PolymarketNO UNCS?
NO UNCS?
ᄃᄂΛƧƧƧIFIΣD参与话题 0消息总数 49
该用户的聊天记录定位。
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共 49 条，显示第 1-49 条rumors says Ohan was in the same 🚁 too
rumors says Ohan was in the same 🚁 too
he was with Oliver Tree
he was with Oliver Tree
A bias is robust only if it survives: - walk-forward evaluation - month-by-month analysis - regime splits - parameter sensitivity - multiple-testing correction - untouched validation or holdout data
A bias is robust only if it survives: - walk-forward evaluation - month-by-month analysis - regime splits - parameter sensitivity - multiple-testing correction - untouched validation or holdout data
gm gentlemen
gm gentlemen
https://klipy.com/gifs/cat-1288
https://klipy.com/gifs/cat-1288
gm ohan
gm ohan
https://klipy.com/gifs/small-cat-cat-dance
https://klipy.com/gifs/small-cat-cat-dance
Ohan was complainin too
Ohan was complainin too
Ohan vibes this monday
Ohan vibes this monday
Just because I asked a question doesn't mean you have the right to talk to me I'm some lowlife
Just because I asked a question doesn't mean you have the right to talk to me I'm some lowlife
gnipral
gnipral
credit to bonereaper
credit to bonereaper
https://klipy.com/gifs/cat-1288
https://klipy.com/gifs/cat-1288
Acknowledgments The retracted "momentum 54%" finding was caught by the live experiment's anti-lookahead audit. Credit to bonereaper for sharp comments on Chainlink aggregation behavior and the operational reality of fast-line latency that informed the project's conclusions about market efficiency.
Acknowledgments The retracted "momentum 54%" finding was caught by the live experiment's anti-lookahead audit. Credit to bonereaper for sharp comments on Chainlink aggregation behavior and the operational reality of fast-line latency that informed the project's conclusions about market efficiency.
hello
hello
https://klipy.com/gifs/hanna-ball-kitten-soft-fluffy-kitty-cat-paws
https://klipy.com/gifs/hanna-ball-kitten-soft-fluffy-kitty-cat-paws
Pre-registered statistical investigation of Bitcoin options order flow (Deribit Net Buying Pressure / D signal) as a predictor for Polymarket BTC Up/Down 15-minute binary outcomes. Reproducible (SHA256 bit-exact), Bonferroni-corrected, with hold-out validation. 11 hypotheses tested over 9,225 historical windows (Dec 2025–Apr 2026) plus continuous live capture (May–Jun 2026). Findings include a publicly retracted lookahead-bias mistake — preserved in the handoffs as documentation of real research hygiene.
Pre-registered statistical investigation of Bitcoin options order flow (Deribit Net Buying Pressure / D signal) as a predictor for Polymarket BTC Up/Down 15-minute binary outcomes. Reproducible (SHA256 bit-exact), Bonferroni-corrected, with hold-out validation. 11 hypotheses tested over 9,225 historical windows (Dec 2025–Apr 2026) plus continuous live capture (May–Jun 2026). Findings include a publicly retracted lookahead-bias mistake — preserved in the handoffs as documentation of real research hygiene.
"this was one of the best updates yet 👍 it became so much easier, you really had to be exploiting to be profitable before " - a guy on dev chat
"this was one of the best updates yet 👍 it became so much easier, you really had to be exploiting to be profitable before " - a guy on dev chat
THATS SOME FREE INTELECTUAL PROPERTY
THATS SOME FREE INTELECTUAL PROPERTY
i hope to die profitable
i hope to die profitable
https://klipy.com/gifs/dead-inside-cat-sad-1
https://klipy.com/gifs/dead-inside-cat-sad-1
i dont find my cat 🙁
i dont find my cat 🙁
hi too btw
hi too btw
u profitable poopie?
u profitable poopie?
He being honest
He being honest
xD
xD
Doing that
Doing that
-ev
-ev
Comgrats
Comgrats
May i know if you profitsble?
May i know if you profitsble?
all this alpha lore is cool
all this alpha lore is cool
https://klipy.com/gifs/ball-kitten-kitty
https://klipy.com/gifs/ball-kitten-kitty
so you all runnin rust bots ? or that is alpha?
so you all runnin rust bots ? or that is alpha?
u doing backtestin?
u doing backtestin?
idk i just adapt to the lore
idk i just adapt to the lore
ur overfittin ur prompt injhection
ur overfittin ur prompt injhection
look up for hugginface pm data
look up for hugginface pm data
nice
nice
U runnin live?
U runnin live?
im sorry for ohan
im sorry for ohan
im tired of overfittin , cherrypickin and lookahead bias
im tired of overfittin , cherrypickin and lookahead bias
https://klipy.com/gifs/angry-cat-furious-cat
https://klipy.com/gifs/angry-cat-furious-cat
THATS JUST AN UI BUG THERE IS FEE CHECK TRANSACTION
THATS JUST AN UI BUG THERE IS FEE CHECK TRANSACTION
another look ahead bias
another look ahead bias
Against all odds, the absolute perfect sequence of random events just occurred simultaneously
Against all odds, the absolute perfect sequence of random events just occurred simultaneously
Interesting
Interesting
Sound like im sellin something but i’m not
Sound like im sellin something but i’m not
$$\Delta P(h) = \alpha + \beta(h) \cdot D + \epsilon$$
$$\Delta P(h) = \alpha + \beta(h) \cdot D + \epsilon$$