Markets team is incompetent so they will assume that it being 1c means the market unambiguously decided that the game was over before it was said or something. They price resolve everything just like Ex. Scam all day if unpaused it would go Y clearly
Markets team is incompetent so they will assume that it being 1c means the market unambiguously decided that the game was over before it was said or something. They price resolve everything just like Ex. Scam all day if unpaused it would go Y clearly
What broadcast does kalshi base it off of?
What broadcast does kalshi base it off of?
fox
fox
i'm not on Y because there's no argument
i'm not on Y because there's no argument
I think if this was still open it might go 50/50????
I think if this was still open it might go 50/50????
I think you can’t ex post facto so well he can tell he was out or caught the ball so it was out then
I think you can’t ex post facto so well he can tell he was out or caught the ball so it was out then
true, that's why I have 200k mentions pnl
true, that's why I have 200k mentions pnl
The ref could make an incorrect call
The ref could make an incorrect call
https://klipy.com/gifs/braindead-cat
https://klipy.com/gifs/braindead-cat
There is actually a very good Y arguement, and I got stuck holding some N on the pause
There is actually a very good Y arguement, and I got stuck holding some N on the pause
I have an idea
I have an idea
and ask him to unpause it
and ask him to unpause it
7.01(g)(2) — Visiting team ahead: the game ends when the ninth inning is completed — i.e., the third out of the bottom of the 9th.
5.09(b)(4): a runner is out when "he is tagged, when the ball is alive, while off his base."
Rule 5.09(a)(10): the batter is out when, "after a third strike or after he hits a fair ball, he or first base is tagged before he touches first base."
Rule chain is N
7.01(g)(2) — Visiting team ahead: the game ends when the ninth inning is completed — i.e., the third out of the bottom of the 9th.
5.09(b)(4): a runner is out when "he is tagged, when the ball is alive, while off his base."
Rule 5.09(a)(10): the batter is out when, "after a third strike or after he hits a fair ball, he or first base is tagged before he touches first base."
Rule chain is N
who's selling at 97
who's selling at 97
the batter is out when the tag occurs
the batter is out when the tag occurs
48k
48k
not when the umpire signals
not when the umpire signals
Wtf
Wtf
and the game ends upon 3rd out
and the game ends upon 3rd out
nah thas crazy tho
nah thas crazy tho
fifa congress wants to field a candidate to run against Infantinno in the 2027 fifa presidential eleciton they've said
fifa congress wants to field a candidate to run against Infantinno in the 2027 fifa presidential eleciton they've said
so in a case like this where it's immediately confirmed out, the game retroactively ended on the out itself.
If it goes to review, it obviously continues
so in a case like this where it's immediately confirmed out, the game retroactively ended on the out itself.
If it goes to review, it obviously continues
Bro how can a game retroactively end
Bro how can a game retroactively end
and the word isn't said till after ump begins signal so irrelevant anyway
and the word isn't said till after ump begins signal so irrelevant anyway
what if the ump was signaling for safe
what if the ump was signaling for safe
this is the ref when the word starts being said
this is the ref when the word starts being said
btw
btw
that seems inconclusive to me
that seems inconclusive to me
unless hes at the end of his motion
unless hes at the end of his motion
If we’re taking pics of the refs arm saying “out”, I want the 1c side
If we’re taking pics of the refs arm saying “out”, I want the 1c side
low key....its exact same time
low key....its exact same time
but its N
but its N
yes
yes
If market was open this would be like 92 - 8 with a slow bleed and retail crying in ideas
If market was open this would be like 92 - 8 with a slow bleed and retail crying in ideas
It’s very clear imo
It’s very clear imo
Bs I would slam it
Bs I would slam it
probably this
probably this
Most of us would
Most of us would
Come on
Come on
a runner is officially out as soon as the conditions for the out are met (e.g., a tag or a force out), regardless of whether the umpire makes a physical signal. The umpire’s verbal "Out!" and hand signal are simply ways to communicate that ruling to the players, fans, and official scorers.
a runner is officially out as soon as the conditions for the out are met (e.g., a tag or a force out), regardless of whether the umpire makes a physical signal. The umpire’s verbal "Out!" and hand signal are simply ways to communicate that ruling to the players, fans, and official scorers.
nah
nah
i wouldnt buy over 3c tbh
i wouldnt buy over 3c tbh
we don't even know that word started before end and finished after end counts
we don't even know that word started before end and finished after end counts
it probably doesn't
it probably doesn't
i have an idea
i have an idea
I'd do it at 5c to counterparty's charity of choice if interested.
