秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Mark Carney 北约采访提及词市场规则争议

2026-07-08 · Kalshi · 243 条相关讨论

KJ 2026-07-08 16:01:47

Holy r word moment in the carney market lol

Holy r word moment in the carney market lol

KJ 2026-07-08 16:06:30

Literal video exists of his media availability

Literal video exists of his media availability

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:06:43

if it wasn't livestreamed it wouldn't matter

if it wasn't livestreamed it wouldn't matter

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:06:46

but it apparently was

but it apparently was

Isaac 2026-07-08 16:06:52

bro just called novarex a re*ard

bro just called novarex a re*ard

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:07:22

https://klipy.com/gifs/caitvitwt-zaunvi-6

https://klipy.com/gifs/caitvitwt-zaunvi-6

Isaac 2026-07-08 16:10:37

why leak alpha instead of capitalizing on the inefficiency

why leak alpha instead of capitalizing on the inefficiency

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 16:11:59

Were you dropping 2k blocks at 53, out of curiosity?

Were you dropping 2k blocks at 53, out of curiosity?

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:12:07

It was not live streamed as far as I was waiting for the livestream...

It was not live streamed as far as I was waiting for the livestream...

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:12:43

apparently it was on cpac website

apparently it was on cpac website

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:12:48

but there's no evidence of that

but there's no evidence of that

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:12:51

also CPAC not a source agency

also CPAC not a source agency

KJ 2026-07-08 16:13:06

All my $ is tied up.

All my $ is tied up.

KJ 2026-07-08 16:13:11

Got what I could

Got what I could

Isaac 2026-07-08 16:13:29

damn what a nice guy

damn what a nice guy

KJ 2026-07-08 16:13:38

(All my money isn’t in this market, to be clear)

(All my money isn’t in this market, to be clear)

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:14:12

I mean, I follow Carney pretty closely.

I mean, I follow Carney pretty closely.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:14:51

it's not a lock

it's not a lock

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:15:00

if we followed rules closely this would be a DNQ + all N

if we followed rules closely this would be a DNQ + all N

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:15:12

I wouldn't be betting the house on Y here

I wouldn't be betting the house on Y here

Samg54 2026-07-08 16:15:28

precedent for non live streams counting = china tea thingy

precedent for non live streams counting = china tea thingy

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:15:58

That was streamed live, but with delay, I think.

That was streamed live, but with delay, I think.

Samg54 2026-07-08 16:16:12

p sure thats the same thing as not live streamed

p sure thats the same thing as not live streamed

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 16:16:22

This was streamed live, without a delay, I believe

This was streamed live, without a delay, I believe

Samg54 2026-07-08 16:16:24

you can premeire a youtube video pre-recorded and its the same thing etc

you can premeire a youtube video pre-recorded and its the same thing etc

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:16:47

Cspan straight up uploaded Caney's video.

Cspan straight up uploaded Caney's video.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:16:52

that was different

that was different

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:16:56

it was streamed

it was streamed

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:17:04

but it was a stream of the recording a few mins later

but it was a stream of the recording a few mins later

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:17:11

the question here is whether you count a livestream from a non-SA

the question here is whether you count a livestream from a non-SA

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:17:18

because CPAC is "legit"

because CPAC is "legit"

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:17:23

if it was a random facebook stream it'd be clear DNQ

if it was a random facebook stream it'd be clear DNQ

OneTime William 2026-07-08 16:18:06

China tea wasn't a source agency either. unless u mean the recording uploaded to Fox that happened later

China tea wasn't a source agency either. unless u mean the recording uploaded to Fox that happened later

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:18:58

because fox was a source agency

because fox was a source agency

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:19:04

and fox livestreamed it, albeit delayed

and fox livestreamed it, albeit delayed

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:19:22

there is no practical difference between a livestream that is delayed 10 seconds from realtime vs 5 minutes

there is no practical difference between a livestream that is delayed 10 seconds from realtime vs 5 minutes

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:19:28

it was livestreamed by fox

it was livestreamed by fox

OneTime William 2026-07-08 16:19:51

It was recorded on a film camera

It was recorded on a film camera

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:19:52

I mean, for Carney, it literally wasn't livestreamed.

