monroeeeee参与话题 0消息总数 15

monroeeeee 2026-06-17 20:17:46 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will active fighting in Donbas completely stop by August 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if there is no active combat in the Donbas region for 30 consecutive days by August 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Independent verification of ceasefire. Resolution Source OSCE or ISW daily reports.

Market Title Will active fighting in Donbas completely stop by August 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if there is no active combat in the Donbas region for 30 consecutive days by August 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Independent verification of ceasefire. Resolution Source OSCE or ISW daily reports.

monroeeeee 2026-06-16 16:09:28 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson city by August 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Ukrainian forces retake full control of Kherson city from Russian occupation by August 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Ukrainian government and independent verification of control. Resolution Source Ukrainian General Staff or ISW reports.

Market Title Will Ukraine regain control of Kherson city by August 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Ukrainian forces retake full control of Kherson city from Russian occupation by August 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Ukrainian government and independent verification of control. Resolution Source Ukrainian General Staff or ISW reports.

monroeeeee 2026-06-15 16:03:54 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will the PiS party return to power in the next Polish parliamentary election by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Law and Justice (PiS) wins the most seats and forms the government in the next Polish Sejm election. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official election results. Resolution Source National Electoral Commission of Poland (PKW).

Market Title Will the PiS party return to power in the next Polish parliamentary election by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Law and Justice (PiS) wins the most seats and forms the government in the next Polish Sejm election. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official election results. Resolution Source National Electoral Commission of Poland (PKW).

monroeeeee 2026-06-13 11:32:40 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will Lula da Silva’s coalition retain the Brazilian presidency in 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or a candidate from his coalition wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official second-round results certified by the Superior Electoral Court. Resolution Source Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) of Brazil.

Market Title Will Lula da Silva’s coalition retain the Brazilian presidency in 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or a candidate from his coalition wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official second-round results certified by the Superior Electoral Court. Resolution Source Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) of Brazil.

monroeeeee 2026-06-12 12:02:28 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title: Will Beijing's Air Quality Index (AQI) be below 100 on June 19, 2026? Result: Yes: AQI below 100 (Good to Moderate). No: AQI 100 or above. Market Description: This market predicts whether Beijing's air quality will remain at a good to moderate level (AQI below 100) on June 19, 2026. Proposed Judgment Criteria: This market will determine "Yes" if Beijing's official daily AQI is below 100 on June 19, 2026. Judgment Source: This market's judgment source will be official Chinese environmental monitoring data or widely recognized sources, such as Beijing air quality readings from IQAir or Wunderground (available here: https://www.iqair.com/beijing) or Wunderground Beijing site data. This market cannot determine "Yes" until all relevant data is finalized. Any modifications to the recorded data after finalization will not be considered in this market decision.

Market Title: Will Beijing's Air Quality Index (AQI) be below 100 on June 19, 2026? Result: Yes: AQI below 100 (Good to Moderate). No: AQI 100 or above. Market Description: This market predicts whether Beijing's air quality will remain at a good to moderate level (AQI below 100) on June 19, 2026. Proposed Judgment Criteria: This market will determine "Yes" if Beijing's official daily AQI is below 100 on June 19, 2026. Judgment Source: This market's judgment source will be official Chinese environmental monitoring data or widely recognized sources, such as Beijing air quality readings from IQAir or Wunderground (available here: https://www.iqair.com/beijing) or Wunderground Beijing site data. This market cannot determine "Yes" until all relevant data is finalized. Any modifications to the recorded data after finalization will not be considered in this market decision.

monroeeeee 2026-06-12 11:09:50 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title: What will be the highest temperature in Sydney, Australia on June 17, 2026? Result: Yes: The temperature is 20°C. No: The temperature is not 20°C. Market Description: This market forecasts the highest (daytime) temperature in Sydney on June 17, 2026. Proposed Resolution Standard: This market will resolve to a temperature range that includes the highest temperature (in degrees Celsius) recorded at Kingsford Smith Airport (SYD) on June 17, 2026. Resolution Source: The resolution source for this market will be Wunderground, specifically the highest temperatures recorded at all times of the day by the Kingsford Smith Airport weather station (to be finalized), which can be viewed here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/au/sydney/SYD To switch between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and then switch between °F and °C in the temperature settings. This market cannot be rated "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. This market determination is based on whole degrees Celsius (e.g., 20°C). Therefore, market determination will use this level of precision. Any temperature corrections recorded after the data is finalized within this market period will not be considered.

Market Title: What will be the highest temperature in Sydney, Australia on June 17, 2026? Result: Yes: The temperature is 20°C. No: The temperature is not 20°C. Market Description: This market forecasts the highest (daytime) temperature in Sydney on June 17, 2026. Proposed Resolution Standard: This market will resolve to a temperature range that includes the highest temperature (in degrees Celsius) recorded at Kingsford Smith Airport (SYD) on June 17, 2026. Resolution Source: The resolution source for this market will be Wunderground, specifically the highest temperatures recorded at all times of the day by the Kingsford Smith Airport weather station (to be finalized), which can be viewed here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/au/sydney/SYD To switch between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and then switch between °F and °C in the temperature settings. This market cannot be rated "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. This market determination is based on whole degrees Celsius (e.g., 20°C). Therefore, market determination will use this level of precision. Any temperature corrections recorded after the data is finalized within this market period will not be considered.

monroeeeee 2026-06-11 10:29:15 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will the first synthetic human embryo be created and sustained beyond 14 days by June 30, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if scientists create and maintain a synthetic human embryo model beyond the 14-day legal limit. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed scientific publication. Resolution Source Nature or Science journal.

