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美国世界杯决赛收视率数据获取延迟及来源争议

2026-07-23 · Polymarket · 43 条相关讨论

Kurtis 2026-07-22 22:43:04

Nielsen is unlikely to report it on their website because their website is mainly just for enticing other businesses to work with them and also because the numbers typically stay between them and the buyer, obviously the numbers have been released to the public now so they could put it on their website if they wanted to but their website is pretty inactive and there's no demand for these numbers so they probably won't. Persons 2+, average total viewers is the standard demographic they use, they never record persons under 2 years old in their data so the numbers we're seeing reported now, if they aren't the "Persons 2+, average total viewers", (99.9% chance they are) then the real "Persons 2+, average total viewers" would be even higher.

Nielsen is unlikely to report it on their website because their website is mainly just for enticing other businesses to work with them and also because the numbers typically stay between them and the buyer, obviously the numbers have been released to the public now so they could put it on their website if they wanted to but their website is pretty inactive and there's no demand for these numbers so they probably won't. Persons 2+, average total viewers is the standard demographic they use, they never record persons under 2 years old in their data so the numbers we're seeing reported now, if they aren't the "Persons 2+, average total viewers", (99.9% chance they are) then the real "Persons 2+, average total viewers" would be even higher.

Failed_state 2026-07-22 22:59:06

They post the numbers weekly on the website for the person 2+ data

They post the numbers weekly on the website for the person 2+ data

Kurtis 2026-07-22 23:35:33

If you're talking about "Top Broadcast TV Shows" I'm looking at it too but it only shows fox's numbers

If you're talking about "Top Broadcast TV Shows" I'm looking at it too but it only shows fox's numbers

Failed_state 2026-07-22 23:39:00

Linear TV Top 10 will have it for the two channels that showed the world cup in America it still only has the data for Week of Jul. 06 – Jul. 12, 2026 as of now but will be updated shortly

Linear TV Top 10 will have it for the two channels that showed the world cup in America it still only has the data for Week of Jul. 06 – Jul. 12, 2026 as of now but will be updated shortly

Kurtis 2026-07-22 23:59:11

It doesn't show us telemundo's numbers though

It doesn't show us telemundo's numbers though

Failed_state 2026-07-23 00:02:44

as it is last weeks data

as it is last weeks data

Kurtis 2026-07-23 00:53:33

Oh so telemundo's and peacock's numbers weren't quite in the top 10 last week I see i see

Oh so telemundo's and peacock's numbers weren't quite in the top 10 last week I see i see

Kurtis 2026-07-23 06:56:09

<@454709845514518539> https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/ updated

<@454709845514518539> https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/ updated

Failed_state 2026-07-23 11:23:44

is around 47 million from their p2+ stat

is around 47 million from their p2+ stat

TheBBz 2026-07-23 18:40:43

check the worldcup US viewership one

check the worldcup US viewership one

Vini 2026-07-23 19:09:50

wc viewers flippimg again?

wc viewers flippimg again?

Vector 2026-07-23 19:14:07

So the real number is 60 mil but Nielsen doesnt track one of the broadcasts so they just said that’s it’s 48 mil?

So the real number is 60 mil but Nielsen doesnt track one of the broadcasts so they just said that’s it’s 48 mil?

nefor 2026-07-23 19:14:44

Yeah consensus of reporting says 58+ citing Nielsen

Yeah consensus of reporting says 58+ citing Nielsen

ryan 2026-07-23 19:14:46

https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/ The numbers on here are what flipped it

https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/ The numbers on here are what flipped it

nefor 2026-07-23 19:14:53

Even NYT <:PepeSuit:1040246863145730119>

Even NYT <:PepeSuit:1040246863145730119>

Failed_state 2026-07-23 19:15:31

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+, average total viewers) Nielsen reports the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final between Spain and Argentina as having.

Failed_state 2026-07-23 19:15:55

the reporting saying different numbers are not using the person 2+ , average total viewers stat from Nielsen

the reporting saying different numbers are not using the person 2+ , average total viewers stat from Nielsen

Failed_state 2026-07-23 19:16:02

that is what the market is asking for

that is what the market is asking for

Vector 2026-07-23 19:17:36

I’d be careful bonding in this new era of truth.