I'd do it at 5c to counterparty's charity of choice if interested.
they gotta stop pausing so quick
they gotta stop pausing so quick
I hold 1c Y's
I hold 1c Y's
at present
at present
I think spirit of the market is game is over when the 1st baseman catches the ball...but if it was like close and got reviewed...then the commentary would still count (i think?)...honestly need more clear rules for almost all sports for "end of game"
I think spirit of the market is game is over when the 1st baseman catches the ball...but if it was like close and got reviewed...then the commentary would still count (i think?)...honestly need more clear rules for almost all sports for "end of game"
The umpire’s signal is the confirmation/recognition/ruling of the out, but the game-ending event is still the out itself.
The umpire’s signal is the confirmation/recognition/ruling of the out, but the game-ending event is still the out itself.
yes
yes
none of this matters
none of this matters
bc its paused
bc its paused
this happens in many sports
this happens in many sports
and resolving N
and resolving N
How about this game ends when they say goodbye everyone game is over and everyone gets off the field
How about this game ends when they say goodbye everyone game is over and everyone gets off the field
e.g. NFL game is over when ball hits the ground on the final play, not when the ref runs up and signals incomplete
e.g. NFL game is over when ball hits the ground on the final play, not when the ref runs up and signals incomplete
but if it's under review, continues
but if it's under review, continues
no reason
no reason
But is an out an out until is has been confirmed? Does anyone hear a tree falling in the woods?
But is an out an out until is has been confirmed? Does anyone hear a tree falling in the woods?
yes, if the play went to review then commentary would count up to the point where the ump announces the result of the review and ends the game
yes, if the play went to review then commentary would count up to the point where the ump announces the result of the review and ends the game
Yep 😂 takes 1 second to make clear rules but they never will
Yep 😂 takes 1 second to make clear rules but they never will
what do you mean! It's obviously-
what do you mean! It's obviously-
(the reason is i wanna be skinny szn)
(the reason is i wanna be skinny szn)
https://klipy.com/gifs/changes-changed
https://klipy.com/gifs/changes-changed
So wdyt should happen if they pause for 10 seconds to signal but there is no actual review
So wdyt should happen if they pause for 10 seconds to signal but there is no actual review
Say on a hail mary
Say on a hail mary
Exactly
Exactly
the out isnt official until its ruled
the out isnt official until its ruled
foid doesnt help sorry jackson
foid doesnt help sorry jackson
good thing he signals out before it's said anyway
good thing he signals out before it's said anyway
debatable!
debatable!
Wut if the announcers have a delayed audio feed??
Wut if the announcers have a delayed audio feed??
Uh. Yeah. If the umpire hasn’t decided, wouldn’t it be under review? It’s not like a clear incompletion in football, which is either clear or halted for video review. Idg how it’s analogous.
Uh. Yeah. If the umpire hasn’t decided, wouldn’t it be under review? It’s not like a clear incompletion in football, which is either clear or halted for video review. Idg how it’s analogous.
it should be over after the final swing
it should be over after the final swing
i see
i see
in the spirit of the greenbox
in the spirit of the greenbox
hard to say - like if refs come together to discuss and then make a ruling...
But that would probably have a review anyway.
I think the actual bar used for res is "if signaled immediately, it's on the play, if not signaled immediately it is on signal/end of review"
hard to say - like if refs come together to discuss and then make a ruling...
But that would probably have a review anyway.
I think the actual bar used for res is "if signaled immediately, it's on the play, if not signaled immediately it is on signal/end of review"
The out isnt confirmed clearly at the moment they said shut out the score isn’t finalized. Technically at that moment the play could have been challenged or anything we don’t know. So the game isn’t officially over until score is final.
The out isnt confirmed clearly at the moment they said shut out the score isn’t finalized. Technically at that moment the play could have been challenged or anything we don’t know. So the game isn’t officially over until score is final.
🙂
🙂
yes
yes
Man. That was wild we sat next to each other courtsiding Bernie.
