秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Ex Y 提及市场因疑似说“ex-”引结算争议

2026-07-13 · Kalshi · 131 条相关讨论

Awwndrei 2026-07-13 11:25:35

https://klipy.com/gifs/riddler-paul-dano-1

https://klipy.com/gifs/riddler-paul-dano-1

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 11:42:03

https://tenor.com/view/idk-gif-11370913927161055959

https://tenor.com/view/idk-gif-11370913927161055959

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 11:42:13

guys i'm nervous

guys i'm nervous

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 11:42:17

i took a 401k loan to buy Ex Y

i took a 401k loan to buy Ex Y

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 11:42:19

it's going Y right

it's going Y right

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 12:49:03

Let's start a conversation on ex Y

Let's start a conversation on ex Y

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-13 12:55:33

The Ex Y arguments are really piling up at this point

The Ex Y arguments are really piling up at this point

Keltset 2026-07-13 12:57:45

it sure is Ex-citing.... Sorry couldnt resist

it sure is Ex-citing.... Sorry couldnt resist

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-13 12:58:30

I’ve never watched the show tbh

I’ve never watched the show tbh

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 12:58:49

<@807477657867649095> is he kinda right?

<@807477657867649095> is he kinda right?

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-13 12:59:33

Check the timestamp, maybe? I thought it was delusion but if there’s something there it’ll be fun

Check the timestamp, maybe? I thought it was delusion but if there’s something there it’ll be fun

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 12:59:49

Like straight up actually

Like straight up actually

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 12:59:58

I wanna be ex- dating you

I wanna be ex- dating you

olives 2026-07-13 13:00:14

lmao seriously?

lmao seriously?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:00:17

I'll post a clip

I'll post a clip

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-13 13:00:46

https://klipy.com/gifs/let-me-in-eric-andre-3

https://klipy.com/gifs/let-me-in-eric-andre-3

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:02:49

see this is interesting

see this is interesting

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:03:59

this counted for travel...

this counted for travel...

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:04:47

when we like leave the villa, I wanna be like ex- like dating you properly, like exclusively like together

when we like leave the villa, I wanna be like ex- like dating you properly, like exclusively like together

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:04:56

that only didn't count because they didn't know

that only didn't count because they didn't know

Seaborgium- 2026-07-13 13:05:16

but also mr kalshi man didn't want to take no backsies

but also mr kalshi man didn't want to take no backsies

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:05:30

refunding is a higher bar than simply paying out correctly to begin with

refunding is a higher bar than simply paying out correctly to begin with

Seaborgium- 2026-07-13 13:07:26

> wanna be like ex- ??? dating What's he say? indiscernable. It's not "like"

> wanna be like ex- ??? dating What's he say? indiscernable. It's not "like"

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:09:24

<@807477657867649095> what was the variable argument?

<@807477657867649095> what was the variable argument?

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:09:26

bruh surely that doesn't count

bruh surely that doesn't count

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:09:39

we've had similar cases count in the past 🤷‍♂️

we've had similar cases count in the past 🤷‍♂️

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:09:45

word is shorter so it's tougher

word is shorter so it's tougher

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:09:58

or this and the travel thing are two completely different things

or this and the travel thing are two completely different things

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:14:20

like I would render it as ex-

like I would render it as ex-

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:14:25

it's clearly ex-

it's clearly ex-

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:14:30

in context and just the audio

in context and just the audio

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-13 13:14:33

I don’t think it’s crazy to quote that sentence with an “ex-“ tbh. It’s also not crazy to not quote it with an “ex-“ ofc

I don’t think it’s crazy to quote that sentence with an “ex-“ tbh. It’s also not crazy to not quote it with an “ex-“ ofc

Logan 2026-07-13 13:14:47

people be skulling me but im a huge rules guy and tbh dont even know the full rules at this point cuz they piss me off so much that i have just decided idc

people be skulling me but im a huge rules guy and tbh dont even know the full rules at this point cuz they piss me off so much that i have just decided idc

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:14:49

yeah I think we all agree the actual utterance is clearly ex

yeah I think we all agree the actual utterance is clearly ex

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:15:01

whether it counts is another story

whether it counts is another story

Willy (Kalshi Ops) 🇲🇽 2026-07-13 13:17:08

Holy why are you all still talking about your ex’s

Holy why are you all still talking about your ex’s

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:17:58

it's a little bit above if you're curious

it's a little bit above if you're curious

Willy (Kalshi Ops) 🇲🇽 2026-07-13 13:18:08

Can you link me for the inevitable angry people that are going to yell at me?

