I'm curious how the temp are deterined for the climate thing. Shortly before the hour mark, the hourly showed it dip for a moment to 67. The price on the 68 one tanked to 1 cent before the hour closed. The hourly showed it did bounce back up to 88 before the hour mark
I'm curious how the temp are deterined for the climate thing. Shortly before the hour mark, the hourly showed it dip for a moment to 67. The price on the 68 one tanked to 1 cent before the hour closed. The hourly showed it did bounce back up to 88 before the hour mark
The result is penidng, but I would expect if it tanked because people reading it dip for a moment at the 53m mark, then it should still win out for coming back to temp before the hour. Even if the price went to 1 cent
The result is penidng, but I would expect if it tanked because people reading it dip for a moment at the 53m mark, then it should still win out for coming back to temp before the hour. Even if the price went to 1 cent
That is the national weather service the climate things used to be based on. Not sure how the weather company decies thing
That is the national weather service the climate things used to be based on. Not sure how the weather company decies thing
Before the hour mark was reached, it's price went to 1 cent really fast somehow. Market manipluation?
Before the hour mark was reached, it's price went to 1 cent really fast somehow. Market manipluation?
<#871820262327341067> prob a better place to ask, a lot of smart weather ppl in there!
<#871820262327341067> prob a better place to ask, a lot of smart weather ppl in there!
Everyone is in the same place and would eel tedious repeating it. I'll see what the ruling is on it, since even if whatever causes things to instantly tank in price did that to it, the weather service showed those who zeroed it's price jumped the gun
Everyone is in the same place and would eel tedious repeating it. I'll see what the ruling is on it, since even if whatever causes things to instantly tank in price did that to it, the weather service showed those who zeroed it's price jumped the gun
It is mysterous how suddenly things drop to 1 cent really fast, before it should even be decided. If it's the temp at the end of the hour, to soon to call. If it'ss what it was most of the time, 88
It is mysterous how suddenly things drop to 1 cent really fast, before it should even be decided. If it's the temp at the end of the hour, to soon to call. If it'ss what it was most of the time, 88
im not very experienced w/ climate markets so take wut i'm saying w/ a grain of salt, but iirc some ppl have bots that get minute by minute updates or smth
im not very experienced w/ climate markets so take wut i'm saying w/ a grain of salt, but iirc some ppl have bots that get minute by minute updates or smth
How can people or system know 5 minutes before the end of the hour what the temp will be then
How can people or system know 5 minutes before the end of the hour what the temp will be then
i could be wrong on this, but it seems the market is going by the jourly :53 observations
i could be wrong on this, but it seems the market is going by the jourly :53 observations
Weather company graph versus national weather service. Weather company doesn't show it ever reached 78. The other clearly shows it was 78 at the hour mark. Is the weather company even legit?
Weather company graph versus national weather service. Weather company doesn't show it ever reached 78. The other clearly shows it was 78 at the hour mark. Is the weather company even legit?
I don't mind taking huge losses when I was wrong, but I was right. The temp was exactly as I expect
I don't mind taking huge losses when I was wrong, but I was right. The temp was exactly as I expect
Now since we have "weather company", who we've used for climate temp data untl now is seen as invalid compare to their simpllistic who knows what method
Now since we have "weather company", who we've used for climate temp data untl now is seen as invalid compare to their simpllistic who knows what method
Now I feel the temp is just chosen random
Now I feel the temp is just chosen random
THis should resolve to my favor
THis should resolve to my favor
The system brinigng things down to 1 cent when it plans to give a bad judgement, makes me not have my hopes high
The system brinigng things down to 1 cent when it plans to give a bad judgement, makes me not have my hopes high
Weather company could be more transparent with their data, where can see moment by moment tenp like the other
Weather company could be more transparent with their data, where can see moment by moment tenp like the other
Just the past day in trades, lost way bigger amounts than that in single trades which have went wrong. No complaints there, if I lose $600 and was wrong. The temp was as I predicteed
Just the past day in trades, lost way bigger amounts than that in single trades which have went wrong. No complaints there, if I lose $600 and was wrong. The temp was as I predicteed
I lost $600 on another weather thing last night, not worth mentioing. Since I just bet without paying attention to the weather. Not worth mentioning, since stuff like that happens when you bet without being aware of the actual weather. This annoys more, since I was right even if a way smaller amount
I lost $600 on another weather thing last night, not worth mentioing. Since I just bet without paying attention to the weather. Not worth mentioning, since stuff like that happens when you bet without being aware of the actual weather. This annoys more, since I was right even if a way smaller amount
Now I feel paying attention to the weather doesn't matter so much, since weather company randomly pulls a number
Now I feel paying attention to the weather doesn't matter so much, since weather company randomly pulls a number
Which raises the question, how did other people know to tank the price 5 minutes ahead of the hour if there is no data avaible to know what they're going to beforehanf
Which raises the question, how did other people know to tank the price 5 minutes ahead of the hour if there is no data avaible to know what they're going to beforehanf
Overall, this hourly weather thing is good; if it used relailble data & was more transparent on how it decides
Overall, this hourly weather thing is good; if it used relailble data & was more transparent on how it decides
They did resolve it as a no, so national weather service which has been used; no longer considered credible compare to black box weather conpany mystery numbers
They did resolve it as a no, so national weather service which has been used; no longer considered credible compare to black box weather conpany mystery numbers
If I were to make a suggestion, drop teh weather company asap
If I were to make a suggestion, drop teh weather company asap
More transparency in the mechanic behind things instanlty dropping to 1 cent, before anyone has time to know what happened or even is possible for a result yet. If it's the temp at the end of the hour, why was it tanked 5 min before the hour ended? It's not just normal traders who can instantly drop the market like that
More transparency in the mechanic behind things instanlty dropping to 1 cent, before anyone has time to know what happened or even is possible for a result yet. If it's the temp at the end of the hour, why was it tanked 5 min before the hour ended? It's not just normal traders who can instantly drop the market like that
Goes to prove, it's not the temp at the end of the hour used. The temp at the end doesn't matter, they decide before it's over
Goes to prove, it's not the temp at the end of the hour used. The temp at the end doesn't matter, they decide before it's over
Unless they leak what they are going to say to a ton of traders ahead of time, it's them preemptly tanking it when they decide they are going to resolve it as a no
Unless they leak what they are going to say to a ton of traders ahead of time, it's them preemptly tanking it when they decide they are going to resolve it as a no
Maybe the incentives will balance it out on that one. Doesn't make me want to play to bet without relaying on that after what happened
Maybe the incentives will balance it out on that one. Doesn't make me want to play to bet without relaying on that after what happened