I mean, for Carney, it literally wasn't livestreamed.

JP Degen 2026-07-08 16:20:36

no X post, no YT live stream. They post all Live streams from cpac on the x account.

no X post, no YT live stream. They post all Live streams from cpac on the x account.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:20:47

and then livestreamed

and then livestreamed

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:20:51

Like, no livestrem before the event, no mess up because of reception etc.... it just wasn't. It was just uploaded post event.

Like, no livestrem before the event, no mess up because of reception etc.... it just wasn't. It was just uploaded post event.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:20:59

a livestream is "recording on a film camera" that is encoded and streamed

a livestream is "recording on a film camera" that is encoded and streamed

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:21:04

there is always delay

there is always delay

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:21:11

30s vs 10 minutes shouldn't matter

30s vs 10 minutes shouldn't matter

jack 2026-07-08 16:21:13

This will count

This will count

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:21:16

it was conveyed as soon as practical as a stream

it was conveyed as soon as practical as a stream

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:21:44

which one is the real mitchieboi?

which one is the real mitchieboi?

jack 2026-07-08 16:21:44

Fv 95

Fv 95

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 16:22:22

Well, no, because they didn't this time.

Well, no, because they didn't this time.

JP Degen 2026-07-08 16:22:28

i havent seen them miss carney tho.

i havent seen them miss carney tho.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:22:59

I never miss Carney. I proposed this market. I know where to look for clips.

I never miss Carney. I proposed this market. I know where to look for clips.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:23:20

then there's the question

then there's the question

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:23:26

if there is no hard evidence that it WAS streamed live

if there is no hard evidence that it WAS streamed live

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:23:28

was it even streamed lmao

was it even streamed lmao

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:23:31

i cant

i cant

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:23:40

<@445032403493322762> if there was no stream

<@445032403493322762> if there was no stream

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:23:43

do you think it should count

do you think it should count

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:24:10

I looked at CPAC, Global Mail, CBC, CTV, and all the usual suspects.

I looked at CPAC, Global Mail, CBC, CTV, and all the usual suspects.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:24:39

for livestream? or what

for livestream? or what

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:25:28

I even looked at Anadolu, NATO media center, etc.

I even looked at Anadolu, NATO media center, etc.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:26:01

did you check cpac for a livestream?

did you check cpac for a livestream?

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:26:17

Everything. I had screens lock and loaded.

Everything. I had screens lock and loaded.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 16:26:35

They livestreamed it on cpac.ca and then reuploaded the cut version where there was no waiting before Carney's arrival (and actually included the portion before Carney says umbrella, which wasn't in the live stream and which would have been a separate fun cuck but is irrelevant for this time).

They livestreamed it on cpac.ca and then reuploaded the cut version where there was no waiting before Carney's arrival (and actually included the portion before Carney says umbrella, which wasn't in the live stream and which would have been a separate fun cuck but is irrelevant for this time).

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:27:10

When Carney goes abroad, he would at least have CBC, and CPAC with him.

When Carney goes abroad, he would at least have CBC, and CPAC with him.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:27:32

so now the question

so now the question

Solstice 2026-07-08 16:27:36

Which interview do you think counts? What is your view on this? If you proposed it, what was your intention?

Which interview do you think counts? What is your view on this? If you proposed it, what was your intention?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:27:41

can kalshi resolve off a video if there was no evidence that it was streamed

can kalshi resolve off a video if there was no evidence that it was streamed

JP Degen 2026-07-08 16:27:46

every carney livestream is announced on the X. EVERY.

every carney livestream is announced on the X. EVERY.

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:27:52

wut was your intention?

wut was your intention?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:28:41

pretty clear to me that the 2 mins doesn't count and the second one does

pretty clear to me that the 2 mins doesn't count and the second one does

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:28:48

I propose Carney market, because he does these pressers early in the twilight hours, and it is often very reliable.

