PolymarketHe has switched sides 4 times already
He has switched sides 4 times already
PM Watcher参与话题 0消息总数 34
该用户的聊天记录定位。
聊天记录
共 34 条，显示第 1-34 条As clear as MIGA
As clear as MIGA
Did the US already unfreeze Iranian assets, since it was conditional on the MOU being signed?
Did the US already unfreeze Iranian assets, since it was conditional on the MOU being signed?
If there was a market called "Will Trump agree to lift the naval blockade?", and Trump said "I agree to lift the naval blockade if Iran signs the deal.", would that statement be enough to resolve said market to Y?
If there was a market called "Will Trump agree to lift the naval blockade?", and Trump said "I agree to lift the naval blockade if Iran signs the deal.", would that statement be enough to resolve said market to Y?
That’s what happens when you try to scam in bad faith
That’s what happens when you try to scam in bad faith
Can’t resolve on media consensus alone
Can’t resolve on media consensus alone
As per the rules “The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran AND a consensus of credible reporting.” Even if we had consensus(which we don’t), the market still requires confirmation from both countries.
As per the rules “The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran AND a consensus of credible reporting.” Even if we had consensus(which we don’t), the market still requires confirmation from both countries.
Cuba
Cuba
So what Pakistan says doesn’t matter?
So what Pakistan says doesn’t matter?
Send the account please
Send the account please
“An important step towards ending the war”
“An important step towards ending the war”
A final deal has not been reached
A final deal has not been reached
If an electronic signature took place yesterday, why wouldn’t Iran or Pakistan report it? Is that not a significant event?
If an electronic signature took place yesterday, why wouldn’t Iran or Pakistan report it? Is that not a significant event?
Not this
Not this
Yeah, Truth Social markets can resolve off of a single source
Yeah, Truth Social markets can resolve off of a single source
Truth or not, when have we ever resolved a market based on a single statement? Consensus of credible reporting is in the rules for a reason
Truth or not, when have we ever resolved a market based on a single statement? Consensus of credible reporting is in the rules for a reason
With a single NOTAM
With a single NOTAM
Or lose it all in 15 minutes
Or lose it all in 15 minutes
fullport no?
fullport no?
He sold?
He sold?
He will call Bibi, and Bibi will once again promise not to do anything
He will call Bibi, and Bibi will once again promise not to do anything
Is it over?
Is it over?
Funny how everyone was telling <@744559907944005634> to sell his ceasefire N position
Funny how everyone was telling <@744559907944005634> to sell his ceasefire N position
Keep betting on peace guys 🤡
Keep betting on peace guys 🤡
Didn’t you say to put money on the Spurs?
Didn’t you say to put money on the Spurs?
Any other praise market wouldn’t resolve Y here
Any other praise market wouldn’t resolve Y here
People arguing Y should be excluded from the airdrop
People arguing Y should be excluded from the airdrop
This is an announcement market. Whether the Navy was escorting ships or not during the past month is irrelevant
This is an announcement market. Whether the Navy was escorting ships or not during the past month is irrelevant
He'll be in the situation room
He'll be in the situation room
Sharps are on Trump to attend NBA Finals N
Sharps are on Trump to attend NBA Finals N
There’s a risk of P4
There’s a risk of P4
It’s a Y, but I wouldn’t buy at these prices
It’s a Y, but I wouldn’t buy at these prices
Good morning
Good morning
Both Y and N have reasonable arguments. Market will have to be clarified
Both Y and N have reasonable arguments. Market will have to be clarified