I’d be careful bonding in this new era of truth.

JohnnyCryptoN 2026-07-23 19:19:13

so someone from nielsen bought shares at 0.1c and put this random bullshit, reminds me hormuz stats

so someone from nielsen bought shares at 0.1c and put this random bullshit, reminds me hormuz stats

Vini 2026-07-23 19:19:21

i think is pretty clear is 46-50

i think is pretty clear is 46-50

Vini 2026-07-23 19:19:48

not even a debate

not even a debate

Vini 2026-07-23 19:19:55

No

No

Failed_state 2026-07-23 19:20:17

Would be like arguing that Bitcoin hit a different price on Coinbase, so we should ignore the Chainlink data for a crypto price market. If the rules state a resolution source and metric, we must use them

Would be like arguing that Bitcoin hit a different price on Coinbase, so we should ignore the Chainlink data for a crypto price market. If the rules state a resolution source and metric, we must use them

Vini 2026-07-23 19:22:50

exactly

exactly

Sir_Iahim 2026-07-23 19:26:59

Wanna bet on my Sus Domesticus face that it can flip?

Wanna bet on my Sus Domesticus face that it can flip?

Rayedx 2026-07-23 19:31:35

the nielson site is 38937, not 48k

the nielson site is 38937, not 48k

ryan 2026-07-23 19:33:06

They reported Spanish ratings under a different title

They reported Spanish ratings under a different title

Rayedx 2026-07-23 19:34:37

can u share source

can u share source

Vini 2026-07-23 19:35:39

only democrats say its not 46-50 DYOR

only democrats say its not 46-50 DYOR

competetor 2026-07-23 19:36:43

problem is that the media doesnt use P2+ average audience projection for the telemundo so the extra 15 mil is from that

problem is that the media doesnt use P2+ average audience projection for the telemundo so the extra 15 mil is from that

Raskell 2026-07-23 19:37:05

# Clearly erroneous data or something like that

# Clearly erroneous data or something like that

competetor 2026-07-23 19:37:41

its still 47.89 in the end for niels

its still 47.89 in the end for niels

Sir_Iahim 2026-07-23 19:42:39

I want my money back if this comes out in the end between 50 and 58!

I want my money back if this comes out in the end between 50 and 58!

TheBBz 2026-07-23 19:43:56

so the bet should be under 40M lol

so the bet should be under 40M lol

Vector 2026-07-23 19:45:07

Wrong.

Wrong.

Vector 2026-07-23 19:45:44

But how can 2 sources be off my 12 mil. <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

But how can 2 sources be off my 12 mil. <:Bidensmile:1040247925420339251>

Failed_state 2026-07-23 19:47:38

as they are not using the (Persons 2+, average total viewers) metric the source is Nielsen

as they are not using the (Persons 2+, average total viewers) metric the source is Nielsen

nordboy 2026-07-23 19:50:47

https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-final-uptspt-viewership-20260717004559442/will-uptspt-viewership-of-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-be-between-46-million-and-50-million-20260717004559448 This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. *Spain’s defeat of Argentina in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final scored a record US TV audience of more than 62 million viewers, including 38.9 million fans for Fox’s English-language broadcast, according to Nielsen ratings https://x.com/business/status/2079770968029794750

https://polymarket.com/event/world-cup-final-uptspt-viewership-20260717004559442/will-uptspt-viewership-of-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-be-between-46-million-and-50-million-20260717004559448 This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. *Spain’s defeat of Argentina in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final scored a record US TV audience of more than 62 million viewers, including 38.9 million fans for Fox’s English-language broadcast, according to Nielsen ratings https://x.com/business/status/2079770968029794750

Begotten 2026-07-23 19:54:15

Why is nefor on 58m+

Why is nefor on 58m+

nefor 2026-07-23 19:55:14

check another bracket

check another bracket

nefor 2026-07-23 19:55:21

i think im there too

i think im there too