I propose Carney market, because he does these pressers early in the twilight hours, and it is often very reliable.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:28:49

two separate events on calendar

two separate events on calendar

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:29:02

it'd be like counting trump greeting at car for a bilat

it'd be like counting trump greeting at car for a bilat

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:29:11

so if he never did the 19 minute interview it would be EDNQ?

so if he never did the 19 minute interview it would be EDNQ?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:29:15

it was a separate welcome, then a media availability

it was a separate welcome, then a media availability

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:29:25

I would argue it should be, but maybe it would vibe off it lol

I would argue it should be, but maybe it would vibe off it lol

TheGreekTrader 2026-07-08 16:29:34

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HCkVj3gGZPc

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HCkVj3gGZPc

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:29:37

Carney media availability is always for the Canadian pool.

Carney media availability is always for the Canadian pool.

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:29:53

Market was completely wrong then, the 3 strikes fully bonded just based on the 2 minutes and with some serious volume too

Market was completely wrong then, the 3 strikes fully bonded just based on the 2 minutes and with some serious volume too

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:29:56

scemer said it wasnt streamed on cpac. Lawrence said it was streamed on cpac. How

scemer said it wasnt streamed on cpac. Lawrence said it was streamed on cpac. How

JP Degen 2026-07-08 16:30:17

Richer guy wins.

Richer guy wins.

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:30:28

1. price resolve is the key

1. price resolve is the key

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:30:56

not on cpac schedule either

not on cpac schedule either

Solstice 2026-07-08 16:31:04

Yah when you have a lot of people on something like this. And then one person is like, "Actually XYZABC123/pie and the answer is this other stream that wasn't announced, and it counts but the first one doen't and I have a 7 figure port and I"m going to push price into the 90s so f*ck you" then I think it's time for the whale to lose.

Yah when you have a lot of people on something like this. And then one person is like, "Actually XYZABC123/pie and the answer is this other stream that wasn't announced, and it counts but the first one doen't and I have a 7 figure port and I"m going to push price into the 90s so f*ck you" then I think it's time for the whale to lose.

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:31:06

<@1334632742792466544> why did lawrence say it was streamed

<@1334632742792466544> why did lawrence say it was streamed

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:31:10

you think he's lying?

you think he's lying?

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:31:27

But I was looking at all the channels.

But I was looking at all the channels.

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:31:27

one of you went to a pirated site

one of you went to a pirated site

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 16:31:30

Do you know the exact time the video was uploaded?

Do you know the exact time the video was uploaded?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:31:42

can't speak to cpac

can't speak to cpac

Solstice 2026-07-08 16:31:57

I concur. I checkd this as well.

I concur. I checkd this as well.

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 16:32:03

Okay. I began farming AI at 1:51 AM ET

Okay. I began farming AI at 1:51 AM ET

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:32:04

1:34 AM EST - Does 2 minutes <walks to other room> <possible dead time> <19 minutes of talking> <possible dead time> 2:16 AM EST - Video uploaded

1:34 AM EST - Does 2 minutes <walks to other room> <possible dead time> <19 minutes of talking> <possible dead time> 2:16 AM EST - Video uploaded

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:32:33

off the livestream?

off the livestream?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:32:48

I never didn't believe you for the record

I never didn't believe you for the record

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:32:58

but it's impossible for you to have done that without it being livestreamed

but it's impossible for you to have done that without it being livestreamed

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:33:00

scemer went to the pirated site

scemer went to the pirated site

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:33:02

I saw you on the OB too

I saw you on the OB too

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:33:11

so I can corroborate

so I can corroborate

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:33:42

so now the question again is do SAs matter

so now the question again is do SAs matter

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:33:51

if it was a random facebook stream, we all agree it would not count

if it was a random facebook stream, we all agree it would not count

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:33:55

even if recording came up after?

even if recording came up after?

Solstice 2026-07-08 16:34:14

Unlike Mitchie, I did NOT believe you. But it was indeed impossible for you to do this if it wasn't livestreamed so now I believe you.

