PolymarketIm up 32% in a week
Im up 32% in a week
NooT参与话题 1消息总数 253
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共 253 条，显示第 51-100 条https://tenor.com/view/shrug-tip-harris-ti-the-amazing-mr-fuck-up-i-dont-know-gif-17552997
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TWAP resolutions change everything
TWAP resolutions change everything
New market conditions means new data i need to take in for months
New market conditions means new data i need to take in for months
Its gonna absolutley kill my 100M trades i have tracked lol
Its gonna absolutley kill my 100M trades i have tracked lol
TWAP resolutions will change this.
TWAP resolutions will change this.
or percived saftey until x happens
or percived saftey until x happens
monte carlo simulations give you saftey
monte carlo simulations give you saftey
no messing around means being safe
no messing around means being safe
makers and takers create conditions where effencency exists
makers and takers create conditions where effencency exists
its a financial market that needs to be modeled in the same way
its a financial market that needs to be modeled in the same way
it is complex
it is complex
Thats y u red
Thats y u red
in 25 trades
in 25 trades
and have you hit close or near that number
and have you hit close or near that number
whats your max drawdown statistic in the backtest?
whats your max drawdown statistic in the backtest?
if only 5 out of 25 have hit
if only 5 out of 25 have hit
well. thats ego talking imo
well. thats ego talking imo
youre edge is drying up
youre edge is drying up
if your drawdown ends up hitting the 10% threshold
if your drawdown ends up hitting the 10% threshold
run a monte carlo simulation of your backtest <@517349228209635360>
run a monte carlo simulation of your backtest <@517349228209635360>
4 years of experience in the options market.
4 years of experience in the options market.
I know when edges dry up and when and how to look for your edge drying up.
I know when edges dry up and when and how to look for your edge drying up.
and deploying my own capital to test it
and deploying my own capital to test it
thats why im also using the platform for forward testing
thats why im also using the platform for forward testing
totaly agree
totaly agree
I can send you the list of trades on the backtest <@517349228209635360>
I can send you the list of trades on the backtest <@517349228209635360>
I think polymarket saw my idea and started implementing the TWAP into the resolutions.
I think polymarket saw my idea and started implementing the TWAP into the resolutions.
I built the first platform to do so
I built the first platform to do so
Exactly that
Exactly that
Like here. This was so clean lol
Like here. This was so clean lol
Im fine to share this edge as I think it wont be erased for quite a bit with how much volume is going into these.
Im fine to share this edge as I think it wont be erased for quite a bit with how much volume is going into these.
On SMA x VWAP crossovers
On SMA x VWAP crossovers
on my btc strategy
on my btc strategy
Im taking
Im taking
There totaly is
There totaly is
these bianary contracts are pretty fucking similar
these bianary contracts are pretty fucking similar
Bots that caught mispricings in options contracts
Bots that caught mispricings in options contracts
I used to create bots for the real market
I used to create bots for the real market
I have 100K markets in my database to backtest against with CLOB bitcoin level 2 data
I have 100K markets in my database to backtest against with CLOB bitcoin level 2 data
my forward test is preforming better than my 2500 trade backtest
my forward test is preforming better than my 2500 trade backtest
Using retail indicators to gauge sentiment
Using retail indicators to gauge sentiment
I love using trading indicators on these btc markets
I love using trading indicators on these btc markets
small wallet with $5 bets
small wallet with $5 bets
2500 trades
2500 trades
around ~10% of 15m markets we get a trade
around ~10% of 15m markets we get a trade
netting 3% edge per trade taken
netting 3% edge per trade taken
my bot is crushing it on a small wallet rn
my bot is crushing it on a small wallet rn
ohhh yeah
ohhh yeah
markets are rly efficent rn
markets are rly efficent rn