Can you link me for the inevitable angry people that are going to yell at me?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:18:23

https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1526093001699627058

https://discord.com/channels/871819895443189862/1408942496045863042/1526093001699627058

Logan 2026-07-13 13:18:44

<@1460986477742657662> does kalshi hate people with a stutter and think they are too re tarded to ever rise to a position where a mention market could be created for them? Do you hate people with disabilities?

<@1460986477742657662> does kalshi hate people with a stutter and think they are too re tarded to ever rise to a position where a mention market could be created for them? Do you hate people with disabilities?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:18:44

pretty clear ex utterance

pretty clear ex utterance

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:18:51

but it's kind of a stutter?

but it's kind of a stutter?

miked255 2026-07-13 13:19:01

I dont play the slop, but it kinda sounds more like "es" than ex to me?

I dont play the slop, but it kinda sounds more like "es" than ex to me?

Logan 2026-07-13 13:19:21

can u link me market so i can see

can u link me market so i can see

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:19:30

it's pretty clearly ex

it's pretty clearly ex

olives 2026-07-13 13:19:34

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxloveislmention/love-island-mentions/kxloveislmention-26jul12

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxloveislmention/love-island-mentions/kxloveislmention-26jul12

olives 2026-07-13 13:19:36

closed now

closed now

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:19:39

he goes to say exclusive and then cuts it off and rewords it

he goes to say exclusive and then cuts it off and rewords it

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:19:43

but the actual utterance is clearly ex-

but the actual utterance is clearly ex-

olives 2026-07-13 13:20:01

ankle....

ankle....

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:20:12

ankle didn't have context tho, this does

ankle didn't have context tho, this does

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:20:19

this one is clearly him going to say exclusive and shorterning

this one is clearly him going to say exclusive and shorterning

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:20:33

in ankle he was just saying nonsense that had nothing to do with ankles

in ankle he was just saying nonsense that had nothing to do with ankles

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:21:48

I know you guys all had your hearts moved by my awesome argument for ex Y

I know you guys all had your hearts moved by my awesome argument for ex Y

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:21:53

and now you can just res it Y off that with no drama!

and now you can just res it Y off that with no drama!

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:22:07

was I lied to?

was I lied to?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:23:19

and kalshi employees legally can't lie

and kalshi employees legally can't lie

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:23:47

although the new audio clip means it's not an unclear market anymore

although the new audio clip means it's not an unclear market anymore

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:23:50

so it wraps back to jake res

so it wraps back to jake res

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:23:58

just a clear Y!

just a clear Y!

cc 2026-07-13 13:24:23

i hear ks

i hear ks

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:24:27

I think you'd do fine willy

I think you'd do fine willy

miked255 2026-07-13 13:24:58

Yeah, its definitely more of an "s" sound than an "x" sound

Yeah, its definitely more of an "s" sound than an "x" sound

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:25:06

it's definitely an x

it's definitely an x

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:25:08

you're on drugs

you're on drugs

Keltset 2026-07-13 13:25:09

I think it sounded like exl- uhhh stutter tries to find the rest of the word to vocalize then brings it to completion exclusively... I have a hard time calling that ex, don't see it relate to the travel clip because it was different words entirely not gapped to completion? But meh lol Im sure theres no if a dude stutters rule in the book does it count as a seperate word when it seems clear he was saying the word he ultimately completed? I dunno lol

I think it sounded like exl- uhhh stutter tries to find the rest of the word to vocalize then brings it to completion exclusively... I have a hard time calling that ex, don't see it relate to the travel clip because it was different words entirely not gapped to completion? But meh lol Im sure theres no if a dude stutters rule in the book does it count as a seperate word when it seems clear he was saying the word he ultimately completed? I dunno lol

cc 2026-07-13 13:25:14

i mean hes def saying the start of exclusively

i mean hes def saying the start of exclusively

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:25:22

if you hear anything but e x there

if you hear anything but e x there

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:25:26

ngmi on audio cucks

ngmi on audio cucks

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:25:33

not saying it 100% counts

not saying it 100% counts

Keltset 2026-07-13 13:25:39

fun to listen to and try to reason with either way

fun to listen to and try to reason with either way

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:25:39

but it is clearly e followed by x and nothing else

but it is clearly e followed by x and nothing else

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:25:45

there's no c, no l, etc

there's no c, no l, etc

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:26:38

if you slow it down the hard k sound at the start of the x is even clearer

if you slow it down the hard k sound at the start of the x is even clearer

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:27:22

Surely spirit of the market disallows this

Surely spirit of the market disallows this

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:27:24

it's definitely an eks sound

it's definitely an eks sound

Lord Farquaad 2026-07-13 13:27:34

That's crazy Mitchie actually unironically bought up Ex Y just so he could try to cuck it and then ended up finding a completely separate instance to try to cuck of the same strike

That's crazy Mitchie actually unironically bought up Ex Y just so he could try to cuck it and then ended up finding a completely separate instance to try to cuck of the same strike

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:28:40

context makes it clearly ex-

context makes it clearly ex-

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:28:43

but it's short

but it's short

Seaborgium- 2026-07-13 13:29:16

Have you tried looking for examples in a physics textbook?