Unlike Mitchie, I did NOT believe you. But it was indeed impossible for you to do this if it wasn't livestreamed so now I believe you.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:34:22

Lawrence wouldn't lie

Lawrence wouldn't lie

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:34:37

Unlike Mitchie, I did NOT believe you. But it was indeed impossible for you to do this if it wasn't livestreamed so now I believe you.

Unlike Mitchie, I did NOT believe you. But it was indeed impossible for you to do this if it wasn't livestreamed so now I believe you.

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:34:45

Unlike Mitchie, I did NOT believe you. But it was indeed impossible for you to do this if it wasn't livestreamed so now I believe you.

Unlike Mitchie, I did NOT believe you. But it was indeed impossible for you to do this if it wasn't livestreamed so now I believe you.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:34:48

and to scemer i apply hanlon's razor

and to scemer i apply hanlon's razor

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:35:02

I'm sure it's just a mixup

I'm sure it's just a mixup

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:35:27

someone let me know when it's safe to bond, still a ton of shares out there on the orderbook

someone let me know when it's safe to bond, still a ton of shares out there on the orderbook

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:35:40

for me it's just the SA thing

for me it's just the SA thing

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:35:47

I wish we had a strike that hit in first part and not second but oh well

I wish we had a strike that hit in first part and not second but oh well

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:36:00

like if you don't count a facebook stream

like if you don't count a facebook stream

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:36:06

the only difference with CPAC is it's "official"

the only difference with CPAC is it's "official"

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:36:12

but not an SA in the rules

but not an SA in the rules

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:36:27

It's just that if I had livestream, I would have straight up farmed like Lawrence did... you were in CPAC?

It's just that if I had livestream, I would have straight up farmed like Lawrence did... you were in CPAC?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:36:35

if you argue the <source> = mark carney point to justify overruling that, then why wouldn't a random facebook stream work

if you argue the <source> = mark carney point to justify overruling that, then why wouldn't a random facebook stream work

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:36:49

vibes man

vibes man

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:36:49

literally just vibing at that point

literally just vibing at that point

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:36:55

because cpac feels good

because cpac feels good

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:36:57

strippers still dont count

strippers still dont count

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:37:14

that's kinda unfair

that's kinda unfair

KJ 2026-07-08 16:37:18

So you agree it is proof Lawrence is right

So you agree it is proof Lawrence is right

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:38:17

If Lawrence was able to farm, he must have found the livestream somewhere I wasn't looking or couldn't find...

If Lawrence was able to farm, he must have found the livestream somewhere I wasn't looking or couldn't find...

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:38:52

im crine sj!

im crine sj!

KJ 2026-07-08 16:39:15

So do we all agree that the thing that happened did indeed happen

So do we all agree that the thing that happened did indeed happen

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:39:28

its safe

its safe

J0hn 2026-07-08 16:39:32

you can go to sleep now

you can go to sleep now

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:39:54

Man... Carney cuck is honestly not what I was expecting lol.

Man... Carney cuck is honestly not what I was expecting lol.

KJ 2026-07-08 16:40:11

You need to be as big of a fan of him as I am.

You need to be as big of a fan of him as I am.

JP Degen 2026-07-08 16:40:13

this why i dont trade slop

this why i dont trade slop

KJ 2026-07-08 16:41:20

Mark Carney is NOT slop

Mark Carney is NOT slop

Isaac 2026-07-08 16:41:24

another victory for the slopsharps

another victory for the slopsharps

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:42:07

I did not make a wager on this market...

I did not make a wager on this market...

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:42:34

Actually, a little bit of NQE.

Actually, a little bit of NQE.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:44:19

Sorry guys for the false alarm. Still a NOOB.

Sorry guys for the false alarm. Still a NOOB.

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:45:40

still have to ignore SAs

still have to ignore SAs

Mitchieboi 2026-07-08 16:45:43

but it'll go Y

but it'll go Y

KJ 2026-07-08 16:46:17

To echo the words of Mr. Carney in his Davos speech “we take the world as it is, not as we wish it to be.”

To echo the words of Mr. Carney in his Davos speech “we take the world as it is, not as we wish it to be.”

