Like there is four months left the candidate can’t be okay they need to have aura

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:56:48

I def agree going w/ a bernie prog in this situation would be smartest. But dem establishment is far from smart

I def agree going w/ a bernie prog in this situation would be smartest. But dem establishment is far from smart

i2dt 2026-07-07 05:56:56

anyways i need tos ee who is on this committee

anyways i need tos ee who is on this committee

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:59:05

Yeah you can’t ignore the base that voted in the primary.

Yeah you can’t ignore the base that voted in the primary.

Greek 2026-07-07 05:59:12

https://x.com/MaineDems/status/2074249756449140867/photo/1

https://x.com/MaineDems/status/2074249756449140867/photo/1

sm8989 2026-07-07 05:59:19

maine democrats on board

maine democrats on board

sm8989 2026-07-07 05:59:23

its coming

its coming

not ess pea 2026-07-07 05:59:29

Let alone with four months left to build a coalition to win

Let alone with four months left to build a coalition to win

Greek 2026-07-07 06:00:28

i regret dumping my 8th at 63

i regret dumping my 8th at 63

i2dt 2026-07-07 06:01:52

Swalwell/Platner 2028? too soon?

Swalwell/Platner 2028? too soon?

Greek 2026-07-07 06:02:07

Prattner 2028

Prattner 2028

Jeff 2026-07-07 06:02:35

This is also funny lol. Janet Mills is the only person who can do worse than Platner now.

This is also funny lol. Janet Mills is the only person who can do worse than Platner now.

mark zuckerberg 2026-07-07 06:03:31

there are some wild cards here. like the campaign could make a statement without platner saying they endorse jackson and would use the infrastructure to immediately rally around him

there are some wild cards here. like the campaign could make a statement without platner saying they endorse jackson and would use the infrastructure to immediately rally around him

mark zuckerberg 2026-07-07 06:04:26

i’m also really skeptical of the whole guilt by association argument that ro, bernie, etc couldn’t immediately just turn around and endorse jackson

i’m also really skeptical of the whole guilt by association argument that ro, bernie, etc couldn’t immediately just turn around and endorse jackson

Jeff 2026-07-07 06:13:03

I wonder if Platner would accept Shanna Bellows

I wonder if Platner would accept Shanna Bellows

Jeff 2026-07-07 06:24:35

Can Infantino rescind Platner’s nomination if he does not drop out?

Can Infantino rescind Platner’s nomination if he does not drop out?

Jeff 2026-07-07 06:36:20

Graham Platner’s campaign is as dead as Mitch McConnell

Graham Platner’s campaign is as dead as Mitch McConnell

nonsenseking 2026-07-07 07:29:53

will bernie sanders apologize?

will bernie sanders apologize?

jim 2026-07-07 07:31:03

He has to.

He has to.

@bernardbulletin 2026-07-07 07:33:32

Bernie doesn't have to do dick

Bernie doesn't have to do dick

nonsenseking 2026-07-07 07:37:45

whenwill <@940487785029185589> apologize?

whenwill <@940487785029185589> apologize?

Sam 2026-07-07 07:38:18

There's a lot of bugs using subaccounts now. I've experienced quite a few but I assume it's because the whole feature is in beta. I was only able to enable it through the API anyways.

There's a lot of bugs using subaccounts now. I've experienced quite a few but I assume it's because the whole feature is in beta. I was only able to enable it through the API anyways.

TavistD 2026-07-07 07:43:34

can we add angus king to maine senate winner?

can we add angus king to maine senate winner?

John G 2026-07-07 07:56:07

Your new senator from Maine

Your new senator from Maine

sm8989 2026-07-07 08:07:46

bernie must apologize

bernie must apologize

mark zuckerberg 2026-07-07 08:55:43

i really don’t get why anyone aside from the candidate and the vetting committee should apologize

i really don’t get why anyone aside from the candidate and the vetting committee should apologize

@bernardbulletin 2026-07-07 08:59:05

i know who should apologize

i know who should apologize

polar 2026-07-07 09:10:16

can we re vote in NYC? i just talked to 4000 black voters who said they would switch to espaillat after hearing the news about platner

can we re vote in NYC? i just talked to 4000 black voters who said they would switch to espaillat after hearing the news about platner

nonsenseking 2026-07-07 09:12:54

just bet on haley stevens like the rest of us

just bet on haley stevens like the rest of us

polar 2026-07-07 09:13:31

jay jones was the moderate

jay jones was the moderate

Claude 2026-07-07 10:53:50

did u get in that low after the news??

did u get in that low after the news??

not ess pea 2026-07-07 10:54:21

People on Twitter said news was releasing today

People on Twitter said news was releasing today

Claude 2026-07-07 10:57:36

good work

good work

jim 2026-07-07 11:02:14

Loomer knew about it

Loomer knew about it

Sharpieman20 2026-07-07 11:04:02

It's pretty funny that Platner can basically tank the Dems' chance at winning the Senate if he so chooses

It's pretty funny that Platner can basically tank the Dems' chance at winning the Senate if he so chooses

not ess pea 2026-07-07 11:13:00

I feel like Nirav Shah is undervalued on the nominee market

I feel like Nirav Shah is undervalued on the nominee market

not ess pea 2026-07-07 11:13:12

Seems like it’s gonna be a bloody fight for the replacement tho so who knows

Seems like it’s gonna be a bloody fight for the replacement tho so who knows

jim 2026-07-07 11:16:52

not many people bidding on Stephen King yet but maybe will change tomorrow

not many people bidding on Stephen King yet but maybe will change tomorrow

TavistD 2026-07-07 11:51:31

they added stephen king instead 🙁

they added stephen king instead 🙁

polar 2026-07-07 11:57:51

scam blonk making us trade the senate winner market instead of letting us trade directly on the dnom <@1066645794108735510>

scam blonk making us trade the senate winner market instead of letting us trade directly on the dnom <@1066645794108735510>

jim 2026-07-07 12:10:43

Bernie hasn’t apologized yet

Bernie hasn’t apologized yet

TavistD 2026-07-07 12:30:07

liz warren, ro khanna, obama podcast bros…we could just have a platner apology market

liz warren, ro khanna, obama podcast bros…we could just have a platner apology market

i2dt 2026-07-07 13:00:13

Apparently Bernards are pretty bad at apologizing

Apparently Bernards are pretty bad at apologizing

mark zuckerberg 2026-07-07 19:21:06

Punchbowl thinks he drops this morning

Punchbowl thinks he drops this morning