Market Title Will the first synthetic human embryo be created and sustained beyond 14 days by June 30, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if scientists create and maintain a synthetic human embryo model beyond the 14-day legal limit. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed scientific publication. Resolution Source Nature or Science journal.

monroeeeee 2026-06-10 14:38:46 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will the first successful human clinical trial for whole organ xenotransplantation be completed by June 30, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a patient survives at least 6 months with a genetically modified animal organ (pig, etc.) in a clinical trial by June 30, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed publication or major hospital announcement. Resolution Source New England Journal of Medicine or NIH reports.

Market Title Will the first successful human clinical trial for whole organ xenotransplantation be completed by June 30, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a patient survives at least 6 months with a genetically modified animal organ (pig, etc.) in a clinical trial by June 30, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed publication or major hospital announcement. Resolution Source New England Journal of Medicine or NIH reports.

monroeeeee 2026-06-09 11:53:16 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will a major zoo animal escape and remain free for over 30 days in 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a large or dangerous animal escapes from a major zoo and evades capture for more than 30 days in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Documented escape and duration. Resolution Source Local authorities and international news coverage.

Market Title Will a major zoo animal escape and remain free for over 30 days in 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a large or dangerous animal escapes from a major zoo and evades capture for more than 30 days in 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Documented escape and duration. Resolution Source Local authorities and international news coverage.

monroeeeee 2026-06-07 10:42:01 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will a human achieve immortality or biological age reversal publicly demonstrated by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a credible scientific breakthrough demonstrates biological immortality or significant age reversal in a human subject by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed study with verifiable results. Resolution Source Nature, Science, or major medical journals.

Market Title Will a human achieve immortality or biological age reversal publicly demonstrated by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a credible scientific breakthrough demonstrates biological immortality or significant age reversal in a human subject by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed study with verifiable results. Resolution Source Nature, Science, or major medical journals.

monroeeeee 2026-06-06 16:26:32 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will a video game win the Pulitzer Prize for the first time by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a video game wins any Pulitzer Prize category by the end of 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official Pulitzer Prize Board announcement. Resolution Source Pulitzer.org.

Market Title Will a video game win the Pulitzer Prize for the first time by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a video game wins any Pulitzer Prize category by the end of 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official Pulitzer Prize Board announcement. Resolution Source Pulitzer.org.

monroeeeee 2026-06-05 15:56:22 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will Netflix reach 300 million paid subscribers by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Netflix reports 300 million or more global paid streaming subscribers by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official quarterly earnings report. Resolution Source Netflix Investor Relations.

Market Title Will Netflix reach 300 million paid subscribers by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if Netflix reports 300 million or more global paid streaming subscribers by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Official quarterly earnings report. Resolution Source Netflix Investor Relations.

monroeeeee 2026-06-04 17:11:53 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title: What will be the lowest temperature in London, UK on June 7, 2026? Result: Yes: The temperature is 12°C. No: The temperature is not 12°C. Market Description: This market forecasts the lowest temperature in London on June 7, 2026. Proposed Resolution Standard: This market will resolve to a temperature range that includes the lowest temperature (in degrees Celsius) recorded at Heathrow Airport (LHR) on June 7, 2026. Resolution Source: This market's resolution source will be Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperatures recorded at Heathrow Airport for all times on that day (to be finalized), which can be viewed here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/LHR To switch between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar, and then switch between °F and °C in the temperature settings. This market cannot be rated "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. This market determination is based on whole degrees Celsius (e.g., 9°C). Therefore, market determination will use this level of precision. Any temperature corrections recorded after the data is finalized within this market period will not be considered.

Market Title: What will be the lowest temperature in London, UK on June 7, 2026? Result: Yes: The temperature is 12°C. No: The temperature is not 12°C. Market Description: This market forecasts the lowest temperature in London on June 7, 2026. Proposed Resolution Standard: This market will resolve to a temperature range that includes the lowest temperature (in degrees Celsius) recorded at Heathrow Airport (LHR) on June 7, 2026. Resolution Source: This market's resolution source will be Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperatures recorded at Heathrow Airport for all times on that day (to be finalized), which can be viewed here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/LHR To switch between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar, and then switch between °F and °C in the temperature settings. This market cannot be rated "Yes" until all data for the day is finalized. This market determination is based on whole degrees Celsius (e.g., 9°C). Therefore, market determination will use this level of precision. Any temperature corrections recorded after the data is finalized within this market period will not be considered.

monroeeeee 2026-06-03 16:31:53 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will a quantum-AI hybrid system be demonstrated by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a functional quantum computing system integrated with large language models shows practical advantage. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed demonstration by IBM, Google, or similar. Resolution Source Scientific journals or company technical reports.

Market Title Will a quantum-AI hybrid system be demonstrated by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if a functional quantum computing system integrated with large language models shows practical advantage. Proposed Resolution Criteria Peer-reviewed demonstration by IBM, Google, or similar. Resolution Source Scientific journals or company technical reports.

monroeeeee 2026-06-02 19:28:24 ↗ Polymarket

Market Title Will AI surpass human performance on all academic benchmarks by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems outperform humans on every major academic and professional benchmark (math, coding, science, law, medicine) by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Comprehensive reports from LMSYS, Hugging Face, or academic papers. Resolution Source Leading AI evaluation platforms and peer-reviewed studies.

Market Title Will AI surpass human performance on all academic benchmarks by December 31, 2026? Outcomes Yes No Market Description This market resolves Yes if AI systems outperform humans on every major academic and professional benchmark (math, coding, science, law, medicine) by December 31, 2026. Proposed Resolution Criteria Comprehensive reports from LMSYS, Hugging Face, or academic papers. Resolution Source Leading AI evaluation platforms and peer-reviewed studies.