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:47:29

https://klipy.com/gifs/cat-crying-cat-meme-16

https://klipy.com/gifs/cat-crying-cat-meme-16

KJ 2026-07-08 16:47:53

I told u it was live streamed in Nunavut <:pepe1:1200159724813963386>

I told u it was live streamed in Nunavut <:pepe1:1200159724813963386>

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:48:00

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay/what-will-trump-say/kxtrumpsay-26jul13?op_market_ticker=KXTRUMPSAY-26JUL13-BIBI&op_order_side=yes&op_side=BUY&op_order_type=limit

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxtrumpsay/what-will-trump-say/kxtrumpsay-26jul13?op_market_ticker=KXTRUMPSAY-26JUL13-BIBI&op_order_side=yes&op_side=BUY&op_order_type=limit

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 16:48:01

https://klipy.com/gifs/samurai-harakiri-1

https://klipy.com/gifs/samurai-harakiri-1

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:57:32

[Carney](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneymention/carney-mention/kxcarneymention-26jul08)

[Carney](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcarneymention/carney-mention/kxcarneymention-26jul08)

ProTrader 2026-07-08 16:58:14

whys event dnq not even bonded

whys event dnq not even bonded

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:58:17

first we got a 2 minute interview, then we got a 19 minute interview

first we got a 2 minute interview, then we got a 19 minute interview

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 16:58:39

it's probably safe tbh lmao

it's probably safe tbh lmao

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:02:03

these are all safe enough to bond right

these are all safe enough to bond right

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:02:06

i wont be burnt right

i wont be burnt right

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 17:02:20

why did kalshi have to do me dirty like this

why did kalshi have to do me dirty like this

Solstice 2026-07-08 17:12:29

I believe you are wrong ( <@807477657867649095> ). I believe video 1 counts and video 2 doesn't. Thus AI goes NO. <@1417220501407011020> and Arctic, Russia, and Trump go YES . Why do I believe this? Because the rules say so. The rules say.... "Mark Carney says Arctic as part of NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET.... Video of the NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market;....transcripts of the NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026 will be used." Note, the rules do not say "Mark Carney's schedule" or "Mark Carney's media availability." The rules explicitly say "NATO media availability scheduled for 1:30am" for which Mark Carney will be a part of. Carney arrived as schedule for NATO and did his media availability interview at 1:34am, basically right on time. It was livestreamed and easy to find. NATO posted a link on their X, had their own stream, as did AP, and others. A comment from IDEAS (not always reliable, but sometimes astutely brilliant) reflects this interpretation in other words: "the second {interview} is NOT on the NATO schedule because it literally isn't directly part of NATO. The Kalshi market rules say "as part of NATO media availability"; you cannot say that and then say the.....NATO event itself doesn't count but {a later interview which is not a NATO event} does. It is two conflicting rules." To show how dumb ya'lls interpretation is, THE CARNEY SHARP WHO PROPOSED THIS MARKET WITH THE INTENTIONS OF FARMING PEOPLE COULDN'T FIND THE LIVESTREAM of the second video, and half a dozen mentions sharps worked for an hour and couldn't find it either. The rules for this one are the first video. Vibes for this one is the first video. The keyword is NATO. This is a Mark Carney interview at a NATO event, not a private interview later on his schedule. <@252554263841079296> <@660000249774997504> <@1210384389092151359>