Man. That was wild we sat next to each other courtsiding Bernie.
the call was unambiguously clear
the call was unambiguously clear
no "review"
no "review"
Shutout N damn that was fast
Shutout N damn that was fast
No this was for if it went to a swingoff (which you wouldn't have even known existed until after the game ended!!!) hah
No this was for if it went to a swingoff (which you wouldn't have even known existed until after the game ended!!!) hah
u cudda gotten more
u cudda gotten more
It could easily be incorrectly called e.g.
It could easily be incorrectly called e.g.
🤝
🤝
so excited
so excited
come here
come here
come to kalshicord
come to kalshicord
;p
;p
you should take this up with the MLB rule writers, who said that it's over when ball hits glove
you should take this up with the MLB rule writers, who said that it's over when ball hits glove
proof by snark
proof by snark
How would you define the call - perhaps the point at which the determination becomes clear? (So not necessarily at the beginning of any movement)
How would you define the call - perhaps the point at which the determination becomes clear? (So not necessarily at the beginning of any movement)
someone warned him about the shutout strike a few hours ago... but didn't expect this
someone warned him about the shutout strike a few hours ago... but didn't expect this
That's akin to saying Galarraga game ended because the ball hit the glove IMO
That's akin to saying Galarraga game ended because the ball hit the glove IMO
https://klipy.com/gifs/psycho-shower
https://klipy.com/gifs/psycho-shower
What if ball hits glove, he’s clearly out, but I the umpire call him safe? And then they review it and he’s out? Then what?
What if ball hits glove, he’s clearly out, but I the umpire call him safe? And then they review it and he’s out? Then what?
It's technically the call of what happened, not what physically happened
It's technically the call of what happened, not what physically happened
Turns out I was right, just not in the way i thought i would be lol
Turns out I was right, just not in the way i thought i would be lol
then it's a review and commentary counts
then it's a review and commentary counts
then it goes Y
then it goes Y
because its in clear ump review
because its in clear ump review
But ball hit glove! Final out!
But ball hit glove! Final out!
then the game hasnt ended
then the game hasnt ended
I totally agree
I totally agree
theres no clear cut way of being right here under the current ruleset
theres no clear cut way of being right here under the current ruleset
if it goes to review, then commentary during the review counts up till the ump announces the final decision ending the game. the rules do cover that
if it goes to review, then commentary during the review counts up till the ump announces the final decision ending the game. the rules do cover that
kalshi rules say commentary stops counting upon conclusion of game OR conclusion of review, if a review occurs
MLB rules says game ended when ball hit glove, and there was no review so that is when commentary stops counting
kalshi rules say commentary stops counting upon conclusion of game OR conclusion of review, if a review occurs
MLB rules says game ended when ball hit glove, and there was no review so that is when commentary stops counting
this is all going in the supreme court case when they ban prediction markets
this is all going in the supreme court case when they ban prediction markets
Yeah this is correct, you can make a pretty equal arguement either way (but lawrence point of what if you cant see the ump maybe sways it?)
Yeah this is correct, you can make a pretty equal arguement either way (but lawrence point of what if you cant see the ump maybe sways it?)
just a clear N anyway
just a clear N anyway
it should end on the umpire signal or right when the umpire says [runner is] "out" on a replay for last out
it should end on the umpire signal or right when the umpire says [runner is] "out" on a replay for last out
its that easy
its that easy
he unambiguously signals the out prior to beginning of speech, and completes the signal before the end of speech
he unambiguously signals the out prior to beginning of speech, and completes the signal before the end of speech
But following that line of thought pretty quickly devolves into absurdity
But following that line of thought pretty quickly devolves into absurdity
if signal came in way later then it'd be more interesting
if signal came in way later then it'd be more interesting
but there's really no cuck here
but there's really no cuck here
Its really not and I got stuck holding some N on the pause
Its really not and I got stuck holding some N on the pause
it really is
it really is
lmfao
lmfao
it's not that hard, the end of game is retroactive
it's not that hard, the end of game is retroactive
I used a promo when signing up
I used a promo when signing up
like
like
Yeah. This is the scenario I mean. Like. Clear delay.
