2026-07-13 · Kalshi · 131 条相关讨论
But X != Ex?
But X != Ex?
https://klipy.com/gifs/riddler-paul-dano-1
https://klipy.com/gifs/riddler-paul-dano-1
https://tenor.com/view/idk-gif-11370913927161055959
https://tenor.com/view/idk-gif-11370913927161055959
guys i'm nervous
guys i'm nervous
i took a 401k loan to buy Ex Y
i took a 401k loan to buy Ex Y
it's going Y right
it's going Y right
Let's start a conversation on ex Y
Let's start a conversation on ex Y
The Ex Y arguments are really piling up at this point
The Ex Y arguments are really piling up at this point
Drop the clip
Drop the clip
it sure is Ex-citing.... Sorry couldnt resist
it sure is Ex-citing.... Sorry couldnt resist
I’ve never watched the show tbh
I’ve never watched the show tbh
Wait
Wait
<@807477657867649095> is he kinda right?
<@807477657867649095> is he kinda right?
Check the timestamp, maybe? I thought it was delusion but if there’s something there it’ll be fun
Check the timestamp, maybe? I thought it was delusion but if there’s something there it’ll be fun
Dude
Dude
He says ex-
He says ex-
Like straight up actually
Like straight up actually
He's right
He's right
I wanna be ex- dating you
I wanna be ex- dating you
lmao seriously?
lmao seriously?
Hold on
Hold on
I'll post a clip
I'll post a clip
https://klipy.com/gifs/let-me-in-eric-andre-3
https://klipy.com/gifs/let-me-in-eric-andre-3
see this is interesting
see this is interesting
this counted for travel...
this counted for travel...
when we like leave the villa, I wanna be like ex- like dating you properly, like exclusively like together
when we like leave the villa, I wanna be like ex- like dating you properly, like exclusively like together
that only didn't count because they didn't know
that only didn't count because they didn't know
but also mr kalshi man didn't want to take no backsies
but also mr kalshi man didn't want to take no backsies
refunding is a higher bar than simply paying out correctly to begin with
refunding is a higher bar than simply paying out correctly to begin with
> wanna be like ex- ??? dating What's he say? indiscernable. It's not "like"
> wanna be like ex- ??? dating What's he say? indiscernable. It's not "like"
So that’s exciting
So that’s exciting
it's ex
it's ex
<@807477657867649095> what was the variable argument?
<@807477657867649095> what was the variable argument?
bruh surely that doesn't count
bruh surely that doesn't count
we've had similar cases count in the past 🤷♂️
we've had similar cases count in the past 🤷♂️
word is shorter so it's tougher
word is shorter so it's tougher
or this and the travel thing are two completely different things
or this and the travel thing are two completely different things
no
no
like I would render it as ex-
like I would render it as ex-
it's clearly ex-
it's clearly ex-
in context and just the audio
in context and just the audio
I don’t think it’s crazy to quote that sentence with an “ex-“ tbh. It’s also not crazy to not quote it with an “ex-“ ofc
I don’t think it’s crazy to quote that sentence with an “ex-“ tbh. It’s also not crazy to not quote it with an “ex-“ ofc
people be skulling me but im a huge rules guy and tbh dont even know the full rules at this point cuz they piss me off so much that i have just decided idc
people be skulling me but im a huge rules guy and tbh dont even know the full rules at this point cuz they piss me off so much that i have just decided idc
yeah I think we all agree the actual utterance is clearly ex
yeah I think we all agree the actual utterance is clearly ex
whether it counts is another story
whether it counts is another story
Holy why are you all still talking about your ex’s
Holy why are you all still talking about your ex’s
Or X’s
Or X’s
it's a little bit above if you're curious
it's a little bit above if you're curious
Can you link me for the inevitable angry people that are going to yell at me?
Can you link me for the inevitable angry people that are going to yell at me?
https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1526093001699627058
https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1526093001699627058
<@1460986477742657662> does kalshi hate people with a stutter and think they are too re tarded to ever rise to a position where a mention market could be created for them? Do you hate people with disabilities?
