聊天记录
共 2 条,显示第 1-2 条
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Market Question #2
Will General Valerii Zaluzhnyi win the next Ukrainian presidential election held during calendar year 2027?
Market Description
This market resolves YES if General Valerii Zaluzhnyi is officially declared the winner of a Ukrainian presidential election held during calendar year 2027 and is recognized under Ukrainian law as the President-elect.
This market resolves NO if another candidate is officially declared the winner, if General Valerii Zaluzhnyi withdraws from the race, if he never becomes a candidate, or if the presidential election is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2027, or otherwise fails to produce an official winner during calendar year 2027.
If preliminary election results are later overturned or revised before the final official certification of the election, this market will resolve according to the final certified result.
Resolution Sources
Resolution will be based primarily on official publications from the Central Election Commission of Ukraine, official announcements by the Ukrainian government, and reporting from multiple credible international news organizations.
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Market Question #2
Will General Valerii Zaluzhnyi win the next Ukrainian presidential election held during calendar year 2027?
Market Description
This market resolves YES if General Valerii Zaluzhnyi is officially declared the winner of a Ukrainian presidential election held during calendar year 2027 and is recognized under Ukrainian law as the President-elect.
This market resolves NO if another candidate is officially declared the winner, if General Valerii Zaluzhnyi withdraws from the race, if he never becomes a candidate, or if the presidential election is cancelled, postponed beyond December 31, 2027, or otherwise fails to produce an official winner during calendar year 2027.
If preliminary election results are later overturned or revised before the final official certification of the election, this market will resolve according to the final certified result.
Resolution Sources
Resolution will be based primarily on official publications from the Central Election Commission of Ukraine, official announcements by the Ukrainian government, and reporting from multiple credible international news organizations.
Market Question #1
Will General Valerii Zaluzhnyi announce that he is running as a candidate for the position of President of Ukraine during calendar year 2027?
Market Description
This market resolves YES if General Valerii Zaluzhnyi publicly announces that he is running for President of Ukraine at any point between 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2027 and 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2027.
An announcement may take the form of a direct statement by General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, an official announcement from his campaign, or his official registration as a presidential candidate with the relevant Ukrainian election authority if that registration is accompanied by public confirmation of his candidacy.
This market resolves NO if no such public announcement is made before the deadline. Media speculation, anonymous sourcing, opinion pieces, polling, or statements indicating only that General Valerii Zaluzhnyi is considering a run or is expected to run will not be sufficient for a YES resolution.
If Ukraine does not hold or schedule a presidential election during 2027, this market will still resolve solely on whether General Valerii Zaluzhnyi publicly announced his candidacy within the specified time period.
Resolution Sources
Resolution will be based primarily on official statements from General Valerii Zaluzhnyi or his campaign, official publications from the relevant Ukrainian election authorities or government institutions, and reporting from multiple credible international news organizations.
Market Question #1
Will General Valerii Zaluzhnyi announce that he is running as a candidate for the position of President of Ukraine during calendar year 2027?
Market Description
This market resolves YES if General Valerii Zaluzhnyi publicly announces that he is running for President of Ukraine at any point between 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2027 and 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2027.
An announcement may take the form of a direct statement by General Valerii Zaluzhnyi, an official announcement from his campaign, or his official registration as a presidential candidate with the relevant Ukrainian election authority if that registration is accompanied by public confirmation of his candidacy.
This market resolves NO if no such public announcement is made before the deadline. Media speculation, anonymous sourcing, opinion pieces, polling, or statements indicating only that General Valerii Zaluzhnyi is considering a run or is expected to run will not be sufficient for a YES resolution.
If Ukraine does not hold or schedule a presidential election during 2027, this market will still resolve solely on whether General Valerii Zaluzhnyi publicly announced his candidacy within the specified time period.
Resolution Sources
Resolution will be based primarily on official statements from General Valerii Zaluzhnyi or his campaign, official publications from the relevant Ukrainian election authorities or government institutions, and reporting from multiple credible international news organizations.