Yeah. This is the scenario I mean. Like. Clear delay.
if a signal is immediately replaced by another
if a signal is immediately replaced by another
then obviously you go with that
then obviously you go with that
Dms
Dms
and the end of game is retroactive as necessary
and the end of game is retroactive as necessary
But why isn’t it retroactive when the umpire makes a blatantly wrong call? Final out obviously occurred. There just wasn’t an out signal yet.
But why isn’t it retroactive when the umpire makes a blatantly wrong call? Final out obviously occurred. There just wasn’t an out signal yet.
but again, it doesn't matter because it's after signal anyway
but again, it doesn't matter because it's after signal anyway
I disagree. Everyone knows this about NFL. A football game is never over if this occurs.
I disagree. Everyone knows this about NFL. A football game is never over if this occurs.
Powerade or Lenovo tmrw to make back the allstar game loss? haha
Powerade or Lenovo tmrw to make back the allstar game loss? haha
I don’t get this guy
I don’t get this guy
i think its becuz i placed a trade
i think its becuz i placed a trade
It makes no sense to say it’s retroactive for out signal but not safe signal. Either the game ended on the out or it didn’t. I’m not even talking Kalshi rules, I’m talking about MLBs end game definition simply for the love of autism
It makes no sense to say it’s retroactive for out signal but not safe signal. Either the game ended on the out or it didn’t. I’m not even talking Kalshi rules, I’m talking about MLBs end game definition simply for the love of autism
What is your current understanding of when this game ended?
What is your current understanding of when this game ended?
Appreciate you checking <@1417220501407011020> cheers
Appreciate you checking <@1417220501407011020> cheers
Slow it down, says shutout before/maybe at the very start of the out signal
Slow it down, says shutout before/maybe at the very start of the out signal
prolly why
prolly why
How does rig make income? I do not understand this person. I’d like to know.
How does rig make income? I do not understand this person. I’d like to know.
ump's arms definitely move first
ump's arms definitely move first
i did
i did
the sssssss- starts as he's moving his arms to the out position
the sssssss- starts as he's moving his arms to the out position
but i already fullported but i lost 4$ cuz i immediately cashedout
but i already fullported but i lost 4$ cuz i immediately cashedout
and then he's clearly signalled out by the time it becomes recognizable as "shut"
and then he's clearly signalled out by the time it becomes recognizable as "shut"
still wudnt let me withdraw
still wudnt let me withdraw
Yeah, its actually very close, might be at the same time actually which makes it all even funnier
Yeah, its actually very close, might be at the same time actually which makes it all even funnier
yes, if it was reviewed the game "continues" for the purposes of this market
yes, if it was reviewed the game "continues" for the purposes of this market
to the league, they don't care about the exact second the game was over
to the league, they don't care about the exact second the game was over
to them, the game retroactively ended the moment the final out was made
to them, the game retroactively ended the moment the final out was made
whether it was reviewed or not
whether it was reviewed or not
isn't this just the "if a tree falls in the woods" question?
isn't this just the "if a tree falls in the woods" question?
even if it WAS reviewed, the game "ended" at that moment
even if it WAS reviewed, the game "ended" at that moment
No that question is dumb, of course it makes a sound
No that question is dumb, of course it makes a sound
Why does it matter if you think the game is clearly over or not, an official needs to signal
Why does it matter if you think the game is clearly over or not, an official needs to signal
right and the game ends when the final out is made
right and the game ends when the final out is made
Oh. For sure. Yes. I’m totally unconcerned w that. Ppl seem to think it’s p clear.
Oh. For sure. Yes. I’m totally unconcerned w that. Ppl seem to think it’s p clear.
But. In both my examples. The final out is made?