I believe you are wrong ( <@807477657867649095> ). I believe video 1 counts and video 2 doesn't. Thus AI goes NO. <@1417220501407011020> and Arctic, Russia, and Trump go YES . Why do I believe this? Because the rules say so. The rules say.... "Mark Carney says Arctic as part of NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET.... Video of the NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market;....transcripts of the NATO media availability originally scheduled for 1:30am ET July 8th, 2026 will be used." Note, the rules do not say "Mark Carney's schedule" or "Mark Carney's media availability." The rules explicitly say "NATO media availability scheduled for 1:30am" for which Mark Carney will be a part of. Carney arrived as schedule for NATO and did his media availability interview at 1:34am, basically right on time. It was livestreamed and easy to find. NATO posted a link on their X, had their own stream, as did AP, and others. A comment from IDEAS (not always reliable, but sometimes astutely brilliant) reflects this interpretation in other words: "the second {interview} is NOT on the NATO schedule because it literally isn't directly part of NATO. The Kalshi market rules say "as part of NATO media availability"; you cannot say that and then say the.....NATO event itself doesn't count but {a later interview which is not a NATO event} does. It is two conflicting rules." To show how dumb ya'lls interpretation is, THE CARNEY SHARP WHO PROPOSED THIS MARKET WITH THE INTENTIONS OF FARMING PEOPLE COULDN'T FIND THE LIVESTREAM of the second video, and half a dozen mentions sharps worked for an hour and couldn't find it either. The rules for this one are the first video. Vibes for this one is the first video. The keyword is NATO. This is a Mark Carney interview at a NATO event, not a private interview later on his schedule. <@252554263841079296> <@660000249774997504> <@1210384389092151359>

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 17:16:39

Bruh, I had no intentions of framing people. I literally wrote on plzjake "Mark Carney Media availability" as stated on his pool schedule...

Bruh, I had no intentions of framing people. I literally wrote on plzjake "Mark Carney Media availability" as stated on his pool schedule...

KJ 2026-07-08 17:17:15

This market is embarrassing for me. Honestly, my original “r word moment” comment that started all this applies to me as much as anyone.

This market is embarrassing for me. Honestly, my original “r word moment” comment that started all this applies to me as much as anyone.

Somethin 2026-07-08 17:18:50

Completely agree

Completely agree

KJ 2026-07-08 17:19:28

Guys this is settled science, go debate creationism elsewhere.

Guys this is settled science, go debate creationism elsewhere.

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 17:19:44

https://klipy.com/gifs/marmota-cooking

https://klipy.com/gifs/marmota-cooking

Logan 2026-07-08 17:20:14

this seems reasonable tbh. idk enough about the event/situation but if this was a second event for canadian media outside of the nato event then i dont see why it would automatically count vs not count

this seems reasonable tbh. idk enough about the event/situation but if this was a second event for canadian media outside of the nato event then i dont see why it would automatically count vs not count

Logan 2026-07-08 17:20:42

maybe soon enough after that will be grouped with the nato one but idk

maybe soon enough after that will be grouped with the nato one but idk

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 17:22:17

https://klipy.com/gifs/stinky-loser

https://klipy.com/gifs/stinky-loser

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 17:23:21

Bro why are you like halfporting this 🙁

Bro why are you like halfporting this 🙁

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:23:32

ive decided kalshi is too much

ive decided kalshi is too much

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:23:51

my research doesnt work

my research doesnt work

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:23:57

so if this doesnt hit its a sign to dip

so if this doesnt hit its a sign to dip

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 17:24:20

I have no alpha on that market at all but maybe the yolo is a sign to dip before you potentially lose it, idk

I have no alpha on that market at all but maybe the yolo is a sign to dip before you potentially lose it, idk

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:24:57

its 100% a terrible move

its 100% a terrible move

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 17:28:52

Why is AI gaining traction the other way. Why is no one clicking that 20k at 67c

Why is AI gaining traction the other way. Why is no one clicking that 20k at 67c

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:30:09

hes the sharpest hand in the west

hes the sharpest hand in the west

ProTrader 2026-07-08 17:30:41

1/3 of mention sharps gone

1/3 of mention sharps gone

Slade366 NovaRex 2026-07-08 17:52:38

Solstice posts are unironically a work of art. Listen and learn.

Solstice posts are unironically a work of art. Listen and learn.

KJ 2026-07-08 17:54:31

Pre registering my prediction: TLDR Solstice: the market can still resolve DNQ, if Mike Pence has the courage

Pre registering my prediction: TLDR Solstice: the market can still resolve DNQ, if Mike Pence has the courage

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 17:58:30

I do think that AI is definitely not bond on Carney.

I do think that AI is definitely not bond on Carney.

KJ 2026-07-08 17:58:37

Don’t stare directly at it

Don’t stare directly at it

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 17:59:53

NATO media availability is AP.

