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not ess pea参与话题 30消息总数 1092

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not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:55:15 Kalshi

Aly Richards also had like 17 Twitter followers

Aly Richards also had like 17 Twitter followers

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:54:51 Kalshi

I bought yes Janoo at like 10%

I bought yes Janoo at like 10%

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:54:36 Kalshi

Not even joking

Not even joking

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:54:17 Kalshi

With the FEC

With the FEC

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:54:14 Kalshi

The other candidates didn’t even file

The other candidates didn’t even file

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:49:45 Kalshi

So much green

So much green

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:17:01 Kalshi

Fleming Y about to skyrocket

Fleming Y about to skyrocket

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:16:49 Kalshi

Poll Tracker posted it

Poll Tracker posted it

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:16:44 Kalshi

https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2070330144363782418?s=46

https://x.com/polltracker2024/status/2070330144363782418?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:37:12 Kalshi

Could be an ai poll though like the TPSI ones lol

Could be an ai poll though like the TPSI ones lol

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:36:52 Kalshi

They posted a pdf with the crosstabs

They posted a pdf with the crosstabs

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:19:34 Kalshi

🟥Dan Osborn

🟥Dan Osborn

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:19:08 Kalshi

The Dan Osborn special

The Dan Osborn special

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:15:32 Kalshi

https://x.com/wedgewoodpol/status/2070281764602290330?s=46

https://x.com/wedgewoodpol/status/2070281764602290330?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:12:29 Kalshi

Idk if this is a real poll

Idk if this is a real poll

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:12:24 Kalshi

https://x.com/wedgewoodpolls/status/2070280623667941806?s=46

https://x.com/wedgewoodpolls/status/2070280623667941806?s=46

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:08:11 Kalshi

The Tina Peters pardon did really anger the base over there

The Tina Peters pardon did really anger the base over there

not ess pea 2026-06-26 09:08:03 Kalshi

I think people are expecting a progressive wave in Colorado

I think people are expecting a progressive wave in Colorado

not ess pea 2026-06-26 05:48:14 Kalshi

Nah I’m not tryna manipulate the market

Nah I’m not tryna manipulate the market

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:26:48 Kalshi

Plus my one friend is Louisiana is voting Fleming that has to mean for something

Plus my one friend is Louisiana is voting Fleming that has to mean for something

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:26:35 Kalshi

Awhile ago

Awhile ago

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:17:38 Kalshi

Trusting Quantus here

Trusting Quantus here

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:10:27 Kalshi

The genetic ballot in Iowa will also probably be much more blue.

The genetic ballot in Iowa will also probably be much more blue.

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:07:44 Kalshi

Like Talarico will obviously kill it with independents but I think he has already won most of them over.

Like Talarico will obviously kill it with independents but I think he has already won most of them over.

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:07:00 Kalshi

I think it’s mainly within democratic groups though, in the last University of Austin poll I think it was a few days ago. Talarico stayed the same number but Paxton gained 8.

I think it’s mainly within democratic groups though, in the last University of Austin poll I think it was a few days ago. Talarico stayed the same number but Paxton gained 8.

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:03:26 Kalshi

One more thing Osborn loves to do is when he posts his internals, he marks himself as the red candidate and his opponent as the blue one. It’s pretty funny.

One more thing Osborn loves to do is when he posts his internals, he marks himself as the red candidate and his opponent as the blue one. It’s pretty funny.

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:00:16 Kalshi

Trump also polled bad in Texas 2020 too at first, final RCP average was like Trump+1 and Paxton is already doing better

Trump also polled bad in Texas 2020 too at first, final RCP average was like Trump+1 and Paxton is already doing better

not ess pea 2026-06-26 04:00:08 Kalshi

I think Talarico hit his ceiling and once the pro paxton/anti talarico campaign is in overdrive it will be Paxton by five (Trump 2020 margin)

I think Talarico hit his ceiling and once the pro paxton/anti talarico campaign is in overdrive it will be Paxton by five (Trump 2020 margin)

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:59:27 Kalshi

Iirc turek has also done way better than talarico in the last few polls aswell

Iirc turek has also done way better than talarico in the last few polls aswell

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:58:35 Kalshi

Sand should also beat Lahn so that will also help him

Sand should also beat Lahn so that will also help him

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:58:20 Kalshi

Talarico’s woke 1.0 comments are rough and I think turek has a good story

Talarico’s woke 1.0 comments are rough and I think turek has a good story

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:57:44 Kalshi

My hottest take is turek is way better candidate than talarico

My hottest take is turek is way better candidate than talarico

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:57:22 Kalshi

It will be in reality but the forecasters will move it to tossup cause of osborn internals

It will be in reality but the forecasters will move it to tossup cause of osborn internals

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:56:56 Kalshi

Osborn loves putting out internals that have him up

Osborn loves putting out internals that have him up

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:56:50 Kalshi

It’s gonna be funny

It’s gonna be funny

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:56:43 Kalshi

they’re def gonna move ne to a tossup by September

they’re def gonna move ne to a tossup by September

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:55:10 Kalshi

North Carolina is locked up and Maine looks very promising

North Carolina is locked up and Maine looks very promising

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:54:52 Kalshi

I think Ohio and Alaska could flip that’s about it

I think Ohio and Alaska could flip that’s about it

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:54:43 Kalshi

In 2020 Montana and South Carolina were rated as tossups

In 2020 Montana and South Carolina were rated as tossups

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:54:30 Kalshi

I think this year is gonna be like 2020 where the outlets mark a lot of Trump double digit states as tossups but only like one flip

I think this year is gonna be like 2020 where the outlets mark a lot of Trump double digit states as tossups but only like one flip

not ess pea 2026-06-26 03:53:10 Kalshi

Idk I think Paxton yes is free money for those who like their money to sit in Kalshi

Idk I think Paxton yes is free money for those who like their money to sit in Kalshi

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