But. In both my examples. The final out is made?
i see thank you! so if you put in a sell limit order for 10 yes contracts at 90 - 10 shares will be posted on the ask at 90 for yes *and* 10 shares will be posted on the bid at 10 for no?
i see thank you! so if you put in a sell limit order for 10 yes contracts at 90 - 10 shares will be posted on the ask at 90 for yes *and* 10 shares will be posted on the bid at 10 for no?
but if he never signalled then the game implicitly continues in perpetuity, right?
but if he never signalled then the game implicitly continues in perpetuity, right?
this channel, and mention markets in general, regularly devolve into silly rules debates. its just the culture here
this channel, and mention markets in general, regularly devolve into silly rules debates. its just the culture here
Ina a perfect world yes it shouldn’t matter how obvious the play is
Ina a perfect world yes it shouldn’t matter how obvious the play is
this is why we shouldn't live resolve
this is why we shouldn't live resolve
netflix had way more fair value than this
netflix had way more fair value than this
Im not sure what you are saying lol, i think you can make a pretty equal arguement either way...game ends when 1st baseman catches ball or game ends when up officially signals the out
Im not sure what you are saying lol, i think you can make a pretty equal arguement either way...game ends when 1st baseman catches ball or game ends when up officially signals the out
the umpire signals the out
the umpire signals the out
But this is a pointless debate since shut out wasn’t finished until after the signal was clear
But this is a pointless debate since shut out wasn’t finished until after the signal was clear
but it happens when the player is tagged
but it happens when the player is tagged
or base is touched
or base is touched
in an abstract sense, i'm fine with that conceptually
in an abstract sense, i'm fine with that conceptually
it's just not relevant here
it's just not relevant here
hypothetically i agree
hypothetically i agree
because the game ended before the signal, and even if it did end on the signal it's still N
because the game ended before the signal, and even if it did end on the signal it's still N
What if it “happens” but the ump signals safe. Why does it matter what you think
What if it “happens” but the ump signals safe. Why does it matter what you think
Ok, but what if it was a closer call and wasnt obvious that the dude was out????
Ok, but what if it was a closer call and wasnt obvious that the dude was out????
https://klipy.com/gifs/trailer-park-boys-the-way-she-goes
https://klipy.com/gifs/trailer-park-boys-the-way-she-goes
Simple just make the rules that everything counts until the final score is displayed on the broadcast. As in final being showed next to the score
Simple just make the rules that everything counts until the final score is displayed on the broadcast. As in final being showed next to the score
If there’s no argument in Mentions at 1157p, then something is out of whack
If there’s no argument in Mentions at 1157p, then something is out of whack
then this would be a fun argument 🙂
then this would be a fun argument 🙂
If it was REALLY close
If it was REALLY close
to where it genuinely could go either way
to where it genuinely could go either way
I would probably favor trading Y for vibe reasons
I would probably favor trading Y for vibe reasons
but I don't think we've had a cross-boundary word ruling yet so who fcking knows
but I don't think we've had a cross-boundary word ruling yet so who fcking knows
Same, id be worried for you about all the Ns you are holding 😉
Same, id be worried for you about all the Ns you are holding 😉
i don't have all that much
i don't have all that much
I bought a bunch sub 50
I bought a bunch sub 50
but I didn't fill much after game
but I didn't fill much after game
If a reasonable person picked at random resolved this it would go Y
If a reasonable person picked at random resolved this it would go Y
holy liquidity
holy liquidity
but if it was open I'd be willing to buy up to 98 on this
but if it was open I'd be willing to buy up to 98 on this
because it's a clear N
because it's a clear N
the out happens when he gets tagged out 💀 I think its weird with how kalshi does rules. If a guy gets tagged out and its under review and later (whether call is confirmed or overturned) after review they decide it was in fact an out, the game still ended when the out happened.
the out happens when he gets tagged out 💀 I think its weird with how kalshi does rules. If a guy gets tagged out and its under review and later (whether call is confirmed or overturned) after review they decide it was in fact an out, the game still ended when the out happened.
