秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

Mk参与话题 2消息总数 43

该用户的聊天记录定位。

Reset

聊天记录

共 43 条,显示第 1-43 条
Mk 2026-07-11 19:51:46 Polymarket

Give me one

Give me one

Mk 2026-07-11 18:59:03 Polymarket

Enjoy

Enjoy

Mk 2026-07-11 18:58:53 Polymarket

Free money bro

Free money bro

Mk 2026-07-11 17:48:19 Polymarket

25%

25%

Mk 2026-07-11 17:47:16 Polymarket

https://x.com/83mhog/status/2075877101547446518?s=20 who want make profit read this

https://x.com/83mhog/status/2075877101547446518?s=20 who want make profit read this

Mk 2026-07-07 16:54:07 Polymarket

YES add more topic thai and cambodia PLS

YES add more topic thai and cambodia PLS

Mk 2026-06-28 09:02:16 Polymarket Claude Mythos 5解锁市场结算标准引发争议

I think now Resovle "YES" This market https://polymarket.com/th/event/claude-mythos-5-access-restored-by-20260613213552181/will-claude-mythos-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-30-20260613213553562 Why the market must resolve as YES Emphasizing the data source criteria (Consensus) according to Polymarket's rules as clearly as possible: Timely: Anthropic restored system access to US companies (Project Glasswing group) starting Friday, June 26, 2026, which occurred before the June 30 deadline. Exact Model Match: The model unlocked in this round is explicitly identified by name as "Claude Mythos 5," fully meeting the condition. Nationality Exemption Rule: Even though the government prohibited foreign employees from using it, Polymarket's rules explicitly state that "restrictions based on nationality will still count as YES." No need to wait for Anthropic's announcement (Consensus can be used): The market rules clearly state that a "consensus of credible reporting" can be used for the decision. Therefore, having major news outlets report the same information is sufficient to immediately close the market as YES, without waiting for an official statement from Anthropic. CNBC https://www.cnbctv18.com/technology/anthropic-claude-mythos-5-returns-us-clears-access-100-plus-trusted-organisations-19933250.htm Axios https://x.com/axios/status/2070669701433135477?s=20 Reuters https://x.com/Reuters/status/2070721336712786237?s=20 Investing https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/us-releases-anthropic-model-mythos-to-some-us-companies-semafor-reports-4763812 <@1356604771208790198> <@1272383282687905939>

I think now Resovle "YES" This market https://polymarket.com/th/event/claude-mythos-5-access-restored-by-20260613213552181/will-claude-mythos-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-30-20260613213553562 Why the market must resolve as YES Emphasizing the data source criteria (Consensus) according to Polymarket's rules as clearly as possible: Timely: Anthropic restored system access to US companies (Project Glasswing group) starting Friday, June 26, 2026, which occurred before the June 30 deadline. Exact Model Match: The model unlocked in this round is explicitly identified by name as "Claude Mythos 5," fully meeting the condition. Nationality Exemption Rule: Even though the government prohibited foreign employees from using it, Polymarket's rules explicitly state that "restrictions based on nationality will still count as YES." No need to wait for Anthropic's announcement (Consensus can be used): The market rules clearly state that a "consensus of credible reporting" can be used for the decision. Therefore, having major news outlets report the same information is sufficient to immediately close the market as YES, without waiting for an official statement from Anthropic. CNBC https://www.cnbctv18.com/technology/anthropic-claude-mythos-5-returns-us-clears-access-100-plus-trusted-organisations-19933250.htm Axios https://x.com/axios/status/2070669701433135477?s=20 Reuters https://x.com/Reuters/status/2070721336712786237?s=20 Investing https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/us-releases-anthropic-model-mythos-to-some-us-companies-semafor-reports-4763812 <@1356604771208790198> <@1272383282687905939>

Mk 2026-06-27 10:56:53 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/th/event/claude-mythos-5-access-restored-by-20260613213552181/will-claude-mythos-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-30-20260613213553562?category=claude-mythos-5-access-restored-by-20260613213552181&locale=event&slug=will-claude-mythos-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-30-20260613213553562 is clear YES <@1356604771208790198> <@930737463163494430> resolve to Yes this market https://x.com/Reuters/status/2070721336712786237?s=20

https://polymarket.com/th/event/claude-mythos-5-access-restored-by-20260613213552181/will-claude-mythos-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-30-20260613213553562?category=claude-mythos-5-access-restored-by-20260613213552181&locale=event&slug=will-claude-mythos-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-30-20260613213553562 is clear YES <@1356604771208790198> <@930737463163494430> resolve to Yes this market https://x.com/Reuters/status/2070721336712786237?s=20

Mk 2026-06-22 17:24:24 Polymarket

he said resign for the labour party leader, not as prime minister. why isn't this market coming out

he said resign for the labour party leader, not as prime minister. why isn't this market coming out