NATO media availability is AP.

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 18:01:01

https://www.youtube.com/live/1_OcXcE45yw?si=WvzvPSeZS22HjGmH&t=2326

https://www.youtube.com/live/1_OcXcE45yw?si=WvzvPSeZS22HjGmH&t=2326

KJ 2026-07-08 18:01:40

Jump into the market or let it go. Enough cuckery.

Jump into the market or let it go. Enough cuckery.

KJ 2026-07-08 18:03:28

At least part 1 it

At least part 1 it

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-08 18:03:37

Guys, are we sure this Solstice post is even happening?

Guys, are we sure this Solstice post is even happening?

Isaac 2026-07-08 18:03:44

You thought he was about to send? He basically just started

You thought he was about to send? He basically just started

Gatten 2026-07-08 18:04:22

This is like the White House stream waiting screen

This is like the White House stream waiting screen

Isaac 2026-07-08 18:12:54

solstice must have like 30 wpm typing or something

solstice must have like 30 wpm typing or something

Solstice 2026-07-08 18:14:45

Yes, it seems to be a fair argument. <@807477657867649095> and others are arguing for a non-NATO interview to count even though the contract rules state clearly it's the NATO media availability interview at 1:30am ET. Carney was interviewed at 1:34am ET as scheduled by NATO and NATO posted about it, streamed it, and it was also streamed by AP. This reminds me in many ways of two markets: #1. The recent Hochul market where she had two events in one stream. The first one counted. The second one didn't. Different but very, very similar from the time perspective. #2. One of the first NBA post media markets. A Laker player was interviewed in the locker room and people thought it counted. It didn't because it wasn't part of the "NBA post media availability" interview. Again, different, but similar. The first video was a NATO interview. The second Carney interview was ilke the locker room interview. FWIW, I stand to lose a luaghable $230 on this if it goes against me. I have friends who will lose a lot more.

Yes, it seems to be a fair argument. <@807477657867649095> and others are arguing for a non-NATO interview to count even though the contract rules state clearly it's the NATO media availability interview at 1:30am ET. Carney was interviewed at 1:34am ET as scheduled by NATO and NATO posted about it, streamed it, and it was also streamed by AP. This reminds me in many ways of two markets: #1. The recent Hochul market where she had two events in one stream. The first one counted. The second one didn't. Different but very, very similar from the time perspective. #2. One of the first NBA post media markets. A Laker player was interviewed in the locker room and people thought it counted. It didn't because it wasn't part of the "NBA post media availability" interview. Again, different, but similar. The first video was a NATO interview. The second Carney interview was ilke the locker room interview. FWIW, I stand to lose a luaghable $230 on this if it goes against me. I have friends who will lose a lot more.

Solstice 2026-07-08 18:16:08

I had to type out all the bad arguments first. I deleted those because tehre was no reason to share them.

I had to type out all the bad arguments first. I deleted those because tehre was no reason to share them.

Gatten 2026-07-08 18:16:45

Next time need a duration market

Next time need a duration market

Solstice 2026-07-08 18:21:37

One day they will resolve a 99c the other way. Perhaps toady is the day. We must ask, "Do we want Kalshi to be a scam site like Polymarket where whales can determine outcomes? Or do we want Kalshi to be principled wehre there rules are followed and we accept that whales sometimes have a lot of ego, mess up, and get wrecked?" I vote for the latter, and I think most people would as well.

One day they will resolve a 99c the other way. Perhaps toady is the day. We must ask, "Do we want Kalshi to be a scam site like Polymarket where whales can determine outcomes? Or do we want Kalshi to be principled wehre there rules are followed and we accept that whales sometimes have a lot of ego, mess up, and get wrecked?" I vote for the latter, and I think most people would as well.