lol whatever forceout same thing
lol whatever forceout same thing
They shouldn't pause the controversial strikes so quickly
They shouldn't pause the controversial strikes so quickly
yes, this is true. In this case, the kalshi rules explicitly decouple the end of commentary from the "end of game" for that reason lmao
yes, this is true. In this case, the kalshi rules explicitly decouple the end of commentary from the "end of game" for that reason lmao
well the out at 1st is technically a put out not force
well the out at 1st is technically a put out not force
wait lowkey and on top of this it is 100% no
wait lowkey and on top of this it is 100% no
This is not correct tho, the game would still be "not over" if it was in review and commentary would count
This is not correct tho, the game would still be "not over" if it was in review and commentary would count
the game technically ended when out was recorded but we dont know that yet
the game technically ended when out was recorded but we dont know that yet
the game would be retroactively over at the point the out happened, even if it was reviewed
Kalshi rules still have commentary count despite this by decoupling from the "end of game" moment
the game would be retroactively over at the point the out happened, even if it was reviewed
Kalshi rules still have commentary count despite this by decoupling from the "end of game" moment
agreed
agreed
if they didn't decouple, then review would not count
if they didn't decouple, then review would not count
they added that clause
they added that clause
to prevent retroactively having commentary count/not count based on the outcome of the review
to prevent retroactively having commentary count/not count based on the outcome of the review
would make it impossible to trade mentions during the review period
would make it impossible to trade mentions during the review period
In this case the game would end after the official review
In this case the game would end after the official review
the out happened we just didnt get it until the ump's mechanics trasncribed it but the out had happened, the mechanics are delayed to just let the official scorer know
the out happened we just didnt get it until the ump's mechanics trasncribed it but the out had happened, the mechanics are delayed to just let the official scorer know
this is correct
this is correct
just my interpretation
just my interpretation
There’s no escape
There’s no escape
you could be like "the out happened technically" even if he was called safe and play got reviewed and called out. the game ended when the out was recorded even if ump made the mistake which is why kalshi adds the clause of the review to avoid this situation
you could be like "the out happened technically" even if he was called safe and play got reviewed and called out. the game ended when the out was recorded even if ump made the mistake which is why kalshi adds the clause of the review to avoid this situation
yeah in that case it would continue counting
yeah in that case it would continue counting
These answers are satisfactory from mitchie and bumper. I still contend it’s dumb af to say the game ended minutes before the teams know who won the game but hey it’s their leagues.
These answers are satisfactory from mitchie and bumper. I still contend it’s dumb af to say the game ended minutes before the teams know who won the game but hey it’s their leagues.
if rules said "commentary stops counting when final out is recorded" without the review clause, the final out was recorded in that moment but not confirmed/reviewed until later
if rules said "commentary stops counting when final out is recorded" without the review clause, the final out was recorded in that moment but not confirmed/reviewed until later
You shouldn’t be bonding markets unless you are absolutely 110% certain it is decided imho
You shouldn’t be bonding markets unless you are absolutely 110% certain it is decided imho
the game ends on the final play of the game. if the final play takes time for the refs to figure out, that doesn't change when the final play was made
the game ends on the final play of the game. if the final play takes time for the refs to figure out, that doesn't change when the final play was made
Corden not on?
Corden not on?
Same thing with people bonding total goal markets for soccer on a goal but then it gets reviewed. That’s risk you take picking up those contracts before it’s 110%
Same thing with people bonding total goal markets for soccer on a goal but then it gets reviewed. That’s risk you take picking up those contracts before it’s 110%
Yeah. And that’s cool. I’m just saying. Wouldn’t it be weird af if the umpire just stood there not making a call for an hour while everyone kept commentating but also the game was already over? Won’t ever happen unless I become an umpire in which case I’m doing this first chance I get. Not for insidering. I would never. Just for the lols.
Yeah. And that’s cool. I’m just saying. Wouldn’t it be weird af if the umpire just stood there not making a call for an hour while everyone kept commentating but also the game was already over? Won’t ever happen unless I become an umpire in which case I’m doing this first chance I get. Not for insidering. I would never. Just for the lols.
how many beers in
how many beers in
but the rule in soccer isn't "score counts when the scoreboard updates". my point is that would be a dumb rule
but the rule in soccer isn't "score counts when the scoreboard updates". my point is that would be a dumb rule
0
0
This is me, all the time. My wife somehow manages.
This is me, all the time. My wife somehow manages.
lmao
lmao
i'm the same
i'm the same
What was Shutout trading at before it got paused?
What was Shutout trading at before it got paused?
it just seemed different for you
it just seemed different for you
97 N
97 N
Wow
Wow
big walls
big walls
it was an N farm
it was an N farm
big N bids at 97
big N bids at 97
it still is an N farm lmfao
it still is an N farm lmfao
96 95
96 95
yeah
yeah
Big Y bids at 95c
Big Y bids at 95c
100k Azuul wall
100k Azuul wall
Brain is fried. I’m done trading fr for the day. But this was a fun mental game
Brain is fried. I’m done trading fr for the day. But this was a fun mental game
I would've happily filled like 30k on this in low 90s
I would've happily filled like 30k on this in low 90s
<@252554263841079296> how far did price fall?