Mk 2026-06-22 17:22:01 Polymarket

BREAKING: Keir Starmer says he'll step down as U.K. Labour Party leader and will remain prime minister until a successor is chosen. https://x.com/AP/status/2068979167920566475?s=20

BREAKING: Keir Starmer says he'll step down as U.K. Labour Party leader and will remain prime minister until a successor is chosen. https://x.com/AP/status/2068979167920566475?s=20

Mk 2026-06-22 17:14:18 Polymarket

<@930737463163494430> he resign as the leader of the Labor Party not as a PM of UK

<@930737463163494430> he resign as the leader of the Labor Party not as a PM of UK

Mk 2026-06-22 17:14:06 Polymarket

propose <@570563844678877196> he resign as the leader of the Labor Party not as a PM of UK

propose <@570563844678877196> he resign as the leader of the Labor Party not as a PM of UK

Mk 2026-06-22 17:02:29 Polymarket

yeah

yeah

Mk 2026-06-22 17:01:18 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/th/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban/will-keir-starmer-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-565 Then the market has probably already decided YES

https://polymarket.com/th/event/next-leader-out-of-power-before-2027-no-orban/will-keir-starmer-be-the-next-leader-out-before-2027-565 Then the market has probably already decided YES

Mk 2026-06-22 16:59:45 Polymarket

The King has been informed. Starmer will remain has caretaker PM until a new leader has been picked That means he hasn't left his position yet

The King has been informed. Starmer will remain has caretaker PM until a new leader has been picked That means he hasn't left his position yet

Mk 2026-06-22 16:57:40 Polymarket

Because I haven't said yet that I will be stepping down today.

Because I haven't said yet that I will be stepping down today.

Mk 2026-06-22 16:56:04 Polymarket

yes

yes

Mk 2026-06-22 16:54:50 Polymarket

yes

yes

Mk 2026-06-22 16:53:33 Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mk 2026-06-22 16:53:19 Polymarket

He will be stepped down sometime in September, not today. Generally, it takes about two or three months before a new leader is appointed. That means it hasn't been announced today.

He will be stepped down sometime in September, not today. Generally, it takes about two or three months before a new leader is appointed. That means it hasn't been announced today.

Mk 2026-06-22 16:52:02 Polymarket

sYes, I've read all the rules. That means they're not releasing it today.

sYes, I've read all the rules. That means they're not releasing it today.

Mk 2026-06-22 16:50:44 Polymarket

One might argue that it should be objected to, because the law is ambiguous.

One might argue that it should be objected to, because the law is ambiguous.

Mk 2026-06-22 16:50:10 Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Mk 2026-06-22 16:49:30 Polymarket

May I object? He hasn't said he's leaving today. https://polymarket.com/th/event/starmer-out-in-2025/starmer-out-by-june-22-2026?locale=event&category=starmer-out-in-2025&slug=starmer-out-by-june-22-2026

May I object? He hasn't said he's leaving today. https://polymarket.com/th/event/starmer-out-in-2025/starmer-out-by-june-22-2026?locale=event&category=starmer-out-in-2025&slug=starmer-out-by-june-22-2026

Mk 2026-06-15 18:42:31 Polymarket

Thank man Since both President Donald Trump has posted a confirmation stating that “The deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete”, and Iran’s National Security Council has also issued an official statement today (June 15) that the war will permanently come to an end starting tonight, along with global organizations such as the UN, China, and India issuing statements welcoming the achievement of this agreement. Therefore, if the adjudicator determines that “the public statements from both governments today carry sufficient weight to confirm that an agreement to end the war has indeed been reached,” then this should be considered as meeting the market’s resolution criteria.

Thank man Since both President Donald Trump has posted a confirmation stating that “The deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete”, and Iran’s National Security Council has also issued an official statement today (June 15) that the war will permanently come to an end starting tonight, along with global organizations such as the UN, China, and India issuing statements welcoming the achievement of this agreement. Therefore, if the adjudicator determines that “the public statements from both governments today carry sufficient weight to confirm that an agreement to end the war has indeed been reached,” then this should be considered as meeting the market’s resolution criteria.

Mk 2026-06-15 18:40:20 Polymarket

link?

link?

Mk 2026-06-13 14:50:55 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/th/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by/will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-june-12-2026?locale=event&category=trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by&slug=will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-june-12-2026 June 12 is Done pls resolve <@&1485393752645173399>

https://polymarket.com/th/event/trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by/will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-june-12-2026?locale=event&category=trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by&slug=will-donald-trump-announce-that-the-united-states-blockade-of-the-strait-of-hormuz-has-been-lifted-by-june-12-2026 June 12 is Done pls resolve <@&1485393752645173399>

Mk 2026-06-10 12:29:31 Polymarket 多个预测市场到期后长期未结算

https://polymarket.com/th/event/israel-closes-its-airspace-by/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-9?locale=event&category=israel-closes-its-airspace-by&slug=israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-9 resolve on 9 MAY pls

https://polymarket.com/th/event/israel-closes-its-airspace-by/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-9?locale=event&category=israel-closes-its-airspace-by&slug=israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-9 resolve on 9 MAY pls