Have you tried looking for examples in a physics textbook?

miked255 2026-07-13 13:29:27

The travel comparison doesnt work here tbh...travel was a full word clearly said

The travel comparison doesnt work here tbh...travel was a full word clearly said

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:29:34

I think the best way to think about this is if you were on the no side and it got ruled yes, would you be super pissed

I think the best way to think about this is if you were on the no side and it got ruled yes, would you be super pissed

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:29:35

spirit should be Y off the other X hit anyway though

spirit should be Y off the other X hit anyway though

Lawrence of Andorra 2026-07-13 13:30:01

I’ve completely forgotten about that issue because this one is more interesting to me tbh

I’ve completely forgotten about that issue because this one is more interesting to me tbh

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:30:24

If it was open I think this would push it a decent bit

If it was open I think this would push it a decent bit

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:30:38

near or maybe a little above 10 cents at least imo

near or maybe a little above 10 cents at least imo

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:30:41

Would you think it was a bs ruling if you were on the no side

Would you think it was a bs ruling if you were on the no side

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:30:48

I would never be on the no side

I would never be on the no side

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:30:57

Because it should be Y without this anyway

Because it should be Y without this anyway

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:31:07

I think this contradicts your statement no?

I think this contradicts your statement no?

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:31:15

You wouldn’t be 50c no?

You wouldn’t be 50c no?

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:31:27

I'm saying I think market would price it at or above 10 cents

I'm saying I think market would price it at or above 10 cents

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:31:32

but probably not that much higher? maybe i'm wrong

but probably not that much higher? maybe i'm wrong

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:31:36

maybe it'd be like 20 idk

maybe it'd be like 20 idk

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:31:43

i'd be buying Y at 10 cents

i'd be buying Y at 10 cents

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:32:50

what do you think price would be

what do you think price would be

Mitchieboi 2026-07-13 13:32:57

i'm hesitant to say it's above 15

i'm hesitant to say it's above 15

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:33:08

Would you buy Y for 20

Would you buy Y for 20

ssssssssss 2026-07-13 13:33:50

If so I’d probably be willing to trade against that

If so I’d probably be willing to trade against that

Solstice 2026-07-13 19:10:16

Such an interesting find <@252554263841079296>. I wasn’t on this market so just seeing it. Good point on that travel / trailing by Doris from that NBA game. Logically it seems he’s cutting himself off from saying exclusive. I hear an L in real time but no L in your slowed down clip. We’ve never seen one of these with only 1 syllable that I can recall. “Travel” “Ankle”. Obvi clearer with 2. I still don’t understand why travel went Y. When that one happened I thought it would go NO because Ankle went NO, but has Ankle gone Y or never happens I would have thought Travel as Y as well. Seems like a stutter of some kind, not a word. Spirit of rules is NO. I’ve never bonded Ex NO on any LI mention market. I knew it was too easy to miss / have something come up. I’ve always thought people were crazy for doing so.

Such an interesting find <@252554263841079296>. I wasn’t on this market so just seeing it. Good point on that travel / trailing by Doris from that NBA game. Logically it seems he’s cutting himself off from saying exclusive. I hear an L in real time but no L in your slowed down clip. We’ve never seen one of these with only 1 syllable that I can recall. “Travel” “Ankle”. Obvi clearer with 2. I still don’t understand why travel went Y. When that one happened I thought it would go NO because Ankle went NO, but has Ankle gone Y or never happens I would have thought Travel as Y as well. Seems like a stutter of some kind, not a word. Spirit of rules is NO. I’ve never bonded Ex NO on any LI mention market. I knew it was too easy to miss / have something come up. I’ve always thought people were crazy for doing so.

Frib 2026-07-13 19:13:37

It doesn’t even sound like ex imo you can barely make that out

It doesn’t even sound like ex imo you can barely make that out

Frib 2026-07-13 19:13:46

Similar to ankle

Similar to ankle

Awwndrei 2026-07-13 19:26:08

Not mitchie still arguing for ex 😭

Not mitchie still arguing for ex 😭

Awwndrei 2026-07-13 19:26:14

He was obv going to say exclusive

He was obv going to say exclusive

Awwndrei 2026-07-13 19:26:23

Even worse argument than your first one

Even worse argument than your first one