<@252554263841079296> how far did price fall?
for N
for N
it bonded
it bonded
and then unbonded to 97
and then unbonded to 97
did it ever dip below 90?
did it ever dip below 90?
no
no
it never dipped below 97
it never dipped below 97
wow
wow
It was at 10c
It was at 10c
For y
For y
if open it probably would be at 90
if open it probably would be at 90
or 92
or 92
N got to 88 i thought. but maybe not.
N got to 88 i thought. but maybe not.
was trying!
was trying!
I got these Ns filled just after it was said and started bouncing around
I got these Ns filled just after it was said and started bouncing around
they should really keep this stuff open all night. would be so fun
they should really keep this stuff open all night. would be so fun
There is zero reason to keep it open after said event is over
There is zero reason to keep it open after said event is over
6 months ago this would have gotten left open all night and we'd be aruging and trading back and forth late into the night
6 months ago this would have gotten left open all night and we'd be aruging and trading back and forth late into the night
it’s called ~~fees~~ price discovery
it’s called ~~fees~~ price discovery
but its probably healthier for the market overall to pause on game end
but its probably healthier for the market overall to pause on game end
not being precise with logical objective explanations PROTECTS price manipulation Willy. Transparency is an expectation of a CFTC regulated exchange - black boxing subjective criteria is at a minimum against the spirit of regulated markets
not being precise with logical objective explanations PROTECTS price manipulation Willy. Transparency is an expectation of a CFTC regulated exchange - black boxing subjective criteria is at a minimum against the spirit of regulated markets
Nah, they should give us 1 hour to fight every game out
Nah, they should give us 1 hour to fight every game out
it's on
it's on
man icl this game with the volume it did was so good
man icl this game with the volume it did was so good
holy crap
holy crap
at least make it something uniform, i cant stand when its instant and then 30m elsewhere and then overnight elsewhere
at least make it something uniform, i cant stand when its instant and then 30m elsewhere and then overnight elsewhere
YES
YES
im cool with whatever they do just consistent
im cool with whatever they do just consistent
These mlb announcers get volume too now?
These mlb announcers get volume too now?
https://klipy.com/gifs/mundo-feliz-onetreehsll
https://klipy.com/gifs/mundo-feliz-onetreehsll
Just never pause
Just never pause
mentions if we had a 60 min countdown to pause
mentions if we had a 60 min countdown to pause
Resolve or keep open
Resolve or keep open
all star game right
all star game right
The transparency is that it is determined at the sole discretion of the exchange.
The transparency is that it is determined at the sole discretion of the exchange.
Oh yeah. Huh. Who cares about that
Oh yeah. Huh. Who cares about that
let bonders provide a service and keep open ami right SJ
let bonders provide a service and keep open ami right SJ
As explained in the rules contract.
As explained in the rules contract.
true i just liked the EV
true i just liked the EV
I just rewatched the prestige
I just rewatched the prestige
i watched all of love island and i come away saying its so dookie even tho i made thousands on ts
i watched all of love island and i come away saying its so dookie even tho i made thousands on ts
There is no further discussion to be had. Kalshi determined the fair value, and its final.
There is no further discussion to be had. Kalshi determined the fair value, and its final.
Anyone like that movie
Anyone like that movie
what rank is corden picking tonight for the audience game
what rank is corden picking tonight for the audience game
yeah just make a rule. pause a market a certain amount of time after the event ends
yeah just make a rule. pause a market a certain amount of time after the event ends
That's hard
That's hard
genuinely a good idea instead of random pausing
genuinely a good idea instead of random pausing
Cant do it for all markets
Cant do it for all markets
clearly the game officially ended when kalshi paused the market, therefore the strikes were still live
clearly the game officially ended when kalshi paused the market, therefore the strikes were still live
agreed bring volume to mlb mentions
agreed bring volume to mlb mentions
why not?
why not?
"To determine Fair Market Value, Kalshi considers the most recent stable traded price of the market immediately prior to the relevant announcement, along with trading activity, order book information, and relevant external market data."