TSP 2026-07-08 18:22:37

How can u say whales determine outcomes on Polymarket 🤣

How can u say whales determine outcomes on Polymarket 🤣

TSP 2026-07-08 18:22:55

I would argue it's way easier to manipulate Kalshi resolution than Poly

I would argue it's way easier to manipulate Kalshi resolution than Poly

KJ 2026-07-08 18:30:46

Thank you, messiah 🙏🏽

Thank you, messiah 🙏🏽

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 18:33:27

I think Solstice is 100% right, but I'm just not sure if will resolve that way.

I think Solstice is 100% right, but I'm just not sure if will resolve that way.

white foldable chair 2026-07-08 18:39:54

what was the last 1/99c resolve in favor of the 1c

what was the last 1/99c resolve in favor of the 1c

B 2026-07-08 18:56:48

get Mitchie on it

get Mitchie on it

leo 2026-07-08 19:26:29

stfu jerry

stfu jerry

Solstice 2026-07-08 19:27:42

Good luck on Trump. I am going to sleep. Here is my write up on the Carney market. Didn't know anyone was waiting. <@1417220501407011020>, <@1460986477742657662> , <@1413713829883543613> https://x.com/alch3my101/status/2074817057754169349?s=20 FWIW, when these thigns happen, even though I may sometimes be aggressive to my side, I'm always content with a FV resolution or people just getting refunds. I hate the rule cucks, and I don't play them intentionally.

Good luck on Trump. I am going to sleep. Here is my write up on the Carney market. Didn't know anyone was waiting. <@1417220501407011020>, <@1460986477742657662> , <@1413713829883543613> https://x.com/alch3my101/status/2074817057754169349?s=20 FWIW, when these thigns happen, even though I may sometimes be aggressive to my side, I'm always content with a FV resolution or people just getting refunds. I hate the rule cucks, and I don't play them intentionally.

white foldable chair 2026-07-08 19:31:17

<@1448568704580456529> russia Y the same is it not

<@1448568704580456529> russia Y the same is it not

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 19:32:17

Yeah. I’m with you on this. NATO media availability means AP feed which was also available to NATO media on NATO feed.

Yeah. I’m with you on this. NATO media availability means AP feed which was also available to NATO media on NATO feed.

nicotine 2026-07-08 19:32:45

wheres the link to the 2nd video

wheres the link to the 2nd video

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 19:32:49

That feed is the most aligned with the rule.

That feed is the most aligned with the rule.

Solstice 2026-07-08 19:37:33

He says Russia, Trump and Arctic in both videos so those are clear Y. He says AI only in the second one. For a while we wondered if the 2nd video was even livestreamed which could in theory have led to everything going NO and ENDQ going Y, if you believe the first video didn't count (I think it does). That caused prices for those 3 strikes to come down for a bit even though they was no doubt they were said in both. Once Lawrence confirmed it livestremed then we knew that one would count so those 3 strikes bonded. Nothing else hit (I didn't awtch the 2nd video, I only checked the transcript).

He says Russia, Trump and Arctic in both videos so those are clear Y. He says AI only in the second one. For a while we wondered if the 2nd video was even livestreamed which could in theory have led to everything going NO and ENDQ going Y, if you believe the first video didn't count (I think it does). That caused prices for those 3 strikes to come down for a bit even though they was no doubt they were said in both. Once Lawrence confirmed it livestremed then we knew that one would count so those 3 strikes bonded. Nothing else hit (I didn't awtch the 2nd video, I only checked the transcript).

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 19:39:29

He is right that if there is a case for 99c Y going N, it’s this one.

He is right that if there is a case for 99c Y going N, it’s this one.

white foldable chair 2026-07-08 19:40:53

NATO avail part seems like the strongest argument to me

NATO avail part seems like the strongest argument to me

Dee 2026-07-08 19:49:28

Been hitting consistently lately 🐐bankroll going up heavy add me and I’ll send what I got for today 💯✅

Been hitting consistently lately 🐐bankroll going up heavy add me and I’ll send what I got for today 💯✅

Dr Scemer, PhD🚨 2026-07-08 19:49:49

Yeah, it was available to nato media on nato feed as well.

Yeah, it was available to nato media on nato feed as well.

Sphinx II 2026-07-08 19:58:16

<@867068302517076009> wyt?

<@867068302517076009> wyt?