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Wankel参与话题 1消息总数 9

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Wankel 2026-07-20 07:45:54 Kalshi

$20 can be flipped into 100+ pretty easily

$20 can be flipped into 100+ pretty easily

Wankel 2026-07-20 07:23:41 Kalshi

if Iran won and we picked them , it would have been a different story, we'd be RICH!

if Iran won and we picked them , it would have been a different story, we'd be RICH!

Wankel 2026-07-20 07:21:23 Kalshi

im expecting the worst, hoping for the best

im expecting the worst, hoping for the best

Wankel 2026-07-20 07:20:29 Kalshi

but only people before 11th are eligible

but only people before 11th are eligible

Wankel 2026-07-20 07:20:06 Kalshi

that didnt take into account user number, and that drastically increased throughout the world cup

that didnt take into account user number, and that drastically increased throughout the world cup

Wankel 2026-07-20 07:18:48 Kalshi 西班牙夺冠100万美元促销payout猜测

Maths... Spains implied win probability on Kalshi at the entry lock (June 11, before the tournament started) was about 16.7%... essentially tied with France for tournament favorite.

Maths... Spains implied win probability on Kalshi at the entry lock (June 11, before the tournament started) was about 16.7%... essentially tied with France for tournament favorite.

Wankel 2026-07-20 06:45:25 Kalshi

yeah they had the best track record, gotta give kalshi credit, it sounded like we were in for huge gains! LOLOL

yeah they had the best track record, gotta give kalshi credit, it sounded like we were in for huge gains! LOLOL

Wankel 2026-07-20 06:43:53 Kalshi

right? lol

right? lol

Wankel 2026-07-20 06:39:14 Kalshi 西班牙夺冠100万美元促销payout猜测

I chose spain and im expecting $1, you think less than 1 million people chose spain?

I chose spain and im expecting $1, you think less than 1 million people chose spain?