<@1460986477742657662> does kalshi hate people with a stutter and think they are too re tarded to ever rise to a position where a mention market could be created for them? Do you hate people with disabilities?
pretty clear ex utterance
pretty clear ex utterance
but it's kind of a stutter?
but it's kind of a stutter?
I dont play the slop, but it kinda sounds more like "es" than ex to me?
I dont play the slop, but it kinda sounds more like "es" than ex to me?
can u link me market so i can see
can u link me market so i can see
pls
pls
it's pretty clearly ex
it's pretty clearly ex
Closed at 9c
Closed at 9c
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxloveislmention/love-island-mentions/kxloveislmention-26jul12
https://kalshi.com/markets/kxloveislmention/love-island-mentions/kxloveislmention-26jul12
closed now
closed now
he goes to say exclusive and then cuts it off and rewords it
he goes to say exclusive and then cuts it off and rewords it
but the actual utterance is clearly ex-
but the actual utterance is clearly ex-
ankle....
ankle....
ankle didn't have context tho, this does
ankle didn't have context tho, this does
this one is clearly him going to say exclusive and shorterning
this one is clearly him going to say exclusive and shorterning
shortening*
shortening*
in ankle he was just saying nonsense that had nothing to do with ankles
in ankle he was just saying nonsense that had nothing to do with ankles
willy
willy
Mitchie
Mitchie
I know you guys all had your hearts moved by my awesome argument for ex Y
I know you guys all had your hearts moved by my awesome argument for ex Y
and now you can just res it Y off that with no drama!
and now you can just res it Y off that with no drama!
I didn’t even read it tbh
I didn’t even read it tbh
so lucky!!
so lucky!!
I don’t resolve markets
I don’t resolve markets
...?
...?
was I lied to?
was I lied to?
and kalshi employees legally can't lie
and kalshi employees legally can't lie
although the new audio clip means it's not an unclear market anymore
although the new audio clip means it's not an unclear market anymore
so it wraps back to jake res
so it wraps back to jake res
just a clear Y!
just a clear Y!
You don’t want me resolving markets brother
You don’t want me resolving markets brother
i hear ks
i hear ks
I think you'd do fine willy
I think you'd do fine willy
Yeah, its definitely more of an "s" sound than an "x" sound
Yeah, its definitely more of an "s" sound than an "x" sound
it's definitely an x
it's definitely an x
you're on drugs
you're on drugs
I think it sounded like exl- uhhh stutter tries to find the rest of the word to vocalize then brings it to completion exclusively... I have a hard time calling that ex, don't see it relate to the travel clip because it was different words entirely not gapped to completion? But meh lol Im sure theres no if a dude stutters rule in the book does it count as a seperate word when it seems clear he was saying the word he ultimately completed? I dunno lol
I think it sounded like exl- uhhh stutter tries to find the rest of the word to vocalize then brings it to completion exclusively... I have a hard time calling that ex, don't see it relate to the travel clip because it was different words entirely not gapped to completion? But meh lol Im sure theres no if a dude stutters rule in the book does it count as a seperate word when it seems clear he was saying the word he ultimately completed? I dunno lol
i mean hes def saying the start of exclusively
i mean hes def saying the start of exclusively
if you hear anything but e x there
if you hear anything but e x there
ngmi on audio cucks
ngmi on audio cucks
not saying it 100% counts
not saying it 100% counts
fun to listen to and try to reason with either way
fun to listen to and try to reason with either way
but it is clearly e followed by x and nothing else
but it is clearly e followed by x and nothing else
there's no c, no l, etc
there's no c, no l, etc
if you slow it down the hard k sound at the start of the x is even clearer
if you slow it down the hard k sound at the start of the x is even clearer
Surely spirit of the market disallows this
Surely spirit of the market disallows this
it's definitely an eks sound
it's definitely an eks sound
That's crazy Mitchie actually unironically bought up Ex Y just so he could try to cuck it and then ended up finding a completely separate instance to try to cuck of the same strike
That's crazy Mitchie actually unironically bought up Ex Y just so he could try to cuck it and then ended up finding a completely separate instance to try to cuck of the same strike
thank ideas
thank ideas
context makes it clearly ex-
context makes it clearly ex-
but it's short
but it's short
hard to say
hard to say
Have you tried looking for examples in a physics textbook?