Mk 2026-06-08 13:38:49 Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/th/event/how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30/will-there-be-8-or-more-earthquakes-of-magnitude-7pt0-or-higher-worldwide-by-june-30?locale=event&category=how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30&slug=will-there-be-8-or-more-earthquakes-of-magnitude-7pt0-or-higher-worldwide-by-june-30 event is done over 8+ <@&1485393752645173399>

https://polymarket.com/th/event/how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30/will-there-be-8-or-more-earthquakes-of-magnitude-7pt0-or-higher-worldwide-by-june-30?locale=event&category=how-many-7pt0-or-above-earthquakes-by-june-30&slug=will-there-be-8-or-more-earthquakes-of-magnitude-7pt0-or-higher-worldwide-by-june-30 event is done over 8+ <@&1485393752645173399>

Mk 2026-06-04 17:49:58 Polymarket

i need some help why this market didt resolve for 31 may https://polymarket.com/th/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31?locale=event&category=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by&slug=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31

i need some help why this market didt resolve for 31 may https://polymarket.com/th/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31?locale=event&category=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by&slug=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31

Mk 2026-06-04 17:49:46 Polymarket

Thank sir

Thank sir

Mk 2026-06-04 17:39:16 Polymarket

i need some help why this market didt resolve for 31 may https://polymarket.com/th/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31?locale=event&category=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by&slug=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31 <@930737463163494430> <@1356604771208790198>

i need some help why this market didt resolve for 31 may https://polymarket.com/th/event/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by/israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31?locale=event&category=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by&slug=israeli-forces-enter-nabatieh-by-may-31 <@930737463163494430> <@1356604771208790198>

Mk 2026-06-01 17:19:52 Polymarket

yeah i think is yes

yeah i think is yes

Mk 2026-06-01 17:19:06 Polymarket

https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-mocks-thomas-massie-tucker-224126505.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEPqKJ-FaNJ87r3vCJ_YPAn-PtYPFFtUQ7xdwnSkZAgtk3KnA2a6hknbcmM_NWkK2jW3kgzhUFM1P9Yi9JB43UXSkPSvnKVb6wZw6_ZGhDdlWHmdp-8SqsCePAk5SIiYfL1hf4MuRkGRcYwJhZoOpPaUob5XtUxplXUm3IDSSc9Q

https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-mocks-thomas-massie-tucker-224126505.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEPqKJ-FaNJ87r3vCJ_YPAn-PtYPFFtUQ7xdwnSkZAgtk3KnA2a6hknbcmM_NWkK2jW3kgzhUFM1P9Yi9JB43UXSkPSvnKVb6wZw6_ZGhDdlWHmdp-8SqsCePAk5SIiYfL1hf4MuRkGRcYwJhZoOpPaUob5XtUxplXUm3IDSSc9Q

Mk 2026-06-01 14:18:36 Polymarket

https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-mocks-thomas-massie-tucker-224126505.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEPqKJ-FaNJ87r3vCJ_YPAn-PtYPFFtUQ7xdwnSkZAgtk3KnA2a6hknbcmM_NWkK2jW3kgzhUFM1P9Yi9JB43UXSkPSvnKVb6wZw6_ZGhDdlWHmdp-8SqsCePAk5SIiYfL1hf4MuRkGRcYwJhZoOpPaUob5XtUxplXUm3IDSSc9Q Trump say to Carlson

https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/trump-mocks-thomas-massie-tucker-224126505.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEPqKJ-FaNJ87r3vCJ_YPAn-PtYPFFtUQ7xdwnSkZAgtk3KnA2a6hknbcmM_NWkK2jW3kgzhUFM1P9Yi9JB43UXSkPSvnKVb6wZw6_ZGhDdlWHmdp-8SqsCePAk5SIiYfL1hf4MuRkGRcYwJhZoOpPaUob5XtUxplXUm3IDSSc9Q Trump say to Carlson

Mk 2026-05-31 03:44:07 Polymarket

hedge fund

hedge fund

Mk 2026-05-31 03:43:25 Polymarket

hedge

hedge

Mk 2026-05-31 03:41:09 Polymarket

beer bro

beer bro

Mk 2026-05-31 03:39:44 Polymarket

trust me bro

trust me bro

Mk 2026-05-31 03:37:47 Polymarket

https://x.com/MagJorgeCastro/status/2060713154963784103?s=20

https://x.com/MagJorgeCastro/status/2060713154963784103?s=20

Mk 2026-05-31 03:13:47 Polymarket

Yes my man

Yes my man

Mk 2026-05-31 03:13:16 Polymarket

Check this the New York time reposted

Check this the New York time reposted

Mk 2026-05-30 22:53:52 Polymarket

https://x.com/southcom/status/2060472965658230998?s=46 is YES

https://x.com/southcom/status/2060472965658230998?s=46 is YES