Kalshishe barely gained on bass
she barely gained on bass
LarryorBarry参与话题 6消息总数 106
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共 106 条，显示第 51-100 条nice
nice
can anything be adding to leashed
can anything be adding to leashed
I'm going to assume the late drop is because they all asked to work longer counting votes today.
I'm going to assume the late drop is because they all asked to work longer counting votes today.
MAGA would be very suspicious of the later and later drops if they knew about the schedule, but that would require too much research.
MAGA would be very suspicious of the later and later drops if they knew about the schedule, but that would require too much research.
Except Hercules
Except Hercules
there might be a different theme that connects them
there might be a different theme that connects them
I think today is the last day I'll be tuning in if it goes according to plan
I think today is the last day I'll be tuning in if it goes according to plan
He's cooked
He's cooked
don't know if you are reval, but reval definitely knows he is dead
don't know if you are reval, but reval definitely knows he is dead
no reason to sell yet
no reason to sell yet
heh
heh
what's your position?
what's your position?
sup John
sup John
between this and the 20K votes with no Pratt, getting very sloppy
between this and the 20K votes with no Pratt, getting very sloppy
still pretty early in the vote counting process
still pretty early in the vote counting process
yes
yes
what did steyer want there?
what did steyer want there?
i was talking about LA
i was talking about LA
I'll go 14.2. But anything above 13 seems reasonable
I'll go 14.2. But anything above 13 seems reasonable
anywbody want to guess the percentage of Raman's win over Pratt for today's votes?
anywbody want to guess the percentage of Raman's win over Pratt for today's votes?
Give the guy a nobel peace prize
Give the guy a nobel peace prize
Shoot boss, these are the Xavier boxes... go back and get the Tom ones.
Shoot boss, these are the Xavier boxes... go back and get the Tom ones.
This latest movement puts me in 6 figures
This latest movement puts me in 6 figures
as I said, it would be decided within the hour
as I said, it would be decided within the hour
within the hour probably
within the hour probably
It's almost 4PT, or the time of the day where we all get to watch and see if the Knicks win each day.
It's almost 4PT, or the time of the day where we all get to watch and see if the Knicks win each day.
Raman buyers are people that think the math will work in her favor or know it's being rigged. Pratt buyers are ones who I believe that Trump will reverse the results. That's what I assume is going on based off of Twitter.
Raman buyers are people that think the math will work in her favor or know it's being rigged. Pratt buyers are ones who I believe that Trump will reverse the results. That's what I assume is going on based off of Twitter.
The woman at the register next to me paid a lower price for her purchase. SCAM!!
The woman at the register next to me paid a lower price for her purchase. SCAM!!
Complete the circle, replace him with Joe Biden
Complete the circle, replace him with Joe Biden
Perhaps the leader of the Democrat party (Gavin Newsom, Nancy Pelosi??) could tell people they cann't vote for him? I dunno, if you've done your homework and you are sure it's safe, go for it.
Perhaps the leader of the Democrat party (Gavin Newsom, Nancy Pelosi??) could tell people they cann't vote for him? I dunno, if you've done your homework and you are sure it's safe, go for it.
I can't imagine wanting to pay 90c here, and I'm a person that makes a living buying 99c for stuff.
I can't imagine wanting to pay 90c here, and I'm a person that makes a living buying 99c for stuff.
I haven't done the math, but I just assume the math says Steyer gets in too, right? My money is tied up on mayor though.
I haven't done the math, but I just assume the math says Steyer gets in too, right? My money is tied up on mayor though.
Yes, but why would MAGA be so convinced about it.
Yes, but why would MAGA be so convinced about it.
I don't understand why MAGA thinks he's going to lose. He's gone from up 10 to up 7. Seems like they have moved from "He's 100% going to win" to "The other side cheated" a bit too quickly.
I don't understand why MAGA thinks he's going to lose. He's gone from up 10 to up 7. Seems like they have moved from "He's 100% going to win" to "The other side cheated" a bit too quickly.
For me personally there are better ways to bid if I think Raman advances, and there are better ways to bid if I think Pratt advances. So I'm not touching that unless pricing is absurd
For me personally there are better ways to bid if I think Raman advances, and there are better ways to bid if I think Pratt advances. So I'm not touching that unless pricing is absurd
why would she jump to 75?
why would she jump to 75?
anybody know how many ballots were added via USPS after day 1 in 2022?
anybody know how many ballots were added via USPS after day 1 in 2022?
in this case they are probably going to add significantly more ballots after that. Overkill.
in this case they are probably going to add significantly more ballots after that. Overkill.
the rate will improve I assume...same thing for raman
the rate will improve I assume...same thing for raman
geez man, pricing certainly moved though
geez man, pricing certainly moved though
new numbers in?
new numbers in?
Yesterday I was buying both Raman to win in the general but lose in round 1 to create a hedge position based on the assumed pricing (about 20%) was low. I ditched that though to take a more aggressive position that we'll find out shortly if it was a mistake or not.
Yesterday I was buying both Raman to win in the general but lose in round 1 to create a hedge position based on the assumed pricing (about 20%) was low. I ditched that though to take a more aggressive position that we'll find out shortly if it was a mistake or not.
Even though Raman was favored in the head to head poll, I don't think she will go above 50-50 unless there is data to back it
Even though Raman was favored in the head to head poll, I don't think she will go above 50-50 unless there is data to back it
I would guess 35-65, but maybe that will depend on how Raman vs Bass goes over the next few weeks
I would guess 35-65, but maybe that will depend on how Raman vs Bass goes over the next few weeks
I don't think the market is very efficient here yet. I don't think it's had time to really consider these dynamics, and the fact that there is still obviously free money on Pratt is distorting some of the numbers. People have to be running into bankroll problems... I am, and mine is higher than most.
I don't think the market is very efficient here yet. I don't think it's had time to really consider these dynamics, and the fact that there is still obviously free money on Pratt is distorting some of the numbers. People have to be running into bankroll problems... I am, and mine is higher than most.
Such wisdom in this channel
Such wisdom in this channel
Any guesses where Raman/Bass will land on kalshi percentagewise when we get down to 2? My 82K Raman shares are curious.
Any guesses where Raman/Bass will land on kalshi percentagewise when we get down to 2? My 82K Raman shares are curious.
Bluntly, I certainly would consider placing 10K at stake based on my track record.
Bluntly, I certainly would consider placing 10K at stake based on my track record.
didn't say who I think is going to win
didn't say who I think is going to win