Have you tried looking for examples in a physics textbook?
Sprit is clearly N ofc
Sprit is clearly N ofc
good point
good point
The travel comparison doesnt work here tbh...travel was a full word clearly said
The travel comparison doesnt work here tbh...travel was a full word clearly said
I think the best way to think about this is if you were on the no side and it got ruled yes, would you be super pissed
I think the best way to think about this is if you were on the no side and it got ruled yes, would you be super pissed
spirit should be Y off the other X hit anyway though
spirit should be Y off the other X hit anyway though
good question
good question
I’ve completely forgotten about that issue because this one is more interesting to me tbh
I’ve completely forgotten about that issue because this one is more interesting to me tbh
If it was open I think this would push it a decent bit
If it was open I think this would push it a decent bit
near or maybe a little above 10 cents at least imo
near or maybe a little above 10 cents at least imo
Would you think it was a bs ruling if you were on the no side
Would you think it was a bs ruling if you were on the no side
I would never be on the no side
I would never be on the no side
Because it should be Y without this anyway
Because it should be Y without this anyway
I think this contradicts your statement no?
I think this contradicts your statement no?
You wouldn’t be 50c no?
You wouldn’t be 50c no?
I'm saying I think market would price it at or above 10 cents
I'm saying I think market would price it at or above 10 cents
but probably not that much higher? maybe i'm wrong
but probably not that much higher? maybe i'm wrong
maybe it'd be like 20 idk
maybe it'd be like 20 idk
i'd be buying Y at 10 cents
i'd be buying Y at 10 cents
what do you think price would be
what do you think price would be
i'm hesitant to say it's above 15
i'm hesitant to say it's above 15
Would you buy Y for 20
Would you buy Y for 20
If so I’d probably be willing to trade against that
If so I’d probably be willing to trade against that
Such an interesting find <@252554263841079296>. I wasn’t on this market so just seeing it. Good point on that travel / trailing by Doris from that NBA game. Logically it seems he’s cutting himself off from saying exclusive. I hear an L in real time but no L in your slowed down clip. We’ve never seen one of these with only 1 syllable that I can recall. “Travel” “Ankle”. Obvi clearer with 2. I still don’t understand why travel went Y. When that one happened I thought it would go NO because Ankle went NO, but has Ankle gone Y or never happens I would have thought Travel as Y as well. Seems like a stutter of some kind, not a word. Spirit of rules is NO. I’ve never bonded Ex NO on any LI mention market. I knew it was too easy to miss / have something come up. I’ve always thought people were crazy for doing so.
Such an interesting find <@252554263841079296>. I wasn’t on this market so just seeing it. Good point on that travel / trailing by Doris from that NBA game. Logically it seems he’s cutting himself off from saying exclusive. I hear an L in real time but no L in your slowed down clip. We’ve never seen one of these with only 1 syllable that I can recall. “Travel” “Ankle”. Obvi clearer with 2. I still don’t understand why travel went Y. When that one happened I thought it would go NO because Ankle went NO, but has Ankle gone Y or never happens I would have thought Travel as Y as well. Seems like a stutter of some kind, not a word. Spirit of rules is NO. I’ve never bonded Ex NO on any LI mention market. I knew it was too easy to miss / have something come up. I’ve always thought people were crazy for doing so.
It doesn’t even sound like ex imo you can barely make that out
It doesn’t even sound like ex imo you can barely make that out
Similar to ankle
Similar to ankle
Not mitchie still arguing for ex 😭
Not mitchie still arguing for ex 😭
He was obv going to say exclusive
He was obv going to say exclusive
Even worse argument than your first one
Even worse argument than your first one