Polymarket-Market title: Strait of Hormuz effectively closed again by? -Outcomes June 30 July 15 July 31 August 31 December 31 -Market Description This market concerns whether the Strait of Hormuz returns to an effectively closed state at any time by the date given. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Strait of Hormuz Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. -Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730.
-Market title: Strait of Hormuz effectively closed again by? -Outcomes June 30 July 15 July 31 August 31 December 31 -Market Description This market concerns whether the Strait of Hormuz returns to an effectively closed state at any time by the date given. -Proposed Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Strait of Hormuz Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. -Resolution Source The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730.