"There is no further discussion to be had. Kalshi determined the fair value, and its final."
Why bother defining Fair Market Value if the attitude is simply "Because we say so"?
"To determine Fair Market Value, Kalshi considers the most recent stable traded price of the market immediately prior to the relevant announcement, along with trading activity, order book information, and relevant external market data."
"There is no further discussion to be had. Kalshi determined the fair value, and its final."
Why bother defining Fair Market Value if the attitude is simply "Because we say so"?
I'm not sure if those are the rules in the contract - i only copied what you wrote
I'm not sure if those are the rules in the contract - i only copied what you wrote
https://x.com/pmwatchus/status/2077240297541558565?s=46&t=IB3gOEgL6fLiKQ4uruCgLw
https://x.com/pmwatchus/status/2077240297541558565?s=46&t=IB3gOEgL6fLiKQ4uruCgLw
You can just do off book trades via API?
You can just do off book trades via API?
Azteca strike for Argentina game would be dope
Azteca strike for Argentina game would be dope
Imagine the panic fomo at the end of a cuck
Imagine the panic fomo at the end of a cuck
No volume
No volume
<@104624321053331456> what's your take
<@104624321053331456> what's your take
on shutout
on shutout
Y or N?
Y or N?
and <@849119907077292073>
and <@849119907077292073>
I don’t have context
I don’t have context
Im not trading right now
Im not trading right now
Im half asleep tbh
Im half asleep tbh
up or down
up or down
I defined it as a courtesy to help you understand some factors that may go into it.
The contract specifies that fair market value is determined at the sole discretion of the exchange.
I defined it as a courtesy to help you understand some factors that may go into it.
The contract specifies that fair market value is determined at the sole discretion of the exchange.
First shutout is what i hear
First shutout is what i hear
Idunno tbh
Idunno tbh
no
no
it's whether it was before the end of the game or not
it's whether it was before the end of the game or not
I don’t ever watch baseball
I don’t ever watch baseball
for the finals
for the finals
Not a baseball knower
Not a baseball knower
So its entirely subjective at the whims of the markets team - and they weigh post news trading activity in some part as a determing factor. Do I have that part right?
So its entirely subjective at the whims of the markets team - and they weigh post news trading activity in some part as a determing factor. Do I have that part right?
Have you figured out what an alleyoop is yet??? 😉
Have you figured out what an alleyoop is yet??? 😉
olivbot doesnt need to know bro
olivbot doesnt need to know bro
I say subjective since its black boxed and not allowed to be scrutinized. It might be calculated with objective factors but 'who knows' right?
I say subjective since its black boxed and not allowed to be scrutinized. It might be calculated with objective factors but 'who knows' right?
this 0.01 bot is putting me on megatilt
this 0.01 bot is putting me on megatilt
nice react <@277656076147752970>
nice react <@277656076147752970>
hit em with the robot
hit em with the robot
This is not a discussion.
This is not a discussion.
If you have an issue you can reach out to support.
If you have an issue you can reach out to support.
we must ban bots! bad bot boy
we must ban bots! bad bot boy
Let's all move to PredictIt
Let's all move to PredictIt
should move to plzjake
should move to plzjake
I hear ADI Predictstreet is where everyone is now
I hear ADI Predictstreet is where everyone is now
Might as well just trade there tbh
Might as well just trade there tbh
Give Jake 1% fees
Give Jake 1% fees
Cut the middleman
Cut the middleman
lol
lol
jakementions™
jakementions™
jake makes a google sheet that we can fill in to trade
jake makes a google sheet that we can fill in to trade
Wow, price collapsing in the after hours market
Wow, price collapsing in the after hours market
Idk why I have a dvd drive
Idk why I have a dvd drive
Damn I got priced out
Damn I got priced out
lmao
lmao
the funny thing <@807477657867649095>
the funny thing <@807477657867649095>
is the ump isn't even on screen when "shutout" finishes being said
is the ump isn't even on screen when "shutout" finishes being said
i wish they'd resolve for all star game
i wish they'd resolve for all star game
No reason to talk about him bond No
No reason to talk about him bond No
Selling dollars for 1¢
Selling dollars for 1¢
bruh I left my discord window open afk and my mom walked in to this
bruh I left my discord window open afk and my mom walked in to this