秋田预测市场 · Discord 审计

LA参院决选Fleming与Letlow民调胶着引发交易分歧

2026-06-26 · Kalshi · 28 条相关讨论

trumanshowlvr 2026-06-26 01:36:42

What do we think about letlow margin of victory guys

What do we think about letlow margin of victory guys

trumanshowlvr 2026-06-26 01:37:06

Looking like a closer race than it did a few weeks ago ig?

Looking like a closer race than it did a few weeks ago ig?

tooeasy27 2026-06-26 04:25:37

no need to just trust quantus. there were unreleased polls as well within the last few weeks if you look.... there was obvi the fleming internal showing him +8. but thats not reliable... but if you look, letlow two internal polls in the last 2 weeks (not released publicly). one of them had her +3, one of them had fleming +3.... both within margin of error whens the last time you got 5 to 1 odds on a coinflip?

no need to just trust quantus. there were unreleased polls as well within the last few weeks if you look.... there was obvi the fleming internal showing him +8. but thats not reliable... but if you look, letlow two internal polls in the last 2 weeks (not released publicly). one of them had her +3, one of them had fleming +3.... both within margin of error whens the last time you got 5 to 1 odds on a coinflip?

YardRage 2026-06-26 05:13:35

If it starts to look like Fleming might win, maybe Trump will do another dual endorsement. 📈 (I only have $10 in this market for Letlow, not advice)

If it starts to look like Fleming might win, maybe Trump will do another dual endorsement. 📈 (I only have $10 in this market for Letlow, not advice)

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-26 05:15:50

honestly.... fleming Y isn't dead at all

honestly.... fleming Y isn't dead at all

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-26 05:46:25

if we get 2 more polls showing it like 49-46 does the price move closer to 50-50?

if we get 2 more polls showing it like 49-46 does the price move closer to 50-50?

@bernardbulletin 2026-06-26 05:52:09

if we get 2 more polls showing it like 49-46 does the price move closer to 50-50?

if we get 2 more polls showing it like 49-46 does the price move closer to 50-50?

Kevindoto 2026-06-26 06:15:19

What caused the flip in polls for letlow

What caused the flip in polls for letlow

OneOldHat 2026-06-26 06:16:27

The voters simply promised to vote for her in the future which isn't verifiable and thereby she will resolve N

The voters simply promised to vote for her in the future which isn't verifiable and thereby she will resolve N

Kevindoto 2026-06-26 06:18:23

Before 2027? Not sure

Before 2027? Not sure

nonsenseking 2026-06-26 09:18:48

blue square for letlow. accurate

blue square for letlow. accurate

Claude 2026-06-26 10:27:55

trump endorsement seems to be fading

trump endorsement seems to be fading

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:49:50

Locked in for August & the Louisiana runoff

Locked in for August & the Louisiana runoff

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:50:12

I feel like the no letlow over 9 is a lock now

I feel like the no letlow over 9 is a lock now

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:52:13

Is there is another good poll for Fleming from a more known pollster I think the market will tie

Is there is another good poll for Fleming from a more known pollster I think the market will tie

not ess pea 2026-06-26 10:52:21

Since it will show a consistent trend of flemingmentum

Since it will show a consistent trend of flemingmentum

tehspeleengpolise 2026-06-26 11:21:43

Can we get a margin market for the Louisiana senate runoff?

Can we get a margin market for the Louisiana senate runoff?

Reg Monkey 2026-06-26 11:57:12

because he was